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Author Topic: NFL Betting blog  (Read 154828 times)
kukushkin88
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« Reply #210 on: October 09, 2011, 02:34:36 PM »

I´ll be on Atlanta at a fair enough looking 11/5, not standout value by any means but I expected them to be a very good side this year and think they´ll be very motivated tonight. If they can get any sort of pass rush going (a big if from what we´ve seen so far this year) they´ll be in business, big night from Turner as well please.
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Sheriff Fatman
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« Reply #211 on: October 09, 2011, 02:51:33 PM »

I took Cincinatti +2.5 when the early lines came out and the line is now -1, -1.5 so I obviously wasn't the only one.

Also tempted by Tampa Bay +2.5 and Tennessee +3.5, but will decide nearer kickoff.  Don't like betting against the Steelers at home generally, but they're banged up and have big O-line issues so I think Tennessee might have a shot.
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"...And If You Flash Him A Smile He'll Take Your Teeth As Deposit..."
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Horneris
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« Reply #212 on: October 09, 2011, 03:39:33 PM »

Backed:
Denver +4 @ 19/20
Tampa outright @ 2.44

Still deciding on:
Eagles -2.5 @ 19/20
Carolina outright @ 3.9
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action man
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« Reply #213 on: October 09, 2011, 04:22:44 PM »

had a fun little First TD lucky

dwayne bowe 7/1
owen daniels 8/1
lesaun mccoy 5/1
eric decker 10/1


you can get 7/1 in places or mccoy first TD seems great value
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Simon Galloway
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« Reply #214 on: October 09, 2011, 04:59:30 PM »

Colts are favs presumably due to home advantage and hanging with the Steelers last time.  But in a game which may be a shocker, I like taking the odds-against available on the money line on Chiefs.  I have no clue tho so I'm sure they will get hosed.

As per my previous post a few spots up ^^ I am happy to stand a few bets also...
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TightEnd
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« Reply #215 on: October 09, 2011, 05:14:16 PM »

Mendenhall out for Pitt. With that and a terrible OL (Max Starks starting who was on the streeet a week ago) I like the Titans a lot, even away

 
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TightEnd
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« Reply #216 on: October 09, 2011, 05:17:29 PM »

and all is not happy in Steeler land

RossTuckerNFL Ross Tucker
Several Steelers I spoke to pre-game laughed or rolled eyes when I told them about Big Ben's limp/walk into locker room. He's fine
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stribling
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« Reply #217 on: October 09, 2011, 06:21:17 PM »

Any where you can watch the games?

Been using p2p4u.net but it just freezes all the time.
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« Reply #218 on: October 09, 2011, 06:43:57 PM »

Try www.atdhenet.tv although occasionally the games go down late.
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stribling
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« Reply #219 on: October 09, 2011, 07:16:34 PM »

Cheers mate, seem to have a perfect stream for Saints, The novelty of American adverts being on has well and truly worn off.
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« Reply #220 on: October 09, 2011, 10:37:43 PM »

Somethign strange going on in the NFL this year.  I just went trhough every game and only counted 14 games so far with total points under 37 points.....must be somethign at play....anyone got any ideas?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #221 on: October 09, 2011, 10:45:09 PM »

Generally reckoned the long lock out has defenses undercooked. Add to that tougher interference rules on dbs
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« Reply #222 on: October 09, 2011, 10:47:51 PM »

Somethign strange going on in the NFL this year.  I just went trhough every game and only counted 14 games so far with total points under 37 points.....must be somethign at play....anyone got any ideas?

changes in the passing game analysed here http://www.rantsports.com/dallas-cowboys/2011/09/28/nfl-compiles-more-passing-yards-touchdowns-points-than-any-season-in-history/
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« Reply #223 on: October 10, 2011, 07:56:18 AM »

Tampa Bay destroyed by the 49'ers! on fire.
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kukushkin88
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« Reply #224 on: October 10, 2011, 11:07:08 AM »

Thanks Sheriff - good write up.

My total postion is buy Cards, sell 49ers.  So obviously I get killed if SF come first and Cards come nowhere, but I'm quietly happy with my position.

The Rams are probably available pretty cheap after their 0-2 if you still think they are the standouts, and they are only 1 win behind.  Seattle look almost a non-runner.

Hope your downside on this isn´t too big, it´s starting to look pretty ugly. Looking at the schedule there´s a pretty reasonable possibility they´ll get to week nine without winning again (bye week, then the Steelers, then the Ravens). Massive game in SF in week 11.
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