Tips for Tikay

[Doobs]

Aston Villa at Liverpool

Liverpool 8/15

really?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/liverpool-v-aston-villa/winner

any thoughts welcome

Yeah, we've been here before. Pool have something ridiculous like 20 points from their last 18 games. Pool under priced on reputation imo and it may go on for a while yet.
I suggest laying Pool.

Looks completely right.  Thread must have a terrible record laying Liverpool tho?

West Ham 11/8 at home to Norwich
Southampton evens at home to Swansea.

At least one of those must be wrong too?  I have gone for the top one.  The price suggests those two teams are evenly matched.   

What happened to Arbboy?  Is he all over Stoke too?

[TightEnd]

we don't have the money to lay liverpool, currently, and yes i think with one exception we have a terrible record laying them. then they lose when we don't. not that this is relevant


i thought west ham would be odds on at home to norwich.

[tikay]

Aston Villa at Liverpool

Liverpool 8/15

really?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/liverpool-v-aston-villa/winner

any thoughts welcome

Yeah, we've been here before. Pool have something ridiculous like 20 points from their last 18 games. Pool under priced on reputation imo and it may go on for a while yet.
I suggest laying Pool.

Looks completely right.  Thread must have a terrible record laying Liverpool tho?

West Ham 11/8 at home to Norwich
Southampton evens at home to Swansea.

At least one of those must be wrong too?  I have gone for the top one.  The price suggests those two teams are evenly matched.   

What happened to Arbboy?  Is he all over Stoke too?

No idea, he has been online most days, but not posted much at all this week.

[TightEnd]

strictly come dancing

for a first week i thought the standard was extremely high last night.

first to exit market

got to remember that a big thing in this is who has exposure to the public regularly

for example carol kirkwood is going to struggle but she is HUGELY popular with the type of people that vote

Jeremy vine, going to struggle, but has a daily radio 2 show where he can schmaltz to the type of people who vote

if you are on breakfast tv, daily radio,loose women etc you have a marginal advantage compared to someone with no outlet to be seen

if you are in the judges bottom two and popular, you attract votes. just outside, and people aren't compelled to vote

i'm looking for an alternative to the two favourites in this market

http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/strictly-come-dancing/1st-elimination

everything i see tells me that jay mcguinness can't dance, isn't enjoying it and he's a 33/1 poke to go first

the band haven't had a hit since 2013, aren't in the consciousness of the voters and he has no platform to appeal for votes

interested to see if he struggles tonight and have a stray tenner on now on the off chance the price really tumbles

[Doobs]

we don't have the money to lay liverpool, currently, and yes i think with one exception we have a terrible record laying them. then they lose when we don't. not that this is relevant


i thought west ham would be odds on at home to norwich.

FWIW I wasn't suggesting thread shouldn't lay because of the past record. 

And pile in on Jay.  Agree 100%

[TightEnd]

F1 qualifying is worth a re-watch at 1.15pm if you were asleep earlier

[TightEnd]

we don't have the money to lay liverpool, currently, and yes i think with one exception we have a terrible record laying them. then they lose when we don't. not that this is relevant


i thought west ham would be odds on at home to norwich.

FWIW I wasn't suggesting thread shouldn't lay because of the past record. 

And pile in on Jay.  Agree 100%

no i know. we just don't have any betfair funds

Jay. skybet is a no go. coral will lay £1.50 at 33-1

should have checked before i cross-posted really, but if anyone wants a punt i can't have him at 33-1 when the two favourites are popular people

[Doobs]

we don't have the money to lay liverpool, currently, and yes i think with one exception we have a terrible record laying them. then they lose when we don't. not that this is relevant


i thought west ham would be odds on at home to norwich.

FWIW I wasn't suggesting thread shouldn't lay because of the past record. 

And pile in on Jay.  Agree 100%

no i know. we just don't have any betfair funds

Jay. skybet is a no go. coral will lay £1.50 at 33-1

should have checked before i cross-posted really, but if anyone wants a punt i can't have him at 33-1 when the two favourites are popular people

Suggests we are now on 10% with Koral.  Thread can have a fiver of mine at 33/1 given you prompted me.   

[TightEnd]

ta

Coral generally is fine, haven't been restricted on mainstream stuff afaik

same with ladbrokes, ok on big stuff try novelty or sub-markets, very difficult

[tikay]

F1 qualifying is worth a re-watch at 1.15pm if you were asleep earlier

Here's the You Tube vid of the crash, with what sounds like automated robotic commentary. (WTF?).

[Tal]

Sorry, I was slow on Jay. Have posted on the thread. An interest bet is a good size.

[Chompy]

Can let you have some of my 33-1 Jay McGenius. How much you want?

[TightEnd]

Can let you have some of my 33-1 Jay McGenius. How much you want?

its ok thanks, we took a small piece of doobs'

[JohnCharver]

Friendly warning, Tal - do NOT go near the Liverpool thread. Just don't. OK?

Views are looking pretty lol atm

[swinebag22]

Dirty EW bet alert!! but it is a saturday at haydock so should be a goer

4.30 at Haydock

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/haydock/16:30/winner

I fancy Banzari here. Stepping down in class and seems to prefer the softer ground. The 10/1 beats betfair too

Reccommend £12.50 EW