Tips for Tikay

[4KSuited]

I like Yarrow in Goodies 3:45

Stoute has his string in great form atm, and with R L Moore booked for the first time his chances must be improved. In terms of form, the staying on 2nd over 12f at Ponty looks decent, given it came off a 6 week break. The fav Pamona looks solid, but was a couple of lengths behind the selection when they last met at this track.

At 4/1, Yarrow looks overpriced against its rivals

[arbboy]

First four winners at Sunderland BAGS all from trap 6.  Several of them shouldn't have won as easily as they did.  The last one which went off 4/5 was thrown in on best form anyway without a potential bias.

[arbboy]

Instant trap 1 winner in next race which had no chance on all known form.  0-14 in the grade, shouldn't have led 2 up, leads and wins pillar to post.  lol bias!

[TightEnd]

I like Yarrow in Goodies 3:45

Stoute has his string in great form atm, and with R L Moore booked for the first time his chances must be improved. In terms of form, the staying on 2nd over 12f at Ponty looks decent, given it came off a 6 week break. The fav Pamona looks solid, but was a couple of lengths behind the selection when they last met at this track.

At 4/1, Yarrow looks overpriced against its rivals

        Bet Type: Single
            Goodwood [15:45] 1m 6f Fillies Group 3
                Yarrow 4/1
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 125.00 GBP
    1 bet @
    25.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 25.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 125.00 GBP

[Doobs]

Any suggestions for Goodwood today, or should I go back to sticking pins in the paper?

As the price is going, Sword Fighter in the 3.10 11/2 win only Hills.  Just really like it.  Young improving, stays the trip and the rest aren't all that great right now.  And you get the offer.

Suggest £50 win for thread.

Hard work today.  I have backed highly sprung at 14/1 and just glamorous (8/1) e/w in the last.  Problem is that it is sporting bet, so they are limiting me pretty heavily.  I am not sure if thread can do better.  
Suggest we get 25 e/w on both with sporting bet at these prices if we can.


If we can't get the money on, or the price, no worries.  Betfred are 5 places, but terrible prices, and will likely limit us to 2 quid e/w anyway.

The only others I have backed are: Ardad to win at 18/1 in the 2.35.  Just because I was impressed once, but it ran terribly against the horse that is only 3rd favourite here last time.  Just punting maybe.   And You're Hired in the first win only (sporting bet only at 9/1, but maybe get half a point more on betfair).  I can't really get excited enough about these for thread though.

Many of the races are a bad shape for each way betting.  The 4.20 is a good shape, but I avoid e/w betting in maidens online.  I did have a couple of golfers, but the price had gone this morning too.   At least we got a decent price on sword fighter (now best 5/1 and going).
  

[Tal]

Any suggestions for Goodwood today, or should I go back to sticking pins in the paper?

As the price is going, Sword Fighter in the 3.10 11/2 win only Hills.  Just really like it.  Young improving, stays the trip and the rest aren't all that great right now.  And you get the offer.

Suggest £50 win for thread.

Hard work today.  I have backed highly sprung at 14/1 and just glamorous (8/1) e/w in the last.  Problem is that it is sporting bet, so they are limiting me pretty heavily.  I am not sure if thread can do better.  
Suggest we get 25 e/w on both with sporting bet at these prices if we can.


If we can't get the money on, or the price, no worries.  Betfred are 5 places, but terrible prices, and will likely limit us to 2 quid e/w anyway.

The only others I have backed are: Ardad to win at 18/1 in the 2.35.  Just because I was impressed once, but it ran terribly against the horse that is only 3rd favourite here last time.  Just punting maybe.   And You're Hired in the first win only (sporting bet only at 9/1, but maybe get half a point more on betfair).  I can't really get excited enough about these for thread though.

Many of the races are a bad shape for each way betting.  The 4.20 is a good shape, but I avoid e/w betting in maidens online.  I did have a couple of golfers, but the price had gone this morning too.   At least we got a decent price on sword fighter (now best 5/1 and going).
  

For that 4.20, Manama is standout 9/1 with the shouty red man at 3 Places 1/4 odds.

Fun race with 12 runners and the top two Evs and 13/8.

