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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13499529 times)
bobby1
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #33375 on:
March 11, 2013, 09:57:52 PM »
Quote from: atdc21 on March 11, 2013, 09:36:28 PM
You could well be right and after we all be saying 'what a certainty why didnt we lump on' but she aint getting any younger and the old adage of you can go to many times to the well creeps in, gl whatever you do anyway.
cheers mate, u2. I was thinking of putting her up as a bet on the thread.
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atdc21
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #33376 on:
March 11, 2013, 10:08:52 PM »
Yeah, like i say difficult dont think its outstsanding value , even given her record, prob right sort of price, i nearly always get the short ones wrong lol, maybe see what the others on here think.
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Tal
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #33377 on:
March 11, 2013, 10:26:30 PM »
Tikay. PM sent, sir, anticipating a busy few days for Fred ahead.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #33378 on:
March 11, 2013, 10:38:20 PM »
Quote from: bobby1 on March 11, 2013, 09:57:52 PM
Quote from: atdc21 on March 11, 2013, 09:36:28 PM
You could well be right and after we all be saying 'what a certainty why didnt we lump on' but she aint getting any younger and the old adage of you can go to many times to the well creeps in, gl whatever you do anyway.
cheers mate, u2. I was thinking of putting her up as a bet on the thread.
I agree with you, despite the slight setback in preparation, she never looked in danger last year and is so far clear of the rest.
Having said that, isn't the dirty each way on Une Artiste a better bet?
You could almost recommend doing both?
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #33379 on:
March 11, 2013, 10:41:21 PM »
Quote from: Tal on March 11, 2013, 10:26:30 PM
Tikay. PM sent, sir, anticipating a busy few days for Fred ahead.
Got it, thank you very much. Will sort it on Wednesday.
I really ought to Update all the Cheltenham stuff tonight, the non-runners & stuff, & how some of them affect the Spready, & how we account for them, (think I will ask Mere to adjudicate), but I'm desperately tired & am fighting the urge to get to bed & leave it until the morning.
One day of catching up on this thread takes some sorting out, & it would be the eve of Cheltenham, when we have so much happening.
«
Last Edit: March 11, 2013, 10:44:57 PM by tikay
»
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #33380 on:
March 11, 2013, 10:43:44 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 11, 2013, 10:38:20 PM
Quote from: bobby1 on March 11, 2013, 09:57:52 PM
Quote from: atdc21 on March 11, 2013, 09:36:28 PM
You could well be right and after we all be saying 'what a certainty why didnt we lump on' but she aint getting any younger and the old adage of you can go to many times to the well creeps in, gl whatever you do anyway.
cheers mate, u2. I was thinking of putting her up as a bet on the thread.
I agree with you, despite the slight setback in preparation, she never looked in danger last year and is so far clear of the rest.
Having said that, isn't the dirty each way on Une Artiste a better bet?
You could almost recommend doing both?
One is all ears......
http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/2013-03-12-cheltenham/16:40/winner
Thing is, does she, & the connections, have C & D previous?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Nicholson_Mares%27_Hurdle
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bobby1
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #33381 on:
March 11, 2013, 10:49:18 PM »
Thanks Doobs.
I'm going to put it up as a thread bet Tony, maybe £90 at 4/6 Quevega with Hills in the Mares hurdle. The BOG prob makes it better than the 1.71 on BF.
cheeers
«
Last Edit: March 11, 2013, 10:54:14 PM by bobby1
»
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Bad Beat
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #33382 on:
March 11, 2013, 10:56:27 PM »
1.72 on the machine.
I'd happily lay at 4/6.
I'm sure to bet three horses ew.
(could be 6 consecutive years of laying her).
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #33383 on:
March 11, 2013, 10:58:37 PM »
Quote from: bobby1 on March 11, 2013, 10:49:18 PM
Thanks Doobs.
I'm going to put it up as a thread bet Tony, maybe £90 at 4/6 Quevega with Hills in the Mares hurdle.
cheeers
OK, thanks Phil.
If Doobs thinks we shauld have a bit of dirty, too, if he could let me know I will sort as advised.
Will it wear a Daft Hat?
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peejaytwo
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #33384 on:
March 11, 2013, 11:00:35 PM »
Quote
Having said that, isn't the dirty each way on Une Artiste a better bet?
double this with jezki at hills 1/4 odds first 5.
normally the e/w alert would be up,but tomoz a great time to do it.
1st 5 in what is essentially a ten horse race (and 1/4 odds to boot). Una Artise solid e/w in a race where they bet 25/1 bar 4.
just empty the clip and embrace the variance.
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bobby1
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #33385 on:
March 11, 2013, 11:04:51 PM »
haha, I'm assuming you pay 5% comm on BF, the bit you are giving away at 4/6 fixed odds BOG instead of taking the 1.71 it was is small enough to have the insurance that you will get 8/11 if it drifts imo.
If you haggle with Neil he might lay you 7/10 comm free ;o)
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“The two most important days in your life are the day you are born and the day you find out why.”
Bad Beat
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #33386 on:
March 11, 2013, 11:08:29 PM »
Peejay - obv we love all and any ew bets in the Supreme and I've written the name Jezki on some bits of paper today.
Should I be worried about the long lay-off and the form of the stable and does the owner make the price shorter than it ought to be?
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #33387 on:
March 11, 2013, 11:08:46 PM »
Quote from: bobby1 on March 11, 2013, 11:04:51 PM
haha, I'm assuming you pay 5% comm on BF, the bit you are giving away at 4/6 fixed odds BOG instead of taking the 1.71 it was is small enough to have the insurance that you will get 8/11 if it drifts imo.
If you haggle with Neil he might lay you 7/10 comm free ;o)
No way I'm gonna haggle with Neil.
I tried to sell him some of my poker action in a Tourney once, & he had me convinced 0.45 was a fair price. Bullshit, I'm worth 0.6 of anyone's money.
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(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
peejaytwo
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #33388 on:
March 11, 2013, 11:18:56 PM »
Quote
Peejay - obv we love all and any ew bets in the Supreme and I've written the name Jezki on some bits of paper today.
Should I be worried about the long lay-off and the form of the stable and does the owner make the price shorter than it ought to be?
Jezki just an example really Neil, i have a cursory look at form but just bet numbers off the machine. I'm quite likely to bet whatever is solid in the win/place market,tho as a general rule i dont like betting horses coming from a long lay off. Horses obv ridden to the line at Chelters where normally would be eased off if the winning chance is gone on a windy wednesday at Carlisle for example.
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horseplayer
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #33389 on:
March 11, 2013, 11:22:06 PM »
might be worth holding on q
have a feeling one of the firms might just might try and get her beat
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