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arbboy
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« Reply #2955 on: May 02, 2018, 02:48:54 PM » |
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There are some decent specials up there but a 215% overround 50 runner heat 1/4 1,2,3,4 doesn't look that appealing.
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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #2956 on: May 02, 2018, 02:56:45 PM » |
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There are some decent specials up there but a 215% overround 50 runner heat 1/4 1,2,3,4 doesn't look that appealing.
"50" - my cat would beat half them. |
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arbboy
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« Reply #2957 on: May 02, 2018, 03:18:56 PM » |
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they can't take early prices Scotty like you mop up. It's all SP!
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horseplayer
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« Reply #2958 on: May 02, 2018, 03:26:47 PM » |
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I thought Vinnie Jones et al were probably worth ignoring  250% doesn't seem so bad tbh not sure I would offer any better on a market like that |
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arbboy
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« Reply #2959 on: May 02, 2018, 04:24:23 PM » |
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One guy that will be trying for his life to win it will be Dave Clarke i would have him as my favourite if i was running a book.
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arbboy
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« Reply #2960 on: May 02, 2018, 04:25:34 PM » |
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the guy that comes second should normally win though as everyone losing last night just tips up all the rags as a last chance salon and if one binks they get lucky. The guy going in on top plays it safe usually.
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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #2961 on: May 02, 2018, 05:10:31 PM » |
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One guy that will be trying for his life to win it will be Dave Clarke i would have him as my favourite if i was running a book.
Same. Already said on Twitter that he's a trier in this. |
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Omm
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« Reply #2962 on: May 02, 2018, 05:14:21 PM » |
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One guy that will be trying for his life to win it will be Dave Clarke i would have him as my favourite if i was running a book.
Same. Already said on Twitter that he's a trier in this. Ian Fotune seems a decent judge, over from Ireland. Can’t seem him not running close. |
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Omm
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« Reply #2964 on: May 02, 2018, 10:52:12 PM » |
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Fred is gonna to double the odds if you go unbeaten on your antepost pick through Derby.
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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #2965 on: May 02, 2018, 11:03:49 PM » |
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One more sleep.
Best bet tomorrow is Calico Brandy for me (8:49). I got on earlier at 2/1 with 365 thinking it was a good bet but they've since pushed him out to 9/4 - think they've taken a bet on the 5 dog since they've got that one in shorter than the other firms. Brandy 5/4 elsewhere.
Mates asked me for a treble for the first round, gave them Brandy with Boylesports Duke 7/4 (Friday 8:05) and Bombers Bullet 6/4 (Saturday 7:35).
Calico Ranger is 11/4 with Ladbrokes for the 8:17 tomorrow which is clear best price and IMO is a bet at that price. Can't see anything getting tooooo far away from him in this race.
Hunted for something at a bigger price for tomorrow, came up with Bubbly Turbo at 6/1 in the 7:45. Traps 1 and 2 might want to go right and 3 and 4 want rails, which could give Turbo all the space and he has decent speed to the bend. Might be big on the exchange tomorrow, not one I expect to go off shorter.
Keen to hear other views.
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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #2966 on: May 02, 2018, 11:04:34 PM » |
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Both put the same dog up at the same time Omm, a sign.
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Omm
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« Reply #2967 on: May 03, 2018, 07:07:30 AM » |
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Both put the same dog up at the same time Omm, a sign.
Spooky. I’ve had my biggest single bet in quite a while on Calico Brandy, 9/4 really floated my boat. I’ve always thought as 365 as a good judges on prices and they go shortest on The Other Ben at 9/4 where as in general u can get 100/30-4/1. Maybe they know!! Regardless will be a decent night. Lots of underround at the moment, 20:17 is 95%, 20:33 @ 92%, 20:49 @ 98%, 21:21@98%. |
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Omm
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« Reply #2968 on: May 03, 2018, 07:23:28 AM » |
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Star sports are 9/4 for a droopys prefix to win, SB have just gone 4/1.
Who do we get running for us:
Sky prices vs best price
Droopys Biker 16/1- 20/1
Droopys Verve 18/1- 20/1
Droopys Davy 20/1 - 33/1
Droopys Bonucci 33/1 - 50/1
Droopys Wilbury 100/1 - 125/1
Droopys Alex 100/1 - 150/1
Droopys Giorgio 100/1 - 150/1
Droopys Martial 100/1 - 200/1
Droopys Chill 150/1- 200/1
Droopys Nirvana 150/1-200/1
Droopys Dresden 200/1-200/1
Putting all that in a ductching calc comes to for a £1 stake
Sky prices = £4.06
Best prices = £5.40
If you just take the top four in the betting it pays £6.93 to best prices.
If anything shows how skinny the 9/4 is for the sponsors.
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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #2969 on: May 03, 2018, 07:54:02 AM » |
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He's likely not wanting any action. He's laid a Buckley winner for 10k @ 10/1 and that's obviously 2 of the top 3 Droopys'.
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