Tips for Tikay

[arbboy]

Second the Stoke bet.

I have no idea what statistical anomaly has Stoke so regularly priced so high at home.

Earlier in the season you couldn't back them but they are in good form now and should be < evens at home to anyone, except the big 3 and maybe ManU too.

Why? Do you make Stoke the 4th or fifth best team in th epl? That is what that redic statement implies and I am a Stoke fan!  Stoke shouldn't be odds on to many teams outside the bottom 8 teams at home.  Even against most of them they should, only be a very small shade of odds on.

Watford are however one of those teams and the 23/20 is a decent bet IMO.

[Tal]

After 6 of 17 weeks, the NFL Passing Yards list looks thusly:

1. P. Rivers SD 2116
2. A. Dalton CIN 1761
3. M. Ryan ATL 1751
4. C. Palmer ARI 1737
5. T. Brady NE 1699
6. B. Bortles JAC 1630
7. D. Brees NO 1616
8. M. Stafford DET 1610
9. E. Manning NYG 1606
10. J. Flacco BAL 1605

Of those, only Tom Brady has had a bye yet (I think). Rivers is carrying his team single-handedly at the moment. Incredible performance from him. He is dragging his team kicking and screaming towards playoff contention and is not being supported by underwhelming first round rookie running back, Melvin Gordon, so he's doing it all on his own.

This Monday, Palmer and the Cardinals face the Baltimore Ravens, whose secondary has been woeful. A 300+ game is an must for our man if he has any realistic chance of top spot. We need top three for a return.

[tikay]

^^^^^

Good work Tal Bloke, thanks.

[TightEnd]

Stoke Stoke v Watford Winner
23/20
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £43.00

after support for the rec above

[TightEnd]

i put this amount in expecting to get knocked back as usual

not this time

New York Jets +9
New York Jets at New England Patriots Point Spread
18/19
Total Stake: £33.00
Potential Returns: £64.43

[DungBeetle]

Poor few results for our spread positions I'm afraid.  Current close out is negative £72 for spreadsheet purposes.

Item   Close PL
Watford   45
Charlton   -55
Preston/Leeds   -2
Peterboro Index   -60
   
Total   -72

[TightEnd]

question for ant040489

Palace at set pieces. a big threat, or no more than any other team?

the back four are all big, Jedinak is tall, bolasie is etc etc

i know i am inviting warantpeace again, i know

but i like palace at leicester this weekend at voer 2/1. we are a tiny side, apart from the two centre backs we don't have any size at all. vulnerable at set pieces every game as shown at southampton last weekend

conceded 17 goals this season, scored 19 and lethal on the counter but that plays more away from home than at home

 

[TightEnd]

it is expected to be wet throughout the austin gp weekend

should a safety car be shorter than 8/11?

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/united-states-grand-prix/safety-car

in this weather, under 15 finishers at 2/1?

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/united-states-grand-prix/number-of-classified-drivers-3-way

it is also expected to be very humid. red bull have an upgrade available, but to take it would mean more grid penalties. do we think they'll take it? if so will it make any difference? (i am thinking back to red bull in humid singapore, going well)

can we oppose mercedes on the grounds of all the various uncertainties this weekend? for example vettel goes well in the wet. or is the mercedes unopposable this weekend?

[TightEnd]

i talked yesterday about the 49ers +6.5 for tonight, which received a mixed reaction which is fair enough

in the last 7 times these teams have met the game has gone under the points line

seattle defense. 49ers defense (which has now been broken up by retirements and injuries) and lack of offense on both sides running games apart

tonight it is 42

does the under still hold, or have things changed?

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-san-francisco-49ers/total-points

[TightEnd]

i can't help much, but any views on the Rgby world cup semi finals?

what about the first cheltenham meeting of the season on saturday?

[arbboy]

i talked yesterday about the 49ers +6.5 for tonight, which received a mixed reaction which is fair enough

in the last 7 times these teams have met the game has gone under the points line

seattle defense. 49ers defense (which has now been broken up by retirements and injuries) and lack of offense on both sides running games apart

tonight it is 42

does the under still hold, or have things changed?

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-san-francisco-49ers/total-points

Camel posted last week against Seattle saying they have had a tough 2 weeks travelling across time zones and last weekend was a perfect let down spot after two tough losses/overtime games etc.  Now they face a road game on a short turn around against a divisional rival following another brutal collapse last weekend.  Surely the home dog here has to be value with the points?  Seattle have been well backed as well since the prices came out which surprised me.

[TightEnd]

we are on the 49ers to finish 4th in their division

amazingly the team that might deny us winning that bet is the seahawks

the two teams meet on thursday night football tomorrow


the seahawks come off big physical games where they gave up big leads on lost, to cincinnati and carolina

they now travel down the coast on a short week for a divisional game

they are nearly a touchdown favourites in these circumstances

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-san-francisco-49ers/point-spread

-6.5? really?

gearing up for a big bet (by my standards) on the 49ers, who have a lot of weaknesses but at least seem to be fighting for their coach

the seahawks issues to me seem to be

a) offensive line. leading against carolina they didn't trust their run at all, didn't give it to lynch much in the fourth quarter. they did get jimmy graham moving finally though, which is a +

b) the secondary keeps getting torched late in games. need to read up onwhy, but from a cursory glance at the games the hold out of kam channcellor looks to have disrputed the whole unit

that was my view yesterday, yes

[HutchGF]

we are on the 49ers to finish 4th in their division

amazingly the team that might deny us winning that bet is the seahawks

the two teams meet on thursday night football tomorrow


the seahawks come off big physical games where they gave up big leads on lost, to cincinnati and carolina

they now travel down the coast on a short week for a divisional game

they are nearly a touchdown favourites in these circumstances

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-san-francisco-49ers/point-spread

-6.5? really?

gearing up for a big bet (by my standards) on the 49ers, who have a lot of weaknesses but at least seem to be fighting for their coach

the seahawks issues to me seem to be

a) offensive line. leading against carolina they didn't trust their run at all, didn't give it to lynch much in the fourth quarter. they did get jimmy graham moving finally though, which is a +

b) the secondary keeps getting torched late in games. need to read up onwhy, but from a cursory glance at the games the hold out of kam channcellor looks to have disrputed the whole unit

that was my view yesterday, yes

A tighty big bet is word enough for me. I've already waded in on this, gl gents.

[hector62]

i can't help much, but any views on the Rgby world cup semi finals?

what about the first cheltenham meeting of the season on saturday?
[/quote

If pocock is out then I would look closely at backing argentina at 5 to 2. I am not sure that I could back south africa to beat nz as they seem very one dimensional. If the weather is iffy then there may be a bet for low points in the sa v nz game.

[Stopsleyhatter]

Good luck on tonight's nfl bets.Keep hearing the nfl is a copycat league and the Seahawks have been hurt badly in the redzone by tightends recently.Jimmy Graham is 6/5 lads anytime scorer if anybody fancies it.