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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13446383 times)
horseplayer
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« Reply #107595 on: October 02, 2015, 04:35:54 PM »

If Doobs, or Horsie are around wouldnt mind knowing what they think of
KALIMANTAN Wolv 645.
Although he prob hasnt fulfilled promise on the flat won couple races over hurdles.
The last wolverhampton run has worked out ok,
He is basically running off a low mark here, esp with jock claim.
12/1 with Hillys, only about 10/11 on betfair.

I don't follow the all weather, horsey is your man.  I don't think you can go far wrong backing horses at 12/1 that are 11/1 on Betfair.  It isn't a bad e/w race either if you go that way.

I haven't been to Kalimantan, but have done Sabah.  Pity they are ruining the whole Island by covering it in Palm oil plantations.  Having a terrible effect on the Oranutans.  Also the burning causes smog frequently in that part of the world.  Loved the island still, proper jungle in places, leeches and all.  Wonder if it is still worth going or all a bit late?

Sure a tenner each way will be fine if you were reccing it for thread.  Boo to the palm oil wankers though.

Not at the moment I am!

No clue on the race but good luck
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McGlashan
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« Reply #107596 on: October 02, 2015, 04:43:49 PM »

Ps matt le tisssier crushing countdown wtf?

72-38 on +1.  Rachel looking fine

Damn he is crushing, Monday will be his 4th day!

Que thoughts of 'but any footballer that intellectual must of got ribbed for being a homosexual' then the camera cuts away to reveal Graeme Le Saux is also in the studio.
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« Reply #107597 on: October 02, 2015, 05:04:28 PM »

Think Kalimantan would be worth a £10 e/w, the front 3 havent been running that well of late - Joshua Potman could be best of the fancied ones, but 12/1 does look decent enough price .
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« Reply #107598 on: October 02, 2015, 05:11:32 PM »

gone
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Tal
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« Reply #107599 on: October 02, 2015, 05:17:22 PM »

Ps matt le tisssier crushing countdown wtf?

72-38 on +1.  Rachel looking fine

How did I miss this, work is rubbish.  Matt has won 4 in a row.  Officially nearly half as good as Stato.

Google images suggests he's been a busy lad in game show land.

 Click to see full-size image.


 Click to see full-size image.


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Tal
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« Reply #107600 on: October 02, 2015, 05:18:13 PM »

Sick value bet btw
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« Reply #107601 on: October 02, 2015, 05:21:21 PM »

If Doobs, or Horsie are around wouldnt mind knowing what they think of
KALIMANTAN Wolv 645.
Although he prob hasnt fulfilled promise on the flat won couple races over hurdles.
The last wolverhampton run has worked out ok,
He is basically running off a low mark here, esp with jock claim.
12/1 with Hillys, only about 10/11 on betfair.

I don't follow the all weather, horsey is your man.  I don't think you can go far wrong backing horses at 12/1 that are 11/1 on Betfair.  It isn't a bad e/w race either if you go that way.

I haven't been to Kalimantan, but have done Sabah.  Pity they are ruining the whole Island by covering it in Palm oil plantations.  Having a terrible effect on the Oranutans.  Also the burning causes smog frequently in that part of the world.  Loved the island still, proper jungle in places, leeches and all.  Wonder if it is still worth going or all a bit late?

Sure a tenner each way will be fine if you were reccing it for thread.  Boo to the palm oil wankers though.

Interested as to why we think E/W is good here? Looks a notably poor E/W race. (genuine question, not in anyway intended as a dig)
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« Reply #107602 on: October 02, 2015, 06:09:17 PM »

If Doobs, or Horsie are around wouldnt mind knowing what they think of
KALIMANTAN Wolv 645.
Although he prob hasnt fulfilled promise on the flat won couple races over hurdles.
The last wolverhampton run has worked out ok,
He is basically running off a low mark here, esp with jock claim.
12/1 with Hillys, only about 10/11 on betfair.

I don't follow the all weather, horsey is your man.  I don't think you can go far wrong backing horses at 12/1 that are 11/1 on Betfair.  It isn't a bad e/w race either if you go that way.

I haven't been to Kalimantan, but have done Sabah.  Pity they are ruining the whole Island by covering it in Palm oil plantations.  Having a terrible effect on the Oranutans.  Also the burning causes smog frequently in that part of the world.  Loved the island still, proper jungle in places, leeches and all.  Wonder if it is still worth going or all a bit late?

Sure a tenner each way will be fine if you were reccing it for thread.  Boo to the palm oil wankers though.

Interested as to why we think E/W is good here? Looks a notably poor E/W race. (genuine question, not in anyway intended as a dig)

Why do you think it is notably poor?

3 short priced ones, 2 no hopers.  You get quarter first 3 which is ok with the shape.  Betfair suggests 3/1 is about right.

Please reread.  I said it isn't bad and it isn't, and it is a long way from notably poor.  If it was good, I'd say so.

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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #107603 on: October 02, 2015, 06:35:58 PM »

Bromley to win the Conference at 40/1 £20 ew 1/5 odds with bet365
Bromley to get promoted £20 at 33/1 with Sportingbet or 35/1 with 10bet.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/national-league/winner

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/national-league/promotion

They have won 6 on the trot and find themselves 4th in a very tight league. The bookies have them placed 11th in the ratings of teams, where I think this is bias towards a promoted team. Grimbsy by comparison are 2 points behind Bromley but are 7/4 to get promoted, granted they are the bigger team but probably shows what i mean about the potential value.

They have the top goalscorer in the league in Moses Emmanuel getting 12 in 13 games. Watched highlights of some of the games and it has been attractive. They have scored the most in the league which could bode well. They did have a dismal time of it before their run though and they could demise quite quickly when the run ends, but just in case they can maintain good form, even to a lesser extent, there appears to be value here.

