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Poker Hand Analysis
Check or Value Bet?
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Topic: Check or Value Bet? (Read 4102 times)
daviebhoy
Full Member
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Posts: 297
Re: Check or Value Bet?
«
Reply #15 on:
December 22, 2008, 01:12:58 PM »
Quote
I say we are beating K-Q, K-J, K-T, J-J, T-T - I expect all other hands will fold.
I would expect JJ or TT to re-raise in SB and fold when you re-raise the flop.
beating :
KQ, KJ, KT
mibbe beating (can't see these hands calling re-raise on flop) :
QQ, JJ, TT, 88, K8, K6, K5, K4
We are behind to :
99, 33, K9, K3
mibbe behind to (AA, KK re-raises pre and others prob don't call re-raise on flop) :
AA, KK, 77, 97s, K2, K7
Most of the hands we are beating fold to the push and the ones that call are often beating us. The only hand I imagine calling the push on the end is KQ really. Value bet looking for weak kings to call and fold to any re-shoves. Or just check it down. This is the safest option against an unknown opponent IMO.
«
Last Edit: December 22, 2008, 02:23:16 PM by daviebhoy
»
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bolt pp
Hero Member
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Posts: 10906
Re: Check or Value Bet?
«
Reply #16 on:
December 22, 2008, 01:14:12 PM »
Quote from: Nemesis on December 22, 2008, 01:11:31 PM
Quote from: bolt pp on December 22, 2008, 01:08:10 PM
Quote from: Nemesis on December 22, 2008, 01:00:57 PM
£55
I like this, but if he re-shoves then i sort of have to agree with daviebhoy about his range and we can probably fold.
If he re shoves we insta call ldo.
Waste of a tenner IMO
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Royal Flush
Hero Member
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Posts: 22690
Booooccccceeeeeee
Re: Check or Value Bet?
«
Reply #17 on:
December 22, 2008, 04:04:48 PM »
Quote from: daviebhoy on December 22, 2008, 01:12:58 PM
Quote
I say we are beating K-Q, K-J, K-T, J-J, T-T - I expect all other hands will fold.
I would expect JJ or TT to re-raise in SB and fold when you re-raise the flop.
beating :
KQ, KJ, KT
mibbe beating (can't see these hands calling re-raise on flop) :
QQ, JJ, TT, 88, K8, K6, K5, K4
We are behind to :
99, 33, K9, K3
mibbe behind to (AA, KK re-raises pre and others prob don't call re-raise on flop) :
AA, KK, 77, 97s, K2, K7
Most of the hands we are beating fold to the push and the ones that call are often beating us. The only hand I imagine calling the push on the end is KQ really. Value bet looking for weak kings to call and fold to any re-shoves. Or just check it down. This is the safest option against an unknown opponent IMO.
Please stop, all these better hands would have check jammed turn or jammed river, and people cannot be bad enough to just lead fold Kx QQ-TT etc on this flop.
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[19:44:40] Oracle: WE'RE ALL GOING ON A SPANISH HOLIDAY! TRIGGS STABLES SHIT!
T_Mar
Hero Member
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Posts: 1443
Re: Check or Value Bet?
«
Reply #18 on:
December 22, 2008, 04:15:13 PM »
Definately have to bet imo, looks like a hand he wants to get to showdown with so bet about 2/3 of the pot
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daviebhoy
Full Member
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Posts: 297
Re: Check or Value Bet?
«
Reply #19 on:
December 22, 2008, 04:22:07 PM »
Quote
Please stop, all these better hands would have check jammed turn or jammed river, and people cannot be bad enough to just lead fold Kx QQ-TT etc on this flop.
Okay, so you have never seen anyone do any of these things before ? I apologise for not realising that every player does exactly the same thing. In that case the fact we have no info on our opponent doesn't matter as we can predict what he would have done based on how he should have played.
I agree KQ is likely but as stated originally I would be tempted to check here as I think the pot has become too big for the strength of the hand and we have far from the nuts.
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bolt pp
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Posts: 10906
Re: Check or Value Bet?
