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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16138332 times)
arbboy
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« Reply #106620 on: September 07, 2015, 07:06:49 PM »

Couldn't put anyone off Hove ew at 5/1 as well just because they have a relatively easy draw as well.  Wimbledon are losing trainers to other tracks and won't be remotely concerned about winning this.  Keeping their track open at the minute and not losing any more trainers is a far bigger worry for them.  Romford is an extremely short track 400m and they run so many opens every week which their top graded dogs run in that they won't have sufficient strength either.  Hove are 4/9 to win their group (which is very weak) and the same as Newcastle could easily finish 2nd and go through as a highest scoring loser.  Hove always take this competition very seriously as well.  The other two tracks are very weak grading wise.  Crayford is the shortest track in the event 380m which is a massive negative and Sittingbourne just don't have the graded strength to be a factor against a powerhouse bookmaker owned track like Hove and Romford because they don't have as many BAGS meetings a week they need much fewer dogs to fill their cards.

Let's have £100 ew on them as well at 5/1.  The ew angles are just too big to pass up here given the draw bias.
« Last Edit: September 07, 2015, 07:09:35 PM by arbboy » Logged
TightEnd
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« Reply #106621 on: September 07, 2015, 07:12:11 PM »

that will have to wait, working capital issues.
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arbboy
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« Reply #106622 on: September 07, 2015, 07:13:43 PM »

that will have to wait, working capital issues.

No worries.  Can't see Hills moving their 5/1.  We got til Thurs to get on.
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MattyHollis
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« Reply #106623 on: September 07, 2015, 07:17:38 PM »

that will have to wait, working capital issues.

No worries.  Can't see Hills moving their 5/1.  We got til Thurs to get on.

Can you link me to the group betting please, thanks.
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arbboy
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« Reply #106624 on: September 07, 2015, 07:18:23 PM »

just go to betfred sports and ante post dogs.  It will show there.  The link doesn;t work.  I have checked Hills/bet365 and they haven't got group betting so assume Bald is the only one to have gone up.  His early 8/15 Newcastle for their group has long gone which highlights how wrong that price was given the value hunters have found it and backed it already even though it isn't on oddschecker.

If you find any other firms with group prices can you post them?
« Last Edit: September 07, 2015, 07:24:24 PM by arbboy » Logged
MattyHollis
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« Reply #106625 on: September 07, 2015, 07:20:52 PM »

just go to betfred sports and ante post dogs.  It will show there.  The link doesn;t work.  I have checked Hills/bet365 and they haven't got group betting so assume Bald is the only one to have gone up.  His early 8/15 Newcastle for their group has long gone which highlights how wrong that price was given the value hunters have found it and backed it already even though it isn't on oddschecker.

Nice one cheers.
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arbboy
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« Reply #106626 on: September 07, 2015, 07:45:29 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/greyhounds/ante-post/bags-track-championship/the-north

Power gone 1/4 Newcastle to win their group.
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RickBFA
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« Reply #106627 on: September 07, 2015, 10:22:53 PM »

Carlisle v Dagenham on Saturday. There are a number of potential bets I am looking at and will post in next 48 hours.

First bet I really like is a corners bet.

On Saturday in Carlisle v Barnet there were 21 corners.

Currently the only bookie offering corner bet is beteveryday.

They are 10/11 over 11.5 corners.

I think this alone is a massive misprice by them. They will not adjust every market in lower league games and we will gain an edge.

I recommend £15 on over 11.5 corners - you can have some of mine unless someone else wants to get on for Tikay.

What you think Tighty?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #106628 on: September 07, 2015, 10:27:12 PM »

Carlisle v Dagenham on Saturday. There are a number of potential bets I am looking at and will post in next 48 hours.

First bet I really like is a corners bet.

On Saturday in Carlisle v Barnet there were 21 corners.

Currently the only bookie offering corner bet is beteveryday.

They are 10/11 over 11.5 corners.

I think this alone is a massive misprice by them. They will not adjust every market in lower league games and we will gain an edge.

I recommend £15 on over 11.5 corners - you can have some of mine unless someone else wants to get on for Tikay.

What you think Tighty?

sorry, i forgot to reply to your PM

Could we take £15 of yours please?
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RickBFA
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« Reply #106629 on: September 07, 2015, 10:28:08 PM »

Carlisle v Dagenham on Saturday. There are a number of potential bets I am looking at and will post in next 48 hours.

First bet I really like is a corners bet.

On Saturday in Carlisle v Barnet there were 21 corners.

Currently the only bookie offering corner bet is beteveryday.

They are 10/11 over 11.5 corners.

I think this alone is a massive misprice by them. They will not adjust every market in lower league games and we will gain an edge.

I recommend £15 on over 11.5 corners - you can have some of mine unless someone else wants to get on for Tikay.

What you think Tighty?

sorry, i forgot to reply to your PM

Could we take £15 of yours please?

Yes booked
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Chompy
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« Reply #106630 on: September 08, 2015, 11:08:24 AM »

James Hill now around 6-4 for CBB.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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« Reply #106631 on: September 08, 2015, 01:41:43 PM »

James Hill now around 6-4 for CBB.

Are we on him?  I watched it last night for the first time and he played a blinder.  Took me a while to work out where I recognised him from.  Fairly unpleasant viewing all round, though our earlier bet didn't quite self destruct.  I had to look up who Farrah Abraham was.  What a series of events to be famous for!  I'd recommend putting Farah Abraham Wikipedia if at work or googling on your non-work phone. 
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #106632 on: September 08, 2015, 01:56:19 PM »

James Hill now around 6-4 for CBB.

Are we on him?  I watched it last night for the first time and he played a blinder.  Took me a while to work out where I recognised him from.  Fairly unpleasant viewing all round, though our earlier bet didn't quite self destruct.  I had to look up who Farrah Abraham was.  What a series of events to be famous for!  I'd recommend putting Farah Abraham Wikipedia if at work or googling on your non-work phone. 

Or take a look at the video if you work from home Cheesy
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TightEnd
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« Reply #106633 on: September 08, 2015, 01:59:05 PM »

no word of a lie,

when chompy said back jimmy hill i thought we were backing



i was sad to learn on checking today that he has been struck down by alzheimers and dementia

87 years old now
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TheDazzler
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« Reply #106634 on: September 08, 2015, 02:34:51 PM »

no word of a lie,

when chompy said back jimmy hill i thought we were backing



i was sad to learn on checking today that he has been struck down by alzheimers and dementia

87 years old now

Oh no. When Chompy said to back Jimmy Hill, I also thought of footballs Jimmy Hill. I thought, "there's no way Jimmy Hill can win! I'm not backing him."
I should never have doubted the Celebrity Correspondents credentials.
On that point, I guess when keeping accounts alive, betting on CBB is probably really good stuff. Even if you're profitable, the loltraders must think they are ice cream bets.
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