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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16423315 times)
BigAdz
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« Reply #122070 on: October 01, 2016, 09:25:58 PM »

Any views on a rose/reed ew double, both with ....over 2/1 yer money for both to be placed, possible  both win.....

Hope you didn't do this lol, I'm annoyed enough at singles with them playing each other three times.....


Yes, been v frustrating. Reed played as well as anyone, but keeps running into em.
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Peter-27
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« Reply #122071 on: October 01, 2016, 09:47:30 PM »

I fear that the Malaysia GP tomorrow could be one of the most predictable GP's in history should the rain not fall.

There are big differences between all cars at the moment, and that is reflected in the two-by-two-by-two grid we have for tomorrow. The only exceptions are the McLarens (as Alonso had a penalty) and the Renaults (Palmer was slow). Just to highlight how predictable qualifying was; I predicted 18 of the 22 drivers in correct position - including the top eight.

The one other hope we've got is that on Friday; Mercedes, Red Bull and Ferrari all looked very similar in terms of race pace. However, that's probably down to Mercedes sandbagging more than anything.

Anyway, two bets to suggest:

Race Winner - Max Verstappen @ 16/1 with numerous (try exchange first, usually has best price). Speculative really. With the threat of rain, Red Bull potentially being able to match Mercedes on race pace, as well as Mercedes propensity to start poorly, 16/1 is a bet. £5.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/winner

Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez @ 13/8 with exchange. Needs a retirement or problem for one of the cars ahead, but Malaysia is known for incidents, especially if the rain comes. Wouldn't want to take any lower than 13/8 though. £10.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/top-6-finish
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #122072 on: October 01, 2016, 11:26:23 PM »

I fear that the Malaysia GP tomorrow could be one of the most predictable GP's in history should the rain not fall.

There are big differences between all cars at the moment, and that is reflected in the two-by-two-by-two grid we have for tomorrow. The only exceptions are the McLarens (as Alonso had a penalty) and the Renaults (Palmer was slow). Just to highlight how predictable qualifying was; I predicted 18 of the 22 drivers in correct position - including the top eight.

The one other hope we've got is that on Friday; Mercedes, Red Bull and Ferrari all looked very similar in terms of race pace. However, that's probably down to Mercedes sandbagging more than anything.

Anyway, two bets to suggest:

Race Winner - Max Verstappen @ 16/1 with numerous (try exchange first, usually has best price). Speculative really. With the threat of rain, Red Bull potentially being able to match Mercedes on race pace, as well as Mercedes propensity to start poorly, 16/1 is a bet. £5.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/winner

Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez @ 13/8 with exchange. Needs a retirement or problem for one of the cars ahead, but Malaysia is known for incidents, especially if the rain comes. Wouldn't want to take any lower than 13/8 though. £10.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/top-6-finish

Very true.  The shake up with next seasons rules can't come soon enough.  Tomorrow's race is hardly worth watching.
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Peter-27
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« Reply #122073 on: October 01, 2016, 11:51:51 PM »

I fear that the Malaysia GP tomorrow could be one of the most predictable GP's in history should the rain not fall.

There are big differences between all cars at the moment, and that is reflected in the two-by-two-by-two grid we have for tomorrow. The only exceptions are the McLarens (as Alonso had a penalty) and the Renaults (Palmer was slow). Just to highlight how predictable qualifying was; I predicted 18 of the 22 drivers in correct position - including the top eight.

The one other hope we've got is that on Friday; Mercedes, Red Bull and Ferrari all looked very similar in terms of race pace. However, that's probably down to Mercedes sandbagging more than anything.

Anyway, two bets to suggest:

Race Winner - Max Verstappen @ 16/1 with numerous (try exchange first, usually has best price). Speculative really. With the threat of rain, Red Bull potentially being able to match Mercedes on race pace, as well as Mercedes propensity to start poorly, 16/1 is a bet. £5.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/winner

Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez @ 13/8 with exchange. Needs a retirement or problem for one of the cars ahead, but Malaysia is known for incidents, especially if the rain comes. Wouldn't want to take any lower than 13/8 though. £10.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/top-6-finish

Very true.  The shake up with next seasons rules can't come soon enough.  Tomorrow's race is hardly worth watching.

