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Author Topic: Swimming Against the Tide  (Read 102651 times)
The Camel
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« Reply #105 on: January 17, 2009, 04:33:50 PM »
Going to be  on Monday.
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« Reply #106 on: January 17, 2009, 04:44:52 PM »
must be a record day for sending offs today ... bloody loads right through the leagues.
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« Reply #107 on: January 17, 2009, 05:12:47 PM »
Going to change the staking system. 1 point will equal 100 points so I can include commision without resorting to a whole raft of decimal places.

Almost certainly will be at least one NFL bet tomorrow and then as I'm off to Deauville, no bets for a week!
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Colchester Kev
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« Reply #108 on: January 17, 2009, 05:16:15 PM »
Late villa goal numbed the pain a touch ?
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The Camel
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« Reply #109 on: January 17, 2009, 05:40:02 PM »
Quote from: Colchester Kev on January 17, 2009, 05:16:15 PM
Late villa goal numbed the pain a touch ?

Saved me paying a trip to Darlington's highest building.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

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« Reply #110 on: January 17, 2009, 06:10:21 PM »
Unlucky today Keith, definitely identified some decent value, by the talk in the pub there's been some bizarre refereeing in the premiership today (blackburn penalty notably). Just for reference for the rest of the year, Birmingham are a poor/overrated side or at least they've been poor on the three occassions I've seen them.
Hopefully Scottish Dave went with his instinct and had a last minute plunge on Blackburn.
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« Reply #111 on: January 17, 2009, 06:18:11 PM »
Quote from: kukushkin88 on January 17, 2009, 06:10:21 PM
Unlucky today Keith, definitely identified some decent value, by the talk in the pub there's been some bizarre refereeing in the premiership today (blackburn penalty notably). Just for reference for the rest of the year, Birmingham are a poor/overrated side or at least they've been poor on the three occassions I've seen them.
Hopefully Scottish Dave went with his instinct and had a last minute plunge on Blackburn.

i stuck them on a small treble with Wolves and Dag n Reds......Dag drew 1-1! lol

Did anyone take me up on my two value bets i picked out today?

Hearts and Wolves?.... Hearts won 2-0, and Wolves currently 1-0 up?
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The Camel
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« Reply #112 on: January 18, 2009, 09:59:26 PM »
Well, the bet was going to be over the points in the Baltimore/Pittsburgh game.

However the line has moved from 33 to 35 and it's not exactly swimming aginst the tide playing the over with a 2 point movement!

Over 35 is still a good bet imo, but I won't advise it as a value bet.
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« Reply #113 on: January 18, 2009, 11:59:46 PM »
Quote from: The Camel on January 17, 2009, 05:12:47 PM
Going to change the staking system. 1 point will equal 100 points so I can include commision without resorting to a whole raft of decimal places.

Almost certainly will be at least one NFL bet tomorrow and then as I'm off to Deauville, no bets for a week!

I'm a simple person, this point thingy.... would I be far wrong if I take it as a point being 1% of a bankroll?
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« Reply #114 on: January 19, 2009, 12:55:30 AM »
I had a lovely swim against the tide today after backing Aberdeen earlier in the week at 5/1. Celtic were quite rightly favourites but the Dons were too big not to bet them.

They may be value again next weekend too but no way I'll be backing them on Saturday.
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« Reply #115 on: January 19, 2009, 07:39:52 AM »
Quote from: Maxriddles on January 19, 2009, 12:55:30 AM
I had a lovely swim against the tide today after backing Aberdeen earlier in the week at 5/1. Celtic were quite rightly favourites but the Dons were too big not to bet them.

They may be value again next weekend too but no way I'll be backing them on Saturday.

wee shall see
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« Reply #116 on: January 19, 2009, 01:45:50 PM »
Quote from: The Camel on January 18, 2009, 09:59:26 PM
Well, the bet was going to be over the points in the Baltimore/Pittsburgh game.

However the line has moved from 33 to 35 and it's not exactly swimming aginst the tide playing the over with a 2 point movement!

Over 35 is still a good bet imo, but I won't advise it as a value bet.

sigh, flushy told me under 33.5 was a knock in bet, took all the 2.06 early on betfair, drifted to 2.35 prematch and i got shafted in the last 2 mins
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« Reply #117 on: January 19, 2009, 02:24:04 PM »
Quote from: action man on January 19, 2009, 01:45:50 PM
Quote from: The Camel on January 18, 2009, 09:59:26 PM
Well, the bet was going to be over the points in the Baltimore/Pittsburgh game.

However the line has moved from 33 to 35 and it's not exactly swimming aginst the tide playing the over with a 2 point movement!

Over 35 is still a good bet imo, but I won't advise it as a value bet.

sigh, flushy told me under 33.5 was a knock in bet, took all the 2.06 early on betfair, drifted to 2.35 prematch and i got shafted in the last 2 mins

It went off at 2.14 btw Rick, still certain it was a good bet, just a bit unlucky the defences didn't perform as well as usual against the deep ball.
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The Camel
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« Reply #118 on: January 19, 2009, 11:47:47 PM »
Quote from: Royal Flush on January 19, 2009, 02:24:04 PM
Quote from: action man on January 19, 2009, 01:45:50 PM
Quote from: The Camel on January 18, 2009, 09:59:26 PM
Well, the bet was going to be over the points in the Baltimore/Pittsburgh game.

However the line has moved from 33 to 35 and it's not exactly swimming aginst the tide playing the over with a 2 point movement!

Over 35 is still a good bet imo, but I won't advise it as a value bet.

sigh, flushy told me under 33.5 was a knock in bet, took all the 2.06 early on betfair, drifted to 2.35 prematch and i got shafted in the last 2 mins

It went off at 2.14 btw Rick, still certain it was a good bet, just a bit unlucky the defences didn't perform as well as usual against the deep ball.

Not so sure it was a good bet Mr Flush.

Limas Sweed dropped a certain td pass, Pitt buggered up fg try at the end of the first half and Joe Flacco had a terrible day.

I think it was a solid over bet even though I got a bit lucky at the end Smiley
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
The Camel
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« Reply #119 on: January 19, 2009, 11:48:33 PM »
BTW... how did Mr and Mrs Sweed come up with Limas as a good name for their offspring?
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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