Tips for Tikay

[arbboy]

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/pdc-world-championship/winning-nationality

Anyone looking to back MVG who can't get the mythical 5/4 at sky for proper punters should probably hoover up the evens at Hills 'Dutch winner'.  Virtually the same price as MVG is on the machine but gives you numerous other, albeit unlikely, outs as well on top. 

[DMorgan]

Not for Fred but Skie are 5/4 MvG
2.04/2.06 on the machine.

Thanks Joe

Not sure if my account is 100% clean, had some restrictions on NFL submarkets before but they'll lay £200 @ 5/4

lmk if Fred wants any, up to £100 is fine

thank you for the offer, but i think we have to leave sky well alone, even if through a kind offer from someone placing it for us, because of tikay's conflict of interest

of course with the PDC starting this week we are open for business on anything anyone sees..matches, sub-markets, quarters etc etc

No problem, wasn't sure either way

I'm curious about how they come up with these offers, do the compilers not mind giving a bit back because they'll generate some extra business or are they taking the view that the correct price is much closer to 2.25 than the machine so they can promote it and have a great January when RVB winds back the years and crushes?

A mixture of the two I guess

[arbboy]

Not for Fred but Skie are 5/4 MvG
2.04/2.06 on the machine.

Thanks Joe

Not sure if my account is 100% clean, had some restrictions on NFL submarkets before but they'll lay £200 @ 5/4

lmk if Fred wants any, up to £100 is fine

thank you for the offer, but i think we have to leave sky well alone, even if through a kind offer from someone placing it for us, because of tikay's conflict of interest

of course with the PDC starting this week we are open for business on anything anyone sees..matches, sub-markets, quarters etc etc

No problem, wasn't sure either way

I'm curious about how they come up with these offers, do the compilers not mind giving a bit back because they'll generate some extra business or are they taking the view that the correct price is much closer to 2.25 than the machine so they can promote it and have a great January when RVB winds back the years and crushes?

A mixture of the two I guess

Relatively cheap way of closing 1000 new accounts as 'arbers'.  It is stupid either way.  MVG is going to be a big loser in your book even if you went 5/6 MVG.  You don't have to go 5/4 to get him as a loser in the book.

Open a brand new skybet account.  Have a max bet on MVG at 5/4 (no idea what it would be probably £2500/£2000 on a new account) and you will be big odds on to lose your account even though 'they want to lay' MVG.  

I am on 1% at skybet and they will lay £4 at 5/4 so a new account should get a £500/400 (which is very fair as long as you don't lose the account in the process).

[BigAdz]

Prices are up for the Ladbroke at Ascot.

Winner Masagot was very impressive on his seasonal debut last month, even when needing the run.

Don't see the 10-1 lasting very long this morning, if you can.

thank you, this is with Ladbrokes only

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/national-hunt/ladbroke-hurdle/winner

hopefully funded soon :-) then i will do it

£20 maximum with Ladbrokes

Winner Massagot Ladbroke Hurdle Winner
10/1
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £220.00

Down to a general 5-1 now.

Think we should have a saving bet in the race on Some Plan.

Owned by Roger B, he has sent the horses he had with Tom George to Paul Nicholls.

All have needed a run, and Some Plan was no different at Sandown last weekend. It looked for the majority of the race he was cruising round but clipped the second last and stopped quickly, but found a bit of second wind towards the finish and wasn't beaten too far in the end, by some reliable yardsticks. With that run under his belt he should improve significantly.

Lets have £15 e/w at a general 14-1

[DMorgan]

Thoughts on Leicester to finish bottom half at 8/1 with scuy, 7/1 with baldy and red shouty man?

Looking at the last 6 seasons you'd need 45-46 points to miss the top 10, Leicester have 32 with 21 games left.

!

that would be some collapse

14 points or less from the last 21 games?

Alright you got it. Price for Costa to get sent off in the game anyone?