«
Reply #20 on:
December 22, 2008, 04:28:21 PM »
Quote from: daviebhoy on December 22, 2008, 04:22:07 PM
Okay, so you have never seen anyone do any of these things before ? I apologise for not realising that every player does exactly the same thing. In that case the fact we have no info on our opponent doesn't matter as we can predict what he would have done based on how he should have played
Quote from: Royal Flush on December 22, 2008, 04:15:13 PM
please stop
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action man
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Posts: 10650
Re: Check or Value Bet?
«
Reply #21 on:
December 22, 2008, 05:19:22 PM »
for players who check behind here
www.cardrunners.com
for players who bet
www.wearegettingpaid.com/longterm
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bolt pp
Hero Member
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Posts: 10906
Re: Check or Value Bet?
«
Reply #22 on:
December 22, 2008, 05:26:05 PM »
LOL @ were getting paid.com
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boldie
Hero Member
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Posts: 22392
Don't make me mad
Re: Check or Value Bet?
«
Reply #23 on:
December 22, 2008, 05:33:13 PM »
Quote from: action man on December 22, 2008, 05:19:22 PM
for players who check behind here
www.cardrunners.com
for players who bet
www.wearegettingpaid.com/longterm
best answer yet.
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
RichEO
Hero Member
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Posts: 1493
Re: Check or Value Bet?
«
Reply #24 on:
December 22, 2008, 05:35:30 PM »
Quote from: snoopy1239 on December 21, 2008, 01:49:53 AM
He has £65 left. About £75 in the pot. Do I check, value bet a small amount or stick him in?
Is this a dead easy decision?
You are ahead almost all the time time here. Decision is, do you bet £64 or £65.
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Graham C
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Posts: 20663
Moo
Re: Check or Value Bet?
«
Reply #25 on:
December 22, 2008, 07:19:23 PM »
Quote from: action man on December 22, 2008, 05:19:22 PM
for players who check behind here
www.cardrunners.com
for players who bet
www.wearegettingpaid.com/longterm
So wanted that to be a balla page of some kind, had to click to see
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@silobass
My Photos
LeKnave
Hero Member
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Posts: 5547
the end of days...
Re: Check or Value Bet?
«
Reply #26 on:
December 22, 2008, 08:51:02 PM »
Quote from: action man on December 22, 2008, 05:19:22 PM
for players who check behind here
www.cardrunners.com
for players who bet
www.wearegettingpaid.com/longterm
so gold clam. A+.
/thread.
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Royal Flush
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 22690
Booooccccceeeeeee
Re: Check or Value Bet?
«
Reply #27 on:
December 22, 2008, 11:45:11 PM »
Quote from: daviebhoy on December 22, 2008, 04:22:07 PM
Quote
Please stop, all these better hands would have check jammed turn or jammed river, and people cannot be bad enough to just lead fold Kx QQ-TT etc on this flop.
Okay, so you have never seen anyone do any of these things before ? I apologise for not realising that every player does exactly the same thing. In that case the fact we have no info on our opponent doesn't matter as we can predict what he would have done based on how he should have played.
I agree KQ is likely but as stated originally I would be tempted to check here as I think the pot has become too big for the strength of the hand and we have far from the nuts.
There is a slim chance you are going to shove into a better hand, there is a massive chance you are going to shove into a worse hand.
Do you fold AA pre when someone shoves because you might get outdrawn?
That is the equivalent to checking here.
Forget about your actual hand strength, it's not about that its about relative hand strength.
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[19:44:40] Oracle: WE'RE ALL GOING ON A SPANISH HOLIDAY! TRIGGS STABLES SHIT!
NoflopsHomer
Malcontent
Hero Member
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Posts: 20204
Enchantment? Enchantment!
Re: Check or Value Bet?
«
Reply #28 on:
December 22, 2008, 11:54:38 PM »
Quote from: Royal Flush on December 22, 2008, 11:45:11 PM
Forget about your actual hand strength, it's not about that its about relative hand strength.
Priceless advice imo.
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snoopy1239
Hero Member
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Posts: 33034
Re: Check or Value Bet?
«
Reply #29 on:
December 23, 2008, 03:02:23 AM »
I shoved. He called. I won.
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