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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13444630 times)
DungBeetle
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118935 on:
June 22, 2016, 11:26:49 PM »
Quote from: JohnCharver on June 22, 2016, 10:38:56 PM
Quote from: hhyftrftdr on June 22, 2016, 10:11:34 PM
Is this 3rd place finish thing gonna be the norm going forward? Or just an experiment at this comp?
Cos it's bollocks.
Isnt the next one meant to be 32 teams? Its spoiled games imo, teams hanging on for third.
The flip side is that there are never any dead rubbers. Unless you are as useless as Ukraine.
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arbboy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118936 on:
June 22, 2016, 11:58:52 PM »
Quote from: Newportlad on June 22, 2016, 10:56:17 PM
Poland are in the easy half of the draw. Currently 28's to win 1/3 odds E/W
Seems a bit big to me. Have to play Switzerland in the last 16.
Don't back anything ew at 1/3 the odds. Terrible value. Plenty of books are still 1/2 1,2.
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Ironside
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118937 on:
June 23, 2016, 12:38:28 AM »
£10 for klinsman next southampton manger at 2.20+ on BF exchange
3 other bookies have him at 1.33 1.33 and 1.40
so basically a bet due to the price being wrong
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lend me a beer and I'll lend you my ear
Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118938 on:
June 23, 2016, 01:05:32 AM »
Quote from: Ironside on June 23, 2016, 12:38:28 AM
£10 for klinsman next southampton manger at 2.20+ on BF exchange
3 other bookies have him at 1.33 1.33 and 1.40
so basically a bet due to the price being wrong
i'd be a bit wary of assuming a 2/5, 8/11, 3/1 book is more accurate than betfair. would probably say the same about 1/3, 11/4, 6/1, 7/1 which doesn't even include all the runners.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Ironside
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118939 on:
June 23, 2016, 01:15:52 AM »
Quote from: Doobs on June 23, 2016, 01:05:32 AM
Quote from: Ironside on June 23, 2016, 12:38:28 AM
£10 for klinsman next southampton manger at 2.20+ on BF exchange
3 other bookies have him at 1.33 1.33 and 1.40
so basically a bet due to the price being wrong
i'd be a bit wary of assuming a 2/5, 8/11, 3/1 book is more accurate than betfair. would probably say the same about 1/3, 11/4, 6/1, 7/1 which doesn't even include all the runners.
yeah the betvictor book is still holding the price of pellegrini though as he was odds on everywhere today and saints fans were waiting for him to sign
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lend me a beer and I'll lend you my ear
atdc21
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118940 on:
June 23, 2016, 11:34:21 AM »
Newmarket 305 Fawreeq looks good price 5/1 hills thet are stand out
Form has worked out well from his races
maybe worth few quid e/w ....anyone any views
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Ironside
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118941 on:
June 23, 2016, 12:04:35 PM »
Quote from: Ironside on June 23, 2016, 01:15:52 AM
Quote from: Doobs on June 23, 2016, 01:05:32 AM
Quote from: Ironside on June 23, 2016, 12:38:28 AM
£10 for klinsman next southampton manger at 2.20+ on BF exchange
3 other bookies have him at 1.33 1.33 and 1.40
so basically a bet due to the price being wrong
i'd be a bit wary of assuming a 2/5, 8/11, 3/1 book is more accurate than betfair. would probably say the same about 1/3, 11/4, 6/1, 7/1 which doesn't even include all the runners.
yeah the betvictor book is still holding the price of pellegrini though as he was odds on everywhere today and saints fans were waiting for him to sign
https://m.oddschecker.com/t/football/football-specials/southampton/next-permanent-manager
All 8 bookies with this market have him at 1.4 or lower seems odd when betfair is still over 2.3
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lend me a beer and I'll lend you my ear
Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118942 on:
June 23, 2016, 12:10:57 PM »
Quote from: Ironside on June 23, 2016, 12:04:35 PM
Quote from: Ironside on June 23, 2016, 01:15:52 AM
Quote from: Doobs on June 23, 2016, 01:05:32 AM
Quote from: Ironside on June 23, 2016, 12:38:28 AM
£10 for klinsman next southampton manger at 2.20+ on BF exchange
3 other bookies have him at 1.33 1.33 and 1.40
so basically a bet due to the price being wrong
i'd be a bit wary of assuming a 2/5, 8/11, 3/1 book is more accurate than betfair. would probably say the same about 1/3, 11/4, 6/1, 7/1 which doesn't even include all the runners.