[exstream]

3 of the the 4 teams in the  championship playoffs of 2013 are in the top 7 in the league.
The other team is unbeaten this season and is top of the championship, that team is 3rd fave to win the league but 4th fave to be promoted.
Any reason why and will Brighton go up?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/winner

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/promotion

[fatcatstu]

Miami Dolphins v The Giants

Last week, the Dolphins decided that they needed to run the ball more, and for the first time this season they gave Lamaar Miller 20 carries. He took them for over 100 yards and the Dolphins managed to win a game of football!
Their new offensive coach likes to go run heavy, so much so that Tannehill only threw for 80 yards in the game!

This brings us to his matchup against the Giants.

New York's pass defence is what people usually focus on, they do tend to concede a fair few yards through the air, but they also give away over 100 yards rushing a game, and I think that Miami will be punding the ball again, then using the deep threats of Landry and Parker rather than concentrating on shorter passes.

Miller has his line set at what looks like a shockingly low 65.5 for this game. If he sees anywhere near 20 carries he will sail past this mark.

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-york-giants-at-miami-dolphins/total-rushing-yds-lamar-miller

Recommend £60 (or whatever we can get if restricted) on Lamaar Miller OVER 65.5 yards

Over 65.5
New York Giants at Miami Dolphins Total Rushing Yds - Lamar Miller
10/11
Total Stake: £44.00
Potential Returns: £84.04

With 10 minutes left of the second quarter, Miller moves to 69 yards, so barring anything utterly ridiculous this one is a winner already!

[Tal]

Nice work, Mr CatStu.

Before I give a Carson Palmer update, for balance, my Devin Funchess to win Offensive Rookie of the Year tip at 66/1 is not going to win. The Panthers are more balanced in offense and he has been a minor player.

That's the bad news. Now onto chirpier chat...

1. Tom Brady (NE)  4,138
2. Carson Palmer (ARI)  4,003
3. Phillip Rivers (SD)  3,976
4. Drew Brees  (NO)  3,794
5. Matt Ryan  (ATL)  3,705

Remaining schedules, with their position in raw passing yards allowed per game (i.e., not adjusted by opponent, where the best passing defense is 1st and the worst 32nd) are:

New England
Titans (12th)
@ Jets (22nd)
@ Dolphins (24th)

Arizona
@ Eagles (25th)
Packers (10th)
Seahawks (5th)

San Diego
Dolphins (24th)
@ Raiders (28th)
@ Broncos (1st)

New Orleans
Lions (MNF) (11th)
Jaguars (26th)
@ Falcons (9th)

Atlanta
@ Jaguars (26th)
Panthers (6th)
Saints (30th)
 
We need some assistance, particularly when the schedules look favourable for Brady over Palmer. But we are in a much better position than a month ago.

Palmer is the highest rated quarterback over the season, has attempted fewer passes than his rivals but averages over a yard per catch more than those around him.

Last season, having won the division, the Patriots rested Brady for the second half in the last game of the season against the Bills. I would expect similar if there is no need to press for a win. The trouble is there are three teams vying for the two bye spots in the AFC: Pats 11-2, Bengals 10-3, Broncos 10-3.

In the NFC, Arizona at 11-2 won't catch the 13-0 Panthers although mathematically possible. The Packers are 9-4, the Seahawks and Vikings are 8-5 as the only five teams with positive records in the whole of that half. The top two get byes, so it's one from four. Arizona play Seattle last up, so that game could matter.

If Palmer gets 5,000 and loses, there’s not much you can do about it. I expected 4,800 to win it this season. Primary short pass receiver, Julian Edelman will be back next week for the Pats, too. The way the teams play, 35 yards a game difference is entirely possible, though, even against those opponents. The Seattle game could be a shootout.

Let's not forget Brady wasn't supposed to be anywhere near this list, as at the time of posting the tip, he was to miss the first four games with suspension. He's not considered a prolific passer generally anyway, more widely recognised as a cool headed game manager.

Anyway, all of a sudden, after a 100+ yard weekend in our favour, we have adopted the Richard Hughes position, looking to deliver on the line.

It’s the hope that gets you, isn’t it?

[Marky147]

Even though it will be immensely painful for me, as I somehow didn't back it. I really hope you guys get there!