I certainly wouldn't go that far, this circuit is one that tends to produce drama, even when the rain stays away. What a lot of F1 fans don't seem to realise is that periods of dominance are to be expected in such a technical, team-based sport. However, that's why we have two drivers per team - so there's always some level of competition. It's just unfortunate at the moment that there is such a big gap between most teams.

The 2017 rules won't really add anything to the spectacle. The cars will be considerably faster, and have more grip, but traditionally that makes for less exciting racing which is a shame. What makes exciting racing is competitiveness and drivers making mistakes. To achieve this the cars need lower grip conditions. I hope I'm wrong, but I reckon the 2017 rules will have a negative effect on viewing figures.
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #122074 on: October 02, 2016, 12:41:06 AM »

I fear that the Malaysia GP tomorrow could be one of the most predictable GP's in history should the rain not fall.

There are big differences between all cars at the moment, and that is reflected in the two-by-two-by-two grid we have for tomorrow. The only exceptions are the McLarens (as Alonso had a penalty) and the Renaults (Palmer was slow). Just to highlight how predictable qualifying was; I predicted 18 of the 22 drivers in correct position - including the top eight.

The one other hope we've got is that on Friday; Mercedes, Red Bull and Ferrari all looked very similar in terms of race pace. However, that's probably down to Mercedes sandbagging more than anything.

Anyway, two bets to suggest:

Race Winner - Max Verstappen @ 16/1 with numerous (try exchange first, usually has best price). Speculative really. With the threat of rain, Red Bull potentially being able to match Mercedes on race pace, as well as Mercedes propensity to start poorly, 16/1 is a bet. £5.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/winner

Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez @ 13/8 with exchange. Needs a retirement or problem for one of the cars ahead, but Malaysia is known for incidents, especially if the rain comes. Wouldn't want to take any lower than 13/8 though. £10.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/top-6-finish

Very true.  The shake up with next seasons rules can't come soon enough.  Tomorrow's race is hardly worth watching.

I certainly wouldn't go that far, this circuit is one that tends to produce drama, even when the rain stays away. What a lot of F1 fans don't seem to realise is that periods of dominance are to be expected in such a technical, team-based sport. However, that's why we have two drivers per team - so there's always some level of competition. It's just unfortunate at the moment that there is such a big gap between most teams.

The 2017 rules won't really add anything to the spectacle. The cars will be considerably faster, and have more grip, but traditionally that makes for less exciting racing which is a shame. What makes exciting racing is competitiveness and drivers making mistakes. To achieve this the cars need lower grip conditions. I hope I'm wrong, but I reckon the 2017 rules will have a negative effect on viewing figures.

With a rule shake up we might get 2/3 teams arriving at similar levels of car.  The last 2 years the Mercs have been so far ahead (on most circuits)
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Peter-27
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« Reply #122075 on: October 02, 2016, 04:48:03 AM »

I fear that the Malaysia GP tomorrow could be one of the most predictable GP's in history should the rain not fall.

There are big differences between all cars at the moment, and that is reflected in the two-by-two-by-two grid we have for tomorrow. The only exceptions are the McLarens (as Alonso had a penalty) and the Renaults (Palmer was slow). Just to highlight how predictable qualifying was; I predicted 18 of the 22 drivers in correct position - including the top eight.

The one other hope we've got is that on Friday; Mercedes, Red Bull and Ferrari all looked very similar in terms of race pace. However, that's probably down to Mercedes sandbagging more than anything.

Anyway, two bets to suggest:

Race Winner - Max Verstappen @ 16/1 with numerous (try exchange first, usually has best price). Speculative really. With the threat of rain, Red Bull potentially being able to match Mercedes on race pace, as well as Mercedes propensity to start poorly, 16/1 is a bet. £5.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/winner

Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez @ 13/8 with exchange. Needs a retirement or problem for one of the cars ahead, but Malaysia is known for incidents, especially if the rain comes. Wouldn't want to take any lower than 13/8 though. £10.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/top-6-finish

Very true.  The shake up with next seasons rules can't come soon enough.  Tomorrow's race is hardly worth watching.

