[since Evilpie battered him with his friendly advice.]

Makes perfect sense.

Limbo bars are low, rather like the IQ's of those who were unable to make the connection.

Don't you start! Poor Dakky hasn't been seen since Evilpie battered him with his friendly advice.

I lolled so much.

Lol. Not true though; I posted on Monday...

 

You may have noticed I'm not a "you go girl, you got this" kind of motivator.

I just tell it like it like it is. Losing weight is easy, just consume fewer calories than you expend.

How you go about doing that without going stir crazy is the tricky bit.

The way you defended fruit I thought some of the essay battles of the past about whole foods plant based, no oil, salt and processed sugar, we had were getting through to you, ha. That's a goad. I know you never doubted fruit.

A frustrating one. Definitely fancied us up until the free kick that looked a dive. Dangerous to place Ward prowse in that spot. They were on top for the first half thereafter. The result seems fair.

I'd put the true price at 1.9 now imo.

Thanks Ant, & good luck.

Cheers.

I should have said Cabellero was training with AFC Wimbledon until he was signed 5 days before the Arsenal game.

Speaking of out of match practice keepers, Butland starts tonight out of nowhere.

Still think the value is there but less. He's been alright when I have seen him but there's a reason Guatia is no 1. Could be culpable to the same weaknesses I proposed of Cabellero. On paper to a lesser extent though.

That's twice in the last three tips a harsh change in the lineup has happened without a heads up.

I think Palace are value tonight against Southampton. You can get 2.2 on the exchanges, but i think we might be closer to 1.75 actual price. I am going fairly large for me on this one.

https://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/crystal-palace-v-southampton/winner

I have watched the full 90 of games this season and was at the game on Sunday and am going tonight. I was impressed by Hughes in particular in his first start since May and debut start for Palace. Vieira hadn't fancied him until this point basically and he decided to try him from the start and was glowing in his praise for him post match, a hopeful long term replacement of Mcarthur. He was many Watford fans' player of the year last season, so it was baffling how little he featured for Palace this term. Hughes seemed to have Palace ticking over in a way much more similar to the positive run before when Mcarthur and Anderson were fit. Both missing had been terrible blows, and Palace have been disjointed but things clicked a lot more on Sunday. Palace had 70% possession in the first half against Everton, before the second half nerves near the end of the game making Palace forfeit possession more and it ended 60/40 in Palace's favour overall. It's shocking Palace have comfortably more possession over teams like Everton and Leicester this season. Makes a change from Hodgson's style.

For all the possession, Palace had good pressure the whole game and took their chances well. If you were being critical, Palace were quite fortunate with the goals, all three were from errors from Everton and Gallagher's missile outside of the box was a half chance at best. I would like to think though that the pressure can force that luck to happen. Everton going the other way had a good chance to level things up and were fortunate with their opening goal.

Palace at times have looked less than convincing in some defensive situations. Particularly route 1 stuff, long balls over the top can get some success, and there definitely isn't that Pulis like sense of rigidity at the back. However, those gaps are probably from how Palace are playing more aggressively.

Tomkins though has been a solid replacement of Anderson defensively. You could argue things look more solid. Palace have suffered without Anderson going forward though and he is back fit and it would be interesting to see if he gets a start, i think that is doubtful. I think Tomkins has shaken off cobwebs he may have initially had and looks good. I mean having a player of his quality as a back up is an esteemed position for a non top 6 club in this league.

I think there is a shift in the team with Hughes starting now, so Palace should be better for that tonight.

Caballero starts in goal for Southampton, and he didn't cover himself in glory at all against Arsenal and had been only training with AFC Wimbledon up until that point. A goalkeeper coming in cold like that can tend to destabilise the backline confidence wise as well as struggle with rhythm for aerial crosses as was clear against Arsenal, and that could be present tonight. He has had some more days training and probably will come in more composed tonight with his temperament after getting a tough start out of the way. His presence in the starting line up actually was the tipping point for me to post this tip though and to be as aggressive as i am with the price difference i am suggesting. I think that Palace clicking back into gear seemingly with Hughes slotting in and the injuries Southampton are dealing with haven't been fully factored into the price. Cue a stormer from Caballerro.

Southampton are without Che Adams tonight as well. Armstrong and Broja came off against Arsenal and might not feature.

Ward-prowse can often get under the skin of Zaha and that could make the affair more attritional through frustration.

Southampton have lost their last 3 away games against Arsenal Liverpool and Norwich, but had respectable home draws against Brighton (where they were unlucky) and Leicester.