Been a great bet to follow, and as long as the Cards win it all, I'll live

[kukushkin88]

Nice work, Mr CatStu.

Before I give a Carson Palmer update, for balance, my Devin Funchess to win Offensive Rookie of the Year tip at 66/1 is not going to win. The Panthers are more balanced in offense and he has been a minor player.

That's the bad news. Now onto chirpier chat...

1. Tom Brady (NE)  4,138
2. Carson Palmer (ARI)  4,003
3. Phillip Rivers (SD)  3,976
4. Drew Brees  (NO)  3,794
5. Matt Ryan  (ATL)  3,705

Remaining schedules, with their position in raw passing yards allowed per game (i.e., not adjusted by opponent) are:

New England
Titans (12th)
@ Jets (22nd)
@ Dolphins (24th)

Arizona
@ Eagles (25th)
Packers (10th)
Seahawks (5th)

San Diego
Dolphins (24th)
@ Raiders (28th)
@ Broncos (1st)

New Orleans
Lions (MNF) (11th)
Jaguars (26th)
@ Falcons (9th)

Atlanta
@ Jaguars (26th)
Panthers (6th)
Saints (30th)
 
We need some assistance, particularly when the schedules look favourable for Brady over Palmer. But we are in a much better position than a month ago.

Palmer is the highest rated quarterback over the season, has attempted fewer passes than his rivals but averages over a yard per catch more than those around him.

Last season, having won the division, the Patriots rested Brady for the second half in the last game of the season against the Bills. I would expect similar if there is no need to press for a win. The trouble is there are three teams vying for the two bye spots in the AFC: Pats 11-2, Bengals 10-3, Broncos 10-3.

In the NFC, Arizona at 11-2 won't catch the 13-0 Panthers although mathematically possible. The Packers are 9-4, the Seahawks and Vikings are 8-5 as the only five teams with positive records in the whole of that half. The top two get byes, so it's one from four. Arizona play Seattle last up, so that game could matter.

If Palmer gets 5,000 and loses, there’s not much you can do about it. I expected 4,800 to win it this season. Primary short pass receiver, Julian Edelman will be back next week for the Pats, too. The way the teams play, 35 yards a game difference is entirely possible, though, even against those opponents. The Seattle game could be a shootout.

Let's not forget Brady wasn't supposed to be anywhere near this list, as at the time of posting the tip, he was to miss the first four games with suspension. He's not considered a prolific passer generally anyway, more widely recognised as a cool headed game manager.

Anyway, all of a sudden, after a 100+ yard weekend in our favour, we have adopted the Richard Hughes position, looking to deliver on the line.

It’s the hope that gets you, isn’t it?

Whatever happens this really was a great bet. The biggest concern imo is if Palmer is rested once they are confirmed as #2, basically he is at least a likely to be rested as Brady, the next 10 behind them will be playing every snap if fit, although only Bortles at 7 and up are in the race. What a good shout though.

[tikay]

Nice work, Mr CatStu.

Before I give a Carson Palmer update, for balance, my Devin Funchess to win Offensive Rookie of the Year tip at 66/1 is not going to win. The Panthers are more balanced in offense and he has been a minor player.

That's the bad news. Now onto chirpier chat...

1. Tom Brady (NE)  4,138
2. Carson Palmer (ARI)  4,003
3. Phillip Rivers (SD)  3,976
4. Drew Brees  (NO)  3,794
5. Matt Ryan  (ATL)  3,705

Remaining schedules, with their position in raw passing yards allowed per game (i.e., not adjusted by opponent, where the best passing defense is 1st and the worst 32nd) are:

New England
Titans (12th)
@ Jets (22nd)
@ Dolphins (24th)

Arizona
@ Eagles (25th)
Packers (10th)
Seahawks (5th)

San Diego
Dolphins (24th)
@ Raiders (28th)
@ Broncos (1st)

New Orleans
Lions (MNF) (11th)
Jaguars (26th)
@ Falcons (9th)

Atlanta
@ Jaguars (26th)
Panthers (6th)
Saints (30th)
 
We need some assistance, particularly when the schedules look favourable for Brady over Palmer. But we are in a much better position than a month ago.