yeah the betvictor book is still holding the price of pellegrini though as he was odds on everywhere today and saints fans were waiting for him to sign
https://m.oddschecker.com/t/football/football-specials/southampton/next-permanent-manager
All 8 bookies with this market have him at 1.4 or lower seems odd when betfair is still over 2.3
Bookies are just ultra cautious. They don't want to be sat on their own at 6/4 when it is confirmed. Looking at volumes on betfair, the announcement doesn't look close.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Doobs
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Posts: 16577
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118943 on:
June 23, 2016, 03:06:47 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on June 23, 2016, 12:10:57 PM
Quote from: Ironside on June 23, 2016, 12:04:35 PM
Quote from: Ironside on June 23, 2016, 01:15:52 AM
Quote from: Doobs on June 23, 2016, 01:05:32 AM
Quote from: Ironside on June 23, 2016, 12:38:28 AM
£10 for klinsman next southampton manger at 2.20+ on BF exchange
3 other bookies have him at 1.33 1.33 and 1.40
so basically a bet due to the price being wrong
i'd be a bit wary of assuming a 2/5, 8/11, 3/1 book is more accurate than betfair. would probably say the same about 1/3, 11/4, 6/1, 7/1 which doesn't even include all the runners.
yeah the betvictor book is still holding the price of pellegrini though as he was odds on everywhere today and saints fans were waiting for him to sign
https://m.oddschecker.com/t/football/football-specials/southampton/next-permanent-manager
All 8 bookies with this market have him at 1.4 or lower seems odd when betfair is still over 2.3
Bookies are just ultra cautious. They don't want to be sat on their own at 6/4 when it is confirmed. Looking at volumes on betfair, the announcement doesn't look close.
last price matched Klinsmann 3.8, Pellegrini 2.54. Weird, volume on both isn't huge and the 2.54 clearly wasn't a big bet. 3/1 available on Pellegrini in 2 spots.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
arbboy
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Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118944 on:
June 23, 2016, 03:07:44 PM »
Plus books bet these markets to 400%+ usually with the added bonus of the potential winner not even being quoted on certain occasions.
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Rod Paradise
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118945 on:
June 23, 2016, 04:04:24 PM »
Quote from: atdc21 on June 23, 2016, 11:34:21 AM
Newmarket 305 Fawreeq looks good price 5/1 hills thet are stand out
Form has worked out well from his races
maybe worth few quid e/w ....anyone any views
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May the bird of paradise fly up your nose, with a badger on its back.
Doobs
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Posts: 16577
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118946 on:
June 23, 2016, 04:10:43 PM »
Quote from: Rod Paradise on June 23, 2016, 04:04:24 PM
Quote from: atdc21 on June 23, 2016, 11:34:21 AM
Newmarket 305 Fawreeq looks good price 5/1 hills thet are stand out
Form has worked out well from his races
maybe worth few quid e/w ....anyone any views
clearly distracted by ironside's bet.
great tipping though.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
4KSuited
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Posts: 1148
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118947 on:
June 23, 2016, 04:24:46 PM »
Quote from: atdc21 on June 23, 2016, 11:34:21 AM
Newmarket 305 Fawreeq looks good price 5/1 hills thet are stand out
Form has worked out well from his races
maybe worth few quid e/w ....anyone any views
Ty atdc21 - top tipping
I have a strong selection, but only at a short price:
Newbury 6:40 Naifah - won last week at Ascot and should find this race straightforward
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arbboy
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Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118948 on:
June 23, 2016, 04:41:29 PM »
http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/racing-specials/long-term/2016-flat-jockeys-championship/winning-jockey
What's the reason for the drift today Lord Chomp's with the sharper books out there?
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Ironside
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118949 on:
June 23, 2016, 04:50:02 PM »
never seen BFSB and exchange so wide on prices
think all this means is that nobody even at the club has any idea who we will be getting and as the deadline they set of the 1st of july for the first players coming back is approaching its getting worrying
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lend me a beer and I'll lend you my ear
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