I am nervous about posting the tip as i normally don't like doing so for bets closer to evens and i think the true price is 1.75 and obviously they aren't dead certs to come in at all. Palace have a propensity to get nervous with leads and forfeit possession near the end of the game, and have conceded at least 3 injury time burns this season. Palace do quite enjoy a draw where a win might be a more "fair" result. Leeds and Villa have shown recently that losses are on the cards at times as well. I hope though Hughes is the missing link. Palace also decided not to play Zaha up top and have him on the wing of a front three, which was frustrating to see not happen before that with Edouard playing on the wing when he started. No funny business with Benteke starting though he always played through the middle.

For all the possession at times, clear cut chances aren't completely forthcoming, but with everything in my limited capacity i have factored in, i do think it's worth a decent sized bet at the value difference i am proposing.

Looking good.
Impressed at the Etihad the other week  and totally deserved.
My only frustration was the GK timewasting with the frustration aimed at the ref and not the player.

Big affection for Vieria with his time at City. Great that so far he is doing so well.

Apols, saw this late.

I'm surprised by the Vieira affection, but fair play, easy to forget he played at other England clubs other than Arsenal. Did he make much impact?

Yep Palace were great at City, and since, we have been a little suspect, barring Wolves at home, as we probably have an over reliance on Mcarthur who is defying his age with his output but is currently injured. No Anderson also is upsetting as he sets a positive tone with passing from the back.

Mad transition at the club right now, as fans we are all a bit shocked and not knowing fully what to think of things.

You fancy City for the title? I struggle to look past Chelsea.

Ha, in amongst the history of the tipsters in this thread you've made a mistake there Tikay but thanks for the kind words. Probably no clear value on Palace until maybe man united but that's a few games away. I'll keep you posted if I fancy anything beforehand. And with a bit more heads up than I gave you yesterday.

Cheers peeps.

Happy with the two tips recently after the long no show on here. Hoping it's exciting times now at Palace. Probably should tie down Gallagher permanently in January if we can. Pop 30m on the table and see what happens.

Wiiiii I've made a scene at a wedding reception here after that second went in. Tracking on flashcore. Finally the luck turns. Sounded like we had to be lucky as well.

In a rush atm, but think the 22/1 for the win, 9/1 for the draw and 3/4 available for the Palace+3 are value in that I think Palace will compete enough to play it into value.

https://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/man-city-v-crystal-palace/winner

It could be a case that Palace's new possession based game gets spanked by the masters of it much like Bournemouth used to suffer but at the price it's worth a small go on whatever you fancy of the 3 bets above.

If Palace converted the 6-8 points in the leagie they probably "should" have the 22/1 might not be available.

I can't say I'm at all tempted by the 10/11 about my beloved gunners this evening.

It is however the great Arsene Wenger's birthday and Arsenal are P4/W4 on this hallowed date.

Good take. I didn't expect Villa to fold like that in the first half.

Vardy 14-1 EW four places is all sorts of value. It's 33-1 bar five in reality and Kane will do well to get past 15 for me this season.

The 14-1 win part is good, the 7-2 a place is golden. It's not showing as biggest price on oddschecker thanks to VBet's super-stale 33-1 still being in the grid. Otherwise buttermeup would have chopped by now.

That looks a great tip, cheers.

Ul Ant, I didn't play but felt for you when Arsenal scored that late.

Cheers. I will look at Man City away next as some possible value. Palace+3 on the handicap is 3/4 for example and looks okay, but that is after a home game to Newcastle, so i will wait before looking at it.

That hurts. I was never a fan to see us go 5 at the back as i thought we were defending well by being further up the pitch with possession. We just welcomed it too much in the final ten mins. You could probably see why I fancied Palace tonight and i hope the luck eventually turns. There is an argument to say the draw is fair and I am happy the double chance landed. I did go hard at 19/1 at half time for the Palace win so it is gutting, but never mind.

Can't say i would put the bet up had i known Zaha wouldn't make the squad. Vieira had said in his press conference no injury concerns so no idea what's happened there. I'd hope we still can fire but i am not even sure what formation we are putting out. We are playing Edouard on the wing or going 4-4-2 instead of the 4-3-3, with Edouard and Benteke up top. Suprised Olise wasn't a straight swap for Zaha, for an easier transition on paper, Schlupp to replace Zaha even. We looked disjointed against Chelsea on the opening game playing a 4-4-2. However that was early doors. An interesting one. There might still be value in the bet, but i am not as confident. Also you have the talisman effect of Zaha not being there, the record without him is poor.