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Author Topic: A fun once for those that think they know %ges.  (Read 3327 times)
AlexMartin
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« on: October 01, 2007, 05:16:44 PM »

Ok, recently M3boy finds KK in middle stages of a £50 rebuy comp and the action before him goes all-in from shortie, all-in from CL @ his table, all-in from loose gambler and the action is on him. He has roughly 25 BB and fkind Kings. He calls and finds himself up against 66/99 and AQ. What do you reckon KK % of holding here is? No pokerstove allowed.

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Bongo
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« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2007, 05:17:52 PM »

40%?
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Dewi_cool
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« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2007, 05:26:27 PM »

50%
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The very last hand of the night goes to Dewi James, who finds ACES and talks Raymond O’Mahoney into calling his all-in preflop bet of 15k.  “If I had AQ, I’d call!” says Dewi.  Raymond calls holding pocket 66’s.


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« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2007, 05:30:04 PM »

Ok, recently M3boy finds KK in middle stages of a £50 rebuy comp and the action before him goes all-in from shortie, all-in from CL @ his table, all-in from loose gambler and the action is on him. He has roughly 25 BB and fkind Kings. He calls and finds himself up against 66/99 and AQ. What do you reckon KK % of holding here is? No pokerstove allowed.



a guess 30 ish..maybe 32 or 34%.and I'm thinking I'm too high there.
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kinboshi
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« Reply #4 on: October 01, 2007, 05:32:15 PM »

Somewhere between what Dewi and Bongo said.

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« Reply #5 on: October 01, 2007, 05:37:25 PM »

 I would guess about 40% like bongo.
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bhoywonder
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« Reply #6 on: October 01, 2007, 05:50:28 PM »

i reckon much lower

27%
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« Reply #7 on: October 01, 2007, 06:03:41 PM »

100%     Kings are unbeatable
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ifm
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« Reply #8 on: October 01, 2007, 06:06:51 PM »

i reckon pretty high 65%
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« Reply #9 on: October 01, 2007, 06:18:07 PM »

I'd say about 45% or so.
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ifm
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« Reply #10 on: October 01, 2007, 06:19:45 PM »

i reckon pretty high 65%

I actually put the kk v 2 random hands instead of 3 Cheesy
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« Reply #11 on: October 01, 2007, 06:22:18 PM »

if M3boy has the kings its somewhere about 3%
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« Reply #12 on: October 01, 2007, 07:59:16 PM »


Early thirties I would guess.

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johnmul99
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« Reply #13 on: October 01, 2007, 08:09:05 PM »

about 33%

30% ace queen win

19% 66 win

18% 99 win

at a guess
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Flea
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« Reply #14 on: October 01, 2007, 08:23:56 PM »

given the information then the guy with 6's is about 20% to beat Kings as is the guy with 9's, the guy with an Ace is about 35% to beat Kings so Kings are still favourite as there are more cards in the kings favour as kings don't need to hit so I reckon Kings are still about 55% to win. One other thing in the Kings favour is that all 3 of his opponents are actually taking some straightening card possibilities from each other (and maybe flush possibilities).
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