Tips for Tikay

[fatcatstu]

Seattle Seahawks v Baltimore Ravens

Douglas Baldwin.. Never thought I would put a bet on him to get recieving yards, but Wilson has discovered how to pass the ball, and apparently Baldwin can catch!!

He is averaging 108 yards per game for his last 4 games, and is coming up against a Ravens D that is battered, bruised and shipping yards, 2 weeks ago, the power house that is Cleveland had bother Travis Benjamin and Brian Hartline rack up yards against them.

This is why I think that the line set at 65.5 yards for Baldwin is great value.

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-baltimore-ravens/total-receiving-yds-doug-baldwin

Recommend £40 Doug Baldwin, OVER 65.5 yards with Ladbrokes @ 17/20

this is our ladbrokes limit on nfl sub-markets

over 65.5
Seattle Seahawks at Baltimore Ravens Total Receiving Yds - Doug Baldwin
11/13
Total Stake: £11.76
Potential Returns: £21.76

How much more would you like ?

£28.24 please

lets call it £25

Baldwin takes a 22yd TD to get over the line in the 3rd quarter!

[Ant040689]

Nice one.

[cish n fhips]

but Portugal aren't that good to say they'll win a group easily?

Austria are very underrated...walked a far tougher qualification group (Russia and Sweden) than Portugal had.

As i said prob not one for fred.

But madness if you dont follow qualifying numbers.

See you on the west side.

[horseplayer]

No offence but there is zero evidence that portugal are miles clear of that group in fact they are barely clear.

One point maybe in their favour is there recent record in major championships is not bettered by many they always find a way

[Doobs]

I know we don't do the supershorties here, but Jay to win Strictly at 2/7 is starting to feel like a big price. Public vote only in the final and saying to a Jay fan that you don't like him is like saying you find kittens boring or that the sound of a child's laughter makes you vomit. He can dance a bit as well, to be fair.

Probably one for Doobs: market is suspended right now but is he shorter than that on the exchange? Would have thought 1/4? Choral goes 2/7. Just wondering whether Fred should try getting a big bet on. Not one of my big bets either. An actual big bet.

One for discussion perhaps. Could be something to pencil in for Monday, when we know where we stand on the final.

Putting it up on a Saturday night and then expecting an answer with my hand tied??

He has been nailed on for a while.  I find him very dislikable, but absolutely sure 2/7 is a bet if we can.

He could stand still for 2 minutes and top the polls.  Suggest £210 to win £60 if we have that much on choral.  Would take 1/4 too. 

[Tal]

I know we don't do the supershorties here, but Jay to win Strictly at 2/7 is starting to feel like a big price. Public vote only in the final and saying to a Jay fan that you don't like him is like saying you find kittens boring or that the sound of a child's laughter makes you vomit. He can dance a bit as well, to be fair.

Probably one for Doobs: market is suspended right now but is he shorter than that on the exchange? Would have thought 1/4? Choral goes 2/7. Just wondering whether Fred should try getting a big bet on. Not one of my big bets either. An actual big bet.

One for discussion perhaps. Could be something to pencil in for Monday, when we know where we stand on the final.

Putting it up on a Saturday night and then expecting an answer with my hand tied??

He has been nailed on for a while.  I find him very dislikable, but absolutely sure 2/7 is a bet if we can.

He could stand still for 2 minutes and top the polls.  Suggest £210 to win £60 if we have that much on choral.  Would take 1/4 too.  

I did say something to pencil in for Monday

Still clutching my Kellie ticket in hope rather than expectation.

It is Jay's to lose, though.

[Tal]

Julius Thomas Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars Anytime Touchdown Scorer
7/5
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £48.00

Winner.

[fatcatstu]

My final one for the day is the weekly player prop. It's a Bills player, so you may have to take it with a pinch of salt, but here goes.

The Eagles have struggled against opposing teams' top wide receivers. Sammy Watkins had a bit of a moan at the Buffalo coaching staff about his level of targets in games and, wouldn't you believe it, he started getting more balls thrown his way. Well, today, he gets a cornerback who is far from elite and is playing poorly. Philly are giving up 91 yards against opposing WR1s this season and Sammy's last two games (against teams who have good records against WR1s) have been 158 and 109 yards through the air.

The tactic has been to get him 1 on 1 and running deep and hard. They want him to torch the guy marking him with raw pace and power. The number two wideout, Robert Woods, has been put into a marking and blocking role more of late, designed to make space for Watkins and others. The Eagles are good deep in the centre but weak out wide. This is exactly where Watkins will be running, hoggng the touchline.