[TightEnd]

        Bet Type: Single
            Goodwood [17:30] 5f Handicap
                Just Glamorous 8/1
                OddsReduction: [4]; WhichPlaces : [4]
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 300.00 GBP
    2 bets @
    25.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 50.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 300.00 GBP


        Bet Type: Single
            Goodwood [17:30] 5f Handicap
                Highly Sprung 12/1
                OddsReduction: [4]; WhichPlaces : [4]
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 425.00 GBP
    2 bets @
    25.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 50.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 425.00 GBP

[TightEnd]

        Bet Type: Single
            Goodwood [17:30] 5f Handicap
                Just Glamorous 8/1
                OddsReduction: [4]; WhichPlaces : [4]
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 300.00 GBP
    2 bets @
    25.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 50.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 300.00 GBP


        Bet Type: Single
            Goodwood [17:30] 5f Handicap
                Highly Sprung 12/1
                OddsReduction: [4]; WhichPlaces : [4]
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 425.00 GBP
    2 bets @
    25.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 50.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 425.00 GBP

sorry the first was 12/1, top price. 14 had gone and i was rushing a bit, didn't notice

if you don't want it on thread let me know

[Tal]

Quite like the look of Montsarrat in the opener. Needs the good ground and likes to run from the front.

I do have a working stan james account though, so exercise appropriate caution...

Has to be win only with the customary punter noshing withdrawals. Plenty of 20/1 about (BMU works for Fred).

Any thoughts?

[Doobs]

        Bet Type: Single
            Goodwood [17:30] 5f Handicap
                Just Glamorous 8/1
                OddsReduction: [4]; WhichPlaces : [4]
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 300.00 GBP
    2 bets @
    25.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 50.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 300.00 GBP


        Bet Type: Single
            Goodwood [17:30] 5f Handicap
                Highly Sprung 12/1
                OddsReduction: [4]; WhichPlaces : [4]
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 425.00 GBP
    2 bets @
    25.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 50.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 425.00 GBP

sorry the first was 12/1, top price. 14 had gone and i was rushing a bit, didn't notice

if you don't want it on thread let me know

Let it run.  Just checked and it is already 12/1 on betfair, so must have timed it perfectly.  Place terms are very good too.  

Price has already gone on the other one too.  

Good news, fred is less restricted than me with sportingbet.  I really haven't got much on.

[horseplayer]

Got one in the opener to

ZHUI FENG amanda parrot not one of the better trainers around and as usually has aimed for the stars with this one, last 3 runs the guineas (not entirely disgraced) a slighty better handicap around here (6th never nearer) and the Brittania handicap at Ascot (again ran on late)

May have already fallen out of love with the game after racing in such company but 2lbs lower than the 6th here in a slightly weaker looking race and getting a step up in trip which looks needed 25s seems fair

Win only obviously suggest £20 or so

For obvious reasons not done the race in depth id like.

I also like SIGN OF THE KODIAC in the last 33s is fine 40s would be even better obviously

gd lk all

[TightEnd]

Tal

i have just done small bets on your two meanderings

neither were e/w races given non runners

Montsarrat Goodwood 14:00 Winner
20/1
Total Stake: £10.00

        Bet Type: Single
            Goodwood [16:20] 7f Maiden Fillies Stakes
                Manama 9/1
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 150.00 GBP
    1 bet @
    15.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 15.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 150.00 GBP


if you had decided against either for Tft let me know before 2pm
Potential Returns: £210.00

[TightEnd]

Zhui Feng Goodwood 14:00 Winner
25/1
Total Stake: £10.00
Potential Returns: £260.00

Sign of The Kodiac Goodwood 17:30 Winner
33/1
Total Stake: £20.00
Each Way (4 Places at 1/4 Odds)
Total Returns: £432.50

[arbboy]

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/stratford/15:50/winner

Away from all the glam stuff on the south coast there is a perfect 16 runner hcap to smash into at not so sunny Stratford.  If all 16 go £100 ew Shady Glen at 9/2 will be fine.  Johnson on board.  Impossible to have a bad ew bet in the race obviously.

[tikay]

Tal

i have just done small bets on your two meanderings

neither were e/w races given non runners

Montsarrat Goodwood 14:00 Winner
20/1
Total Stake: £10.00

        Bet Type: Single
            Goodwood [16:20] 7f Maiden Fillies Stakes
                Manama 9/1
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 150.00 GBP
    1 bet @
    15.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 15.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 150.00 GBP


if you had decided against either for Tft let me know before 2pm
Potential Returns: £210.00

Ha, love it.

Tal meanderings.