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thediceman
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« Reply #300 on: February 17, 2008, 07:48:11 PM » |
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Shame Lesnar wasn't fed an over the hill, gased just walking to the ring Tank Abbott. I like Tank but he's just cashing in on his name these days. I even watched him job to average Brit fighter in Cage Rage, Gary "smiler" something.
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« Last Edit: February 17, 2008, 10:31:40 PM by thediceman »
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AdamM
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« Reply #301 on: February 18, 2008, 08:35:45 AM » |
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to be fair to tank, he got on a plane to fight Gary Turner with 6 hours notice. Jet lagged and half cut he stepped in the cage and swung for the fences. Got to respect that.
Tank's a long way past challenging any decent fighter, but you don't get past him if you're a mug.
He'll keep taking the paydays as long as the offers come in I guess.
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AdamM
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« Reply #302 on: February 18, 2008, 10:21:44 AM » |
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Matt Serra is 3.95 to beat GSP in April at UFC83 and there's been business done at 4.6. I've got some on but I'm really tempted to go a bit deeper.
I just don't get it. I know GSP is a great fighter. But Serra has heavy hands and has knocked him out once. Add to that his Gracie BJJ blackbelt. 2.2 - 2.6 might be the right price. anything 3.5+ is an cracking bet.
I'm hoping my Evan Tanner bets come off March 1st so I can lump my winnings on Serra
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Benny Brox
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« Reply #303 on: February 18, 2008, 06:40:08 PM » |
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See Liddell fights Shogun @ UFC 85 - should be an interesting one.
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AdamM
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« Reply #304 on: February 18, 2008, 07:29:08 PM » |
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In the UK too.
Forrest Griffin destroyed Shogun when they fought. There was talk of carrying an injury, but Chuck is a tough dude and is on the come back trail. Chuck to beat Shogun then face Forrest Griffin, after Griffin takes the title off Quentin Jackson.
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Benny Brox
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« Reply #305 on: February 18, 2008, 09:31:15 PM » |
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In the UK too.
Forrest Griffin destroyed Shogun when they fought. There was talk of carrying an injury, but Chuck is a tough dude and is on the come back trail. Chuck to beat Shogun then face Forrest Griffin, after Griffin takes the title off Quentin Jackson.
Nice one, do you know if there's any plans to have UFC event in Scotland? They're getting closer with the Newcastle one last month. I think both fights will be close. If Shogun's cardio is better he's got a good chance. Fancy Griffin to decision Jackson. |
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AdamM
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« Reply #306 on: February 19, 2008, 08:27:18 AM » |
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Griffin v Jackson won't be til later in the year though. TUF7 has to run first.
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Benny Brox
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« Reply #307 on: February 28, 2008, 11:36:35 PM » |
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Yo Adam, any tips for UFC event this weekend? The only odds against risky bet I can see is a Halverson/Sakara double, I think Gurgel & Leben are always beatable when they fight? The rest of the odds are rubbish to be honest.
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AdamM
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« Reply #308 on: February 29, 2008, 12:23:02 PM » |
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The only market error I can see is Evan Tanner v Yushi Okami.
Okami is a decent skillful fighter but he's not a great finisher of fights.
Evan Tanner is a legend and fights like an animal. He's very prone to cutting but because he's such a legend, Refs tend to let him bleed rather than stop it too soon. It's only 2.5 rather than the 3.5 - 4 stuff that I've been picking, but I definitely have Tanner as Favourite. This is his last chance and at 185 he must still be top 10 after a long break and still potentially top 5 with match practice.
I think you're right about Gurgel and Leben being beatable. I'd be more likely to bet on Sakara than Halverson though). coming down from 205 to 185 his power could be a factor. trouble is he fades in fights.
Predictions are (with current betfair price)
Sanchez by submission (1.2)
Cummo by submission (1.6)
Gurgel by decision (1.5)
Koscheck TKO (ground and pound) (1.24)
Kongo by TKO / KO (1.5)
Arlovski KO of the night (1.29)
Tanner by TKO / KO (2.5)
Sakara by KO early or Leben by decision (2.84 / 1.65)
Fitch by decision (1.17)
Silva by late TKO or decision (1.8 )
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« Last Edit: February 29, 2008, 12:25:15 PM by AdamM »
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AdamM
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« Reply #309 on: February 29, 2008, 12:49:38 PM » |
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My big tip is still to monitor the Serra GSP price for UFC 83. I think he's a 3/2 underdog at worse.
if you can get 3.5+ on a guy that's already baeten his opponent I'd get on. I've got quite a bit between 3.5 and 4 and if I get my Evan Tanner bets back I'm seriously tempted to put more on nearer fight time.
GSP is a cracking fighter but Serra is being treated like some mug reality TV show winner. He's no joke and has the tools to beat GSP again.
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thediceman
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« Reply #310 on: February 29, 2008, 01:31:26 PM » |
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I'm glad to see that Cummo's fighting. He certaintly provides a great deal of entertainment.
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AdamM
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« Reply #311 on: March 01, 2008, 01:52:27 PM » |
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doesn't usually make the TV cut though.
very impressed with him in TUF
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crip17
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« Reply #312 on: March 02, 2008, 04:09:35 AM » |
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Where can i get a bet on Henderson to beat Silva. I have a feeling Henderson is going to knock him out.
Betfair have suspended this markets
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perfect practice makes practice perfect
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vegaslover
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« Reply #313 on: March 02, 2008, 04:26:25 AM » |
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totesport usually do markets for ufc.
May be suspended if about to start/started. I can't tell as i'm at work at the mo
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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #314 on: March 03, 2008, 12:22:27 AM » |
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Where can i get a bet on Henderson to beat Silva. I have a feeling Henderson is going to knock him out.
Hope you didn't get your bet on! |
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