Recent Posts

http://www.abola.pt/nnh/ver.aspx?id=403633

according to the above pereira has signed a pre contract with everton

best priced 5-1 seems to be a sea of blue on oddschecker this morning

Now best price 5/2

first two well backed and bramshill could/should have won

no chance for Caledonia


in shock news betting eddie looks in big trouble. If you have time this report is well worth a read.

http://www.britishhorseracing.presscentre.com/Press-Releases/Result-of-a-Disciplinary-Panel-hearing-Neil-Clement-Eddie-Ahern-Martin-Raymond-and-Paul-Hill-3d8.aspx

[ON]

a reminder you have a 3rd £25 free bet to use by the 25th.

Thanks Rich.

Was that with Wm Hill?

So we need a long-priced winner. Should be easy enough then.......

Have had my eye on epsomweather.co.uk, though it seems to be down.  Also hoping William Hill to put up a market in the Irish 1000 Guineas on Sunday

Given we already have Ocovango for the Arc and I have been waiting for the weather on that, and the horse I was waiting on in the Irish 1000 isn't a great price, I am going to nick one of horseplayer's tips.

He says it should be shorter, and it is best price at Hills (amongst others), and is a good price for a free bet (10/1)

So lets go with this £25 on the nose on the following

4.20 Southwell Caledonia Prince 10/1

Cheers

Now down to 8/1.

Still a bet?

Ignore that, I have an appointment upstairs & need to get offline, so I've done it, thanks Doobs.

We have £25 @ 8/1, Wm Hill, Caledonia Prince, 4.25 Southwell. FREE BET

ON

22 May 2013 - 4:20 Southwell - Win

Best Odds Guaranteed!

Tip ItCaledonia Prince @ 8/1

Stake : £25.00
Estimated Returns : £200.00Transaction Reference:O/0457483/0000436/FFree bet redeemed

It can't be terrible, it is only just lower than Betfair and only Stan James still at 10.

  In better news, epsomweather.co.uk is back.  No rain in the last week or so, but some forecast.

Played nicely up to the river.

Firstly never ever shoving the river.  The conflict arises from the fact a tiny turn bet into an overbet on the river is so nutted in general it's scary.  On the other side of the coin Pleno is completely correct that in the low Scoops people do things which defy any sense of logic so staring at a betting pattern really doesn't matter.

I think it is a fold, the only thing that really makes sense from how he has bet it is T9 hearts (maybe J9hh or Tx9h although I think the later especially would be less likely).  But I've seen them turn up with all sorts in these spots so in game I'd end up flicking it in but it's just the nuts too much of the time to be technically correct imo.

Captain: Jason Mercier

Ivey Pros: Griffen Benger

Brits: Jake Cody

WSOP POTY Top 10s 2012-13: Michael Mizrachi

High Stakes: Jason Mercier

Ladies: Vanessa Selbst

Eurozoners: Marvin Rettenmaier

WildCard 1: Ben Lamb

Wild Card 2: Steve O Dwyer

Captain
Dominik Nitsche

Ivey Pros
Phil Ivey

Brits
Toby Lewis

WSOP POTY Top 10s 2012-13
Daniel Negraneau

High Stakes
Jason Mercier

Ladies
Vanessa Selbst

Eurozoners
Dominik Nitsche

Wild card
Thayer Rasmussen

Wild card
Melanie Weisner

While Mr Channing is about.

Just noticed today that Secret Gesture is available to lay at circa 5/2.

I got on at 25s.

Being mindful of your comments yesterday, I need clarification.

I would never back this horse at 5/2, ie, I no longer think its value. I also can't see another horse that I consider A, the winner , or B, value.

Should I green out, or let it run it's course?

Depends. What made you back it in the first place?

You

Really, if you think it's a terrible priice and a stone bonking lay, you should switch your position so you win £0 if it wins and get the lot if its beat.

Say you've had £10 @ 25/1, now you should lay £100 @ 3.5

No doubt someone will tie me up in knots, but...

I cant see what else is going to win, but based on what I have seen, the fact the ground will be different to anything she has run on(I expect), the track, etc, I wouldn't back it at 5/2. If it was a fresh race to me, at these prices, I wouldn't have a bet.Make sense?
In this case, and trying to make logical sense of my own thoughts, I think I should lay enough to get my stake back and let the horse run for nothing?

in a low scoop event where we get raised on this flop and he ends up shoving the river folding river would be real bad, so much bananas he can have.

fkn love Wazz.

While Mr Channing is about.

Just noticed today that Secret Gesture is available to lay at circa 5/2.

I got on at 25s.

Being mindful of your comments yesterday, I need clarification.

I would never back this horse at 5/2, ie, I no longer think its value. I also can't see another horse that I consider A, the winner , or B, value.

Should I green out, or let it run it's course?

Depends. What made you back it in the first place?

You

Really, if you think it's a terrible priice and a stone bonking lay, you should switch your position so you win £0 if it wins and get the lot if its beat.

Say you've had £10 @ 25/1, now you should lay £100 @ 3.5