I certainly wouldn't go that far, this circuit is one that tends to produce drama, even when the rain stays away. What a lot of F1 fans don't seem to realise is that periods of dominance are to be expected in such a technical, team-based sport. However, that's why we have two drivers per team - so there's always some level of competition. It's just unfortunate at the moment that there is such a big gap between most teams.

The 2017 rules won't really add anything to the spectacle. The cars will be considerably faster, and have more grip, but traditionally that makes for less exciting racing which is a shame. What makes exciting racing is competitiveness and drivers making mistakes. To achieve this the cars need lower grip conditions. I hope I'm wrong, but I reckon the 2017 rules will have a negative effect on viewing figures.

With a rule shake up we might get 2/3 teams arriving at similar levels of car.  The last 2 years the Mercs have been so far ahead (on most circuits)

I suppose it's possible, but largely unlikely I would say given the complexity of the changes. They're mainly just aesthetic with minimal scope for technical advancement or innovation.
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tikay
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« Reply #122076 on: October 02, 2016, 07:48:27 AM »

I fear that the Malaysia GP tomorrow could be one of the most predictable GP's in history should the rain not fall.

There are big differences between all cars at the moment, and that is reflected in the two-by-two-by-two grid we have for tomorrow. The only exceptions are the McLarens (as Alonso had a penalty) and the Renaults (Palmer was slow). Just to highlight how predictable qualifying was; I predicted 18 of the 22 drivers in correct position - including the top eight.

The one other hope we've got is that on Friday; Mercedes, Red Bull and Ferrari all looked very similar in terms of race pace. However, that's probably down to Mercedes sandbagging more than anything.

Anyway, two bets to suggest:

Race Winner - Max Verstappen @ 16/1 with numerous (try exchange first, usually has best price). Speculative really. With the threat of rain, Red Bull potentially being able to match Mercedes on race pace, as well as Mercedes propensity to start poorly, 16/1 is a bet. £5.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/winner

Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez @ 13/8 with exchange. Needs a retirement or problem for one of the cars ahead, but Malaysia is known for incidents, especially if the rain comes. Wouldn't want to take any lower than 13/8 though. £10.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/top-6-finish

Very true.  The shake up with next seasons rules can't come soon enough.  Tomorrow's race is hardly worth watching.

Hope you are wrong Dung.

Up nice & early, got me a latte, & all set.

Reckon just 3 Fred regulars will have got up to watch this; Peter-27, myself, &, without a shadow of doubt, the secret F1 Fan, Camel.   
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horseplayer
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« Reply #122077 on: October 02, 2016, 08:07:14 AM »

I fear that the Malaysia GP tomorrow could be one of the most predictable GP's in history should the rain not fall.

There are big differences between all cars at the moment, and that is reflected in the two-by-two-by-two grid we have for tomorrow. The only exceptions are the McLarens (as Alonso had a penalty) and the Renaults (Palmer was slow). Just to highlight how predictable qualifying was; I predicted 18 of the 22 drivers in correct position - including the top eight.

The one other hope we've got is that on Friday; Mercedes, Red Bull and Ferrari all looked very similar in terms of race pace. However, that's probably down to Mercedes sandbagging more than anything.

Anyway, two bets to suggest:

Race Winner - Max Verstappen @ 16/1 with numerous (try exchange first, usually has best price). Speculative really. With the threat of rain, Red Bull potentially being able to match Mercedes on race pace, as well as Mercedes propensity to start poorly, 16/1 is a bet. £5.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/winner

Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez @ 13/8 with exchange. Needs a retirement or problem for one of the cars ahead, but Malaysia is known for incidents, especially if the rain comes. Wouldn't want to take any lower than 13/8 though. £10.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/top-6-finish

Very true.  The shake up with next seasons rules can't come soon enough.  Tomorrow's race is hardly worth watching.


Hope you are wrong Dung.

Up nice & early, got me a latte, & all set.

Reckon just 3 Fred regulars will have got up to watch this; Peter-27, myself, &, without a shadow of doubt, the secret F1 Fan, Camel.   

Signing in

And I don't even like it !blame the meds/slightly weak bladder still
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Jamier-Host
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« Reply #122078 on: October 02, 2016, 08:18:48 AM »


Up nice & early, got me a latte, & all set.