I was expecting a line in the mid 80s, which would reflect the fact we will be running the ball a lot, but the poor Philly offense and their no-huddle style means the other team gets more time on the field. Plus, if the strategy is deep, it's one or two plays to get near that kind of number.

BMU is 72.5.



This must be an over. Recommend £40 at 17/20.

A big play wide right gets Watkins up to 51 receiving yards. Still 8 minutes left of the first quarter.

Let's unsweatify this completely, please, Sammy.

Thats a winner too!

[Tal]

My final one for the day is the weekly player prop. It's a Bills player, so you may have to take it with a pinch of salt, but here goes.

The Eagles have struggled against opposing teams' top wide receivers. Sammy Watkins had a bit of a moan at the Buffalo coaching staff about his level of targets in games and, wouldn't you believe it, he started getting more balls thrown his way. Well, today, he gets a cornerback who is far from elite and is playing poorly. Philly are giving up 91 yards against opposing WR1s this season and Sammy's last two games (against teams who have good records against WR1s) have been 158 and 109 yards through the air.

The tactic has been to get him 1 on 1 and running deep and hard. They want him to torch the guy marking him with raw pace and power. The number two wideout, Robert Woods, has been put into a marking and blocking role more of late, designed to make space for Watkins and others. The Eagles are good deep in the centre but weak out wide. This is exactly where Watkins will be running, hoggng the touchline.

I was expecting a line in the mid 80s, which would reflect the fact we will be running the ball a lot, but the poor Philly offense and their no-huddle style means the other team gets more time on the field. Plus, if the strategy is deep, it's one or two plays to get near that kind of number.

BMU is 72.5.



This must be an over. Recommend £40 at 17/20.

A big play wide right gets Watkins up to 51 receiving yards. Still 8 minutes left of the first quarter.

Let's unsweatify this completely, please, Sammy.

Thats a winner too!

81 yards now, so it should be, yes.

[Tal]

With Philip Rivers playing (albeit through the 'flu, as if carrying his franchise wasn't enough of a burden), what do you make of a 10.5 point head start at home against the Chiefs?

Chiefs are playing excellent footbawl at the moment, but aren't blowing teams away.

Divisional game, at home and double digit underdogs.

Just interested in views.

Wasn't confident enough to tip it but it did win.

I was confident enough to tip the Niners to win and they...haven't.

[kukushkin88]

+5? not really. might be if The rams were still running the ball well but Gurley has gone cold too

i intend to spend the next 36 hours putting myself off the Eagles +9 against to the Patriots, who are minus lewis, edelman and gronkowski. the Eagles though are minus a lot, every week

The Eagles are a bet. I'll be against the Pats for the rest of the season I think. Gronk and Edelman are not just great players, they're key to the heart/mentality of that group of people. TB is obviously incredible but if he's nobody to throw it to he's limited. Incredible really, how unfortunate they seem to be with injuries, only the Cowboys compare really for running bad on IR's.

Evening chaps,

Too late to get a bet on for the thread I guess?

I'm against the Pats again, I don't think Gronk will be that fit (Houston +4.5) and I think the Packers -6 is also a decent bet.

[Ant040689]

Great stuff on Demarcus Murray Tighty.

[arbboy]

+5? not really. might be if The rams were still running the ball well but Gurley has gone cold too

i intend to spend the next 36 hours putting myself off the Eagles +9 against to the Patriots, who are minus lewis, edelman and gronkowski. the Eagles though are minus a lot, every week

The Eagles are a bet. I'll be against the Pats for the rest of the season I think. Gronk and Edelman are not just great players, they're key to the heart/mentality of that group of people. TB is obviously incredible but if he's nobody to throw it to he's limited. Incredible really, how unfortunate they seem to be with injuries, only the Cowboys compare really for running bad on IR's.

Evening chaps,

Too late to get a bet on for the thread I guess?

I'm against the Pats again, I don't think Gronk will be that fit (Houston +4.5) and I think the Packers -6 is also a decent bet.

Cheers for posting late even if fred can't get on.

[tikay]

Our NFL boys are on fire, good work all round.

[hhyftrftdr]

A more than decent point for Roma at Napoli today, but the winter break can't come soon enough! Down to 5th now, after Juventus won yet again (beating 2nd place Fiorentina). Inter also won yesterday, plundering 4 goals at Udinese with rumoured City Icardi on target twice. Only 1 win in 5 have seen Roma slip from top to 5th, but it's still congested enough for it all to change.

Not clutching at straws.....yet