Definitely do not attest to knowing much about the league nor Bromley. Also the league places are so tight from 12th to 4th it is a joke. I just think though after their last run of 6 games they may be over their breaking in period at the level, and is worth the punt at long odds. It also may help mentally that they won the Conference South the year before.

 
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« Reply #107604 on: October 02, 2015, 06:44:31 PM »

Bromley to win the Conference at 40/1 £20 ew 1/5 odds with bet365
Bromley to get promoted £20 at 33/1 with Sportingbet or 35/1 with 10bet.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/national-league/winner

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/national-league/promotion

They have won 6 on the trot and find themselves 4th in a very tight league. The bookies have them placed 11th in the ratings of teams, where I think this is bias towards a promoted team. Grimbsy by comparison are 2 points behind Bromley but are 7/4 to get promoted, granted they are the bigger team but probably shows what i mean about the potential value.

They have the top goalscorer in the league in Moses Emmanuel getting 12 in 13 games. Watched highlights of some of the games and it has been attractive. They have scored the most in the league which could bode well. They did have a dismal time of it before their run though and they could demise quite quickly when the run ends, but just in case they can maintain good form, even to a lesser extent, there appears to be value here.

Definitely do not attest to knowing much about the league nor Bromley. Also the league places are so tight from 12th to 4th it is a joke. I just think though after their last run of 6 games they may be over their breaking in period at the level, and is worth the punt at long odds. It also may help mentally that they won the Conference South the year before.

 


Surely 8/1 top 3 is awful if someone else is effectively 33/1 top 2?  Assume the latter isn't going to get voided.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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« Reply #107605 on: October 02, 2015, 06:44:53 PM »

can't do that i am afraid

the sportingbet account is unfunded, and i think the price might be stale anyway

bet365 won't accomodate us
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Ant040689
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« Reply #107606 on: October 02, 2015, 06:47:54 PM »

Bromley to win the Conference at 40/1 £20 ew 1/5 odds with bet365
Bromley to get promoted £20 at 33/1 with Sportingbet or 35/1 with 10bet.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/national-league/winner

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/national-league/promotion

They have won 6 on the trot and find themselves 4th in a very tight league. The bookies have them placed 11th in the ratings of teams, where I think this is bias towards a promoted team. Grimbsy by comparison are 2 points behind Bromley but are 7/4 to get promoted, granted they are the bigger team but probably shows what i mean about the potential value.

They have the top goalscorer in the league in Moses Emmanuel getting 12 in 13 games. Watched highlights of some of the games and it has been attractive. They have scored the most in the league which could bode well. They did have a dismal time of it before their run though and they could demise quite quickly when the run ends, but just in case they can maintain good form, even to a lesser extent, there appears to be value here.

Definitely do not attest to knowing much about the league nor Bromley. Also the league places are so tight from 12th to 4th it is a joke. I just think though after their last run of 6 games they may be over their breaking in period at the level, and is worth the punt at long odds. It also may help mentally that they won the Conference South the year before.

 


Surely 8/1 top 3 is awful if someone else is effectively 33/1 top 2?  Assume the latter isn't going to get voided.

33/1 top two?

Playoffs are two games worth to get promoted from 2nd-5th. Could get 2nd or 3rd and not be promoted but cash in on the 8/1. Fair play if the e/w isn't appealing, but the general value i feel is there.
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Ant040689
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« Reply #107607 on: October 02, 2015, 06:52:32 PM »

can't do that i am afraid

the sportingbet account is unfunded, and i think the price might be stale anyway

bet365 won't accomodate us

Betfair sportsbook do the same bet if you fancy 40/1 with e/w available.

888sport/unibet are doing 30/1 for promotion and would say its a bet at that.

However, have a little mull over on it and if you don't fancy it, no problem. 
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TightEnd
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« Reply #107608 on: October 02, 2015, 06:59:41 PM »

we have £12.26 Bromley promotion 888sport 30-1

thats all i could get

conference national markets, not easy
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« Reply #107609 on: October 02, 2015, 07:01:10 PM »

Bromley to win the Conference at 40/1 £20 ew 1/5 odds with bet365
Bromley to get promoted £20 at 33/1 with Sportingbet or 35/1 with 10bet.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/national-league/winner

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/national-league/promotion

They have won 6 on the trot and find themselves 4th in a very tight league. The bookies have them placed 11th in the ratings of teams, where I think this is bias towards a promoted team. Grimbsy by comparison are 2 points behind Bromley but are 7/4 to get promoted, granted they are the bigger team but probably shows what i mean about the potential value.

They have the top goalscorer in the league in Moses Emmanuel getting 12 in 13 games. Watched highlights of some of the games and it has been attractive. They have scored the most in the league which could bode well. They did have a dismal time of it before their run though and they could demise quite quickly when the run ends, but just in case they can maintain good form, even to a lesser extent, there appears to be value here.

Definitely do not attest to knowing much about the league nor Bromley. Also the league places are so tight from 12th to 4th it is a joke. I just think though after their last run of 6 games they may be over their breaking in period at the level, and is worth the punt at long odds. It also may help mentally that they won the Conference South the year before.

 


Surely 8/1 top 3 is awful if someone else is effectively 33/1 top 2?  Assume the latter isn't going to get voided.

33/1 top two?

Playoffs are two games worth to get promoted from 2nd-5th. Could get 2nd or 3rd and not be promoted but cash in on the 8/1. Fair play if the e/w isn't appealing, but the general value i feel is there.

"Effectively" first 2 as 2 are promoted.  It is all about value, if the 8/1 comes in and the 33/1 doesn't, it doesn't mean 8/1 was the value.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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