Reckon just 3 Fred regulars will have got up to watch this; Peter-27, myself, &, without a shadow of doubt, the secret F1 Fan, Camel.   

Plus anyone with young kids, for whom 7am isn't early any more!
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tikay
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« Reply #122079 on: October 02, 2016, 08:29:18 AM »


Morning lads, enjoy.

Thought it started at 7am, but seems to be 8am.
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« Reply #122080 on: October 02, 2016, 08:32:52 AM »

21 hours of sporting action awaits
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Peter-27
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« Reply #122081 on: October 02, 2016, 08:38:18 AM »

I fear that the Malaysia GP tomorrow could be one of the most predictable GP's in history should the rain not fall.

There are big differences between all cars at the moment, and that is reflected in the two-by-two-by-two grid we have for tomorrow. The only exceptions are the McLarens (as Alonso had a penalty) and the Renaults (Palmer was slow). Just to highlight how predictable qualifying was; I predicted 18 of the 22 drivers in correct position - including the top eight.

The one other hope we've got is that on Friday; Mercedes, Red Bull and Ferrari all looked very similar in terms of race pace. However, that's probably down to Mercedes sandbagging more than anything.

Anyway, two bets to suggest:

Race Winner - Max Verstappen @ 16/1 with numerous (try exchange first, usually has best price). Speculative really. With the threat of rain, Red Bull potentially being able to match Mercedes on race pace, as well as Mercedes propensity to start poorly, 16/1 is a bet. £5.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/winner

Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez @ 13/8 with exchange. Needs a retirement or problem for one of the cars ahead, but Malaysia is known for incidents, especially if the rain comes. Wouldn't want to take any lower than 13/8 though. £10.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/top-6-finish

Very true.  The shake up with next seasons rules can't come soon enough.  Tomorrow's race is hardly worth watching.

Hope you are wrong Dung.

Up nice & early, got me a latte, & all set.

Reckon just 3 Fred regulars will have got up to watch this; Peter-27, myself, &, without a shadow of doubt, the secret F1 Fan, Camel.   

I've had very little sleep all weekend, the on-track action kicked off with GP3 at 3AM UK time today.
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« Reply #122082 on: October 02, 2016, 09:04:07 AM »

Can you get anything on at Billy Hills? If so i'd like to go for Hunter Henry to score anytime for the Chargers v the Saints tomorrow please.

Currently 7/1 on their site, while generally ~ 6/4 Everywhere else. Antonio Gates, the usual Tight end didn't train all week and is expected to sit out again, last week when he was out, Henry played all 59 snaps that the Chargers had. Add to that the fact they're playing the worst defence in the league and it seems a no brainer to me

They've sorted it. Down to 6/4 now. Hope some got on at 7s
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Tal
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« Reply #122083 on: October 02, 2016, 09:11:38 AM »

Denver Broncos v Tampa Bay Buccaneers

There's a player market I like in this one.

The Buccs have been pretty poor on defense this season, which is something of a surprise, as they've got a fair bit of talent. I'm hoping that continues for another week.

The Buccs are likely to line up their cornerbacks on the two main threats through the air and that will see Emmanuel Sanders against Brent Grimes (who has been torched by speedy wide receivers all season) and Demarius Thomas up against Aterraun Verner (who is five inches shorter than the guy he's marking - five!)

I could make a case for backing the overs on both, as their receiving yards lines are both in the 70-75 range. Quarterback, Trevor Siemian, sprung into life last week by unleashing his two big weapons for 100 yards apiece. This is the best (as in worst) secondary they've faced.

Much depends on how well the Tampa offense does against the miserly Denver defense. What we don't want is the Broncos clear and running the clock down.

Of the two, I lean towards Demarius Thomas (over 75.5 receiving yards 10/11 with Billy Mountains) as I can't get past that height difference. Plus, DT is 18th in yards after the catch this season, which fits the brief of using his height to be available for catches and then running on.

Sanders has more touchdown potential because they can send him on a "go route" to burn his marker downfield. But that play might not be needed.

Looks like Billy Mountains has just taken its market down for some reason. I'd back anything 77.5 or below as overs happily at 10/11. Not around today to watch out for its reappearance.
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« Reply #122084 on: October 02, 2016, 09:28:12 AM »

Back up now.

£33 on OVER please.
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