Tips for Tikay

[Horneris]

We have to assume that Goffin and Darcis would beat Kyle Edmund in the reverse singles i think, though Edmund recently won a Challenger on clay.

I see no reason to assume this. Kyle is classy and is 16 & 4 in challengers on the surface this year. If you look at his time playing futures events in 2012/13 he played almost exclusively on clay.

Edmunds career clay challenger tour win ratio is 65.4 over from 26 games, Darcis 61.8 from 157.

Darcis is a reasonable benchmark and has no clear surfrace preference. Don't think Edmund would be any more than a marginal outsider.

[TightEnd]

We have to assume that Goffin and Darcis would beat Kyle Edmund in the reverse singles i think, though Edmund recently won a Challenger on clay.

I see no reason to assume this. Kyle is classy and is 16 & 4 in challengers on the surface this year. If you look at his time playing futures events in 2012/13 he played almost exclusively on clay.

Edmunds career clay challenger tour win ratio is 65.4 over from 26 games, Darcis 61.8 from 157.

Darcis is a reasonable benchmark and has no clear surfrace preference. Don't think Edmund would be any more than a marginal outsider.

ok that makes the odds sound more understandable, thank you

[arbboy]

big outside bias both tracks on the bags this afternoon (esp crayford). only 1 t1 placed in 14 races so far.  No winners from t1-3 at cray either.  All 5 and 6.

http://www.gbgb.org.uk/resultsMeeting.aspx?id=134194

[The Camel]

Can anyone explain why Plymouth are underdogs at home to Orient tonight?

[TightEnd]

mark o'haire mentioned them

"Plymouth HUGE price with/without injury issues. W19-D7-L6 home inc W6-D1-L2 this term. Orient W3/13, W1/8 away + W0/6 v top-11"

an orient fan piped up in the responses

"LOFC spent most of the game Sat with two brand new CB's. One signed hours before, the other a teenage loanee from QPR."

and there was this last week on plymouth and wimbledon

http://www.sportdw.com/2015/11/league-2-plymouth-wimbledon-analytics.html

[arbboy]

Plymouth 'should' have 25 points according to that report rather than the 39 they have currently 'luckboxed' would be the summary of the situation.  Interesting read.  Even allowing for this it is tough to see how they are an underdog in this spot tonight unless Orient are the exact opposite and are under achieving so to speak according to their league position.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-2/winner

We should probably be taking the 2/1 about Oxford for the league (well under on bf for decentish money).  Given Northampton's financial problems are they certain to not be given a points deduction at some point?  Pompey will always be under priced in this spot because of ante post liabs.  Looks a cracking spot to get involved with Oxford here.  Recommend £150 at 2/1.  15/8 at 365 and sportingbet fine as well.

[arbboy]

crayford bias still big.  Don't worry about the t2 winner in last.  T2 in the last swooped right round the wide outside to get up on the line.  Was nearly on the hare rail coming home to get up.

[The Camel]

big outside bias both tracks on the bags this afternoon (esp crayford). only 1 t1 placed in 14 races so far.  No winners from t1-3 at cray either.  All 5 and 6.

http://www.gbgb.org.uk/resultsMeeting.aspx?id=134194

Forst time I've ever followed one of your biases arb.

Fucking annoying to back a 7/4 shot at 7/2 and get nutted by an inside drawn dog who decides to run into the car park.

[arbboy]

big outside bias both tracks on the bags this afternoon (esp crayford). only 1 t1 placed in 14 races so far.  No winners from t1-3 at cray either.  All 5 and 6.

http://www.gbgb.org.uk/resultsMeeting.aspx?id=134194

Forst time I've ever followed one of your biases arb.

Fucking annoying to back a 7/4 shot at 7/2 and get nutted by an inside drawn dog who decides to run into the car park.

Same.  Currently pulling my hair out.  t2 stays longer than the mother in law in that last race.  Wasn't happy when it decided to swing out wide there off the last bend.  This is a huge bias at crayford.  Might be worth mopping up the bet365 earlys on the wides on last few races.  Doubt they will have altered them.

http://www.oddschecker.com/greyhounds/crayford/17:07/winner

lolbrokes have cut every t6 for the rest of the meeting.  365 haven't adjusted any. 

[arbboy]

another 5x6 forecast in style!

[The Camel]

Value doesn't buy the potatoes.

[arbboy]

 rpost nap in t1 in next at crayford.  Might be able to lay this short to some casual viewers watching the new bags live stream.

http://www.racingpost.com/greyhounds/card.sd#resultDay=2015-11-24&raceId=1413349

Plenty of late mug cash for the t1 nap.  Had a solo and found nothing on the ground.  Tailed in 4th well off the pace.  Had every chance.  Went off sub 6/4 to place on the bf place market.  Incredible scenes.

[The Camel]

FML I am the biggest Tilbury around.

4 wins that race 99 times out of 100 except when I back it.

#cursed.

[The Camel]

Four looks a massive price in this 5.38 at 4/1.

I'd make it favourite.

[arbboy]

Four looks a massive price in this 5.38 at 4/1.

I'd make it favourite.

Should lead up here.  Can't disagree with you.