Palmer is the highest rated quarterback over the season, has attempted fewer passes than his rivals but averages over a yard per catch more than those around him.

Last season, having won the division, the Patriots rested Brady for the second half in the last game of the season against the Bills. I would expect similar if there is no need to press for a win. The trouble is there are three teams vying for the two bye spots in the AFC: Pats 11-2, Bengals 10-3, Broncos 10-3.

In the NFC, Arizona at 11-2 won't catch the 13-0 Panthers although mathematically possible. The Packers are 9-4, the Seahawks and Vikings are 8-5 as the only five teams with positive records in the whole of that half. The top two get byes, so it's one from four. Arizona play Seattle last up, so that game could matter.

If Palmer gets 5,000 and loses, there’s not much you can do about it. I expected 4,800 to win it this season. Primary short pass receiver, Julian Edelman will be back next week for the Pats, too. The way the teams play, 35 yards a game difference is entirely possible, though, even against those opponents. The Seattle game could be a shootout.

Let's not forget Brady wasn't supposed to be anywhere near this list, as at the time of posting the tip, he was to miss the first four games with suspension. He's not considered a prolific passer generally anyway, more widely recognised as a cool headed game manager.

Anyway, all of a sudden, after a 100+ yard weekend in our favour, we have adopted the Richard Hughes position, looking to deliver on the line.

It’s the hope that gets you, isn’t it?

That's great, Tal, thank you, & we take a nice sweat into the end of the regular season.

They resume hostilities this Sunday, presumably?

[tikay]

Do you have an inactive or dormant BETDAQ account? If so, read this, which I received yesterday.


"Important Service Announcement


Dear Tony,

 On 30th November 2015 we introduced an inactive account fee (“Inactive Fee”) applicable to all accounts which A) have not registered a ‘log on’ to the BETDAQ website within the past consecutive 12 months and B) have funds in credit. This Inactive Fee will be charged monthly to all applicable accounts and on each instance the fee charged will be £/€/$10 or if your account balance is less than £/€/$10, the fee charged will be the value of your balance.

Our records indicate that your account is applicable for this month’s Inactive Fee which will be deducted on 18th December. Avoiding the fee is very straightforward, all you need to do is to log in to your account! If you have any trouble logging into to your account or if you have forgotten your password please contact our Helpdesk using the details provided below.

If you read this mail after the Inactive Fee is charged, don’t worry – per our Terms and Conditions, we will refund the full value of an Inactive Fee up to 12 months after the deduction. The Helpdesk will assist you with the refund.

Sincerely

[tikay]

^^^^

Tighty - do we have a funded BETDAQ account? If so, can you do the necessary, please?

[TightEnd]

^^^^

Tighty - do we have a funded BETDAQ account? If so, can you do the necessary, please?

no you don't.

[Doobs]

Do you have an inactive or dormant BETDAQ account? If so, read this, which I received yesterday.


"Important Service Announcement


Dear Tony,

 On 30th November 2015 we introduced an inactive account fee (“Inactive Fee”) applicable to all accounts which A) have not registered a ‘log on’ to the BETDAQ website within the past consecutive 12 months and B) have funds in credit. This Inactive Fee will be charged monthly to all applicable accounts and on each instance the fee charged will be £/€/$10 or if your account balance is less than £/€/$10, the fee charged will be the value of your balance.

Our records indicate that your account is applicable for this month’s Inactive Fee which will be deducted on 18th December. Avoiding the fee is very straightforward, all you need to do is to log in to your account! If you have any trouble logging into to your account or if you have forgotten your password please contact our Helpdesk using the details provided below.

If you read this mail after the Inactive Fee is charged, don’t worry – per our Terms and Conditions, we will refund the full value of an Inactive Fee up to 12 months after the deduction. The Helpdesk will assist you with the refund.

Sincerely

Honest Tweets from Ladbrokes PR

"Having failed to make money in any traditional ways over the last few years, we have resorted to flat out stealing it, merry Christmas".