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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16551811 times)
tikay
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« Reply #123345 on: November 08, 2016, 11:38:48 AM »

Can get 12's on bv if Fred wants?

Looks like we are ok this time Rod, but thanks for the offer.
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« Reply #123346 on: November 08, 2016, 12:51:06 PM »


In case you missed it, Wm Hill sent this note out overnight, presumably to all their Sports Betting customers;


If you go to your William Hill account you will find a £5 free bet waiting.

We want to give you this following a tough week that saw our website and products targeted by a well-documented DDOS attack. During this period we were not able to offer you the level of service we pride ourselves upon.

Terms & Conditions

Free bets must be placed within 14 days of award otherwise they will expire.

Free bet stakes are not returned as part of the settlement of successful free bets.

Free bets can be spent on any bet type except to fund tote, pool or lottery bets.

Free bets are non-refundable.

Free bets cannot be redeemed on any other online product (Poker, Casino, Vegas, Bingo, Skill, Games).

Free bet stake not included in any winnings

Your free bet must be used as one single transaction and cannot be partially redeemed.

Redeemed free bets will not qualify for any future free bets. Qualifying bets must be placed from the customer funded balance.

Redeemed free bets will not count toward qualification to view streamed events.

More information is available here explaining how to enter your promo code and how to redeem your free bet.



They sent me:

If you go to your William Hill account you will find £5 cash waiting.
We want to give you this following a tough week that saw our website and products targeted by a well-documented DDOS attack. During this period we were not able to offer you the level of service we pride ourselves upon.


Isn't that odd - they gave me a £5 Free Bet, & you got "£5 cash".

I assume you cannot withdraw that fiver?

Not tried but I believe I could - my account statement calls it a 'Bonus    Manual Adjustment - 5GBP Cash Bonus', it's not mentioned in my free bets/bonuses section, and in the withdrawal section I can put my full balance including this £5 and it gives a green tick.

As you say, odd - how do they choose who gets what I wonder?
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tikay
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« Reply #123347 on: November 08, 2016, 12:53:54 PM »

Jesus - Didn't realise I'd written that much - Apoligies if you fell asleep half way through

It's a great & very well thought out write up, & a good read, so don't worry about that.

Fred does not have BMU these days, & it would pain to take worse place odds elsewhere, but no matter, it may well interest others.

Reading what you wrote made me insta think of Adzy, who is so good at the jumps game & generally has sound observations. Fingers crossed he'll be back with us soon.  

14/1 4 places is good if you want to bet (is what I've done)  - Wasn't purely targeting the BV offer

Thanks.

Is 14/1 4 places much better or worse than 12/1 6 places?

I should add I'm very busy with work right now, & am a bit lost with some of these finer details. Tighty is intermittently AWOL at the mo, too, as he has some family illness issues to contend with.

I'll probably get on board shortly, unless any major negatives become evident. 

If the market was well formed on BF and and we could get a similar win price with the 6 places that would be my preference - However it's not and my reason for bet is more based on my view that price is going to be a lot shorter on day - So both are fine at this stage I think with 6 places being slightly less variant obv

Unlesso anyone else has strong view I think there is not much in at this stage

Just to confirm, we are on this, £20 EW @ 14/1, 4 places, qtr odds with Wm Hill.

Roll on Saturday, & maybe a bit of fun.

BET PLACED
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tikay
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« Reply #123348 on: November 08, 2016, 12:58:04 PM »


In case you missed it, Wm Hill sent this note out overnight, presumably to all their Sports Betting customers;


If you go to your William Hill account you will find a £5 free bet waiting.

We want to give you this following a tough week that saw our website and products targeted by a well-documented DDOS attack. During this period we were not able to offer you the level of service we pride ourselves upon.

Terms & Conditions

Free bets must be placed within 14 days of award otherwise they will expire.

Free bet stakes are not returned as part of the settlement of successful free bets.

Free bets can be spent on any bet type except to fund tote, pool or lottery bets.

Free bets are non-refundable.

Free bets cannot be redeemed on any other online product (Poker, Casino, Vegas, Bingo, Skill, Games).

Free bet stake not included in any winnings

Your free bet must be used as one single transaction and cannot be partially redeemed.

Redeemed free bets will not qualify for any future free bets. Qualifying bets must be placed from the customer funded balance.

Redeemed free bets will not count toward qualification to view streamed events.

More information is available here explaining how to enter your promo code and how to redeem your free bet.



They sent me:

If you go to your William Hill account you will find £5 cash waiting.
We want to give you this following a tough week that saw our website and products targeted by a well-documented DDOS attack. During this period we were not able to offer you the level of service we pride ourselves upon.


Isn't that odd - they gave me a £5 Free Bet, & you got "£5 cash".

I assume you cannot withdraw that fiver?

Not tried but I believe I could - my account statement calls it a 'Bonus    Manual Adjustment - 5GBP Cash Bonus', it's not mentioned in my free bets/bonuses section, and in the withdrawal section I can put my full balance including this £5 and it gives a green tick.

As you say, odd - how do they choose who gets what I wonder?

The current vogue with Online Bookmakers - well all Online Business I suppose - is called "segmentation".


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Market_segmentation

It's quite a science, actually, & it's fascinating to see how a Client Database can be sliced & diced.

Quite how or why some get a fiver in pound notes, & others a £5 Free Bet is another matter, but I'm sure there's a logic there somewhere.

Wm Hill certainly suffered badly last week. I would not wish a DDOS attack on any business, it's thoroughly horrible.   
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« Reply #123349 on: November 08, 2016, 12:58:56 PM »

Can get 12's on bv if Fred wants?

Looks like we are ok this time Rod, but thanks for the offer.

No bother, hope the 2 places don't matter (in a good way)
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« Reply #123350 on: November 08, 2016, 12:59:38 PM »


On that topic, it seems Wm Hill will be the Programme Sponsors of the new ITV Racing Coverage. A few weeks ago they claimed to want to merge with Pokerstars (Amaya) in one of the most perplexing tie-ups ever, but that went belly up.
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tikay
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« Reply #123351 on: November 08, 2016, 01:00:29 PM »

Can get 12's on bv if Fred wants?

Looks like we are ok this time Rod, but thanks for the offer.

No bother, hope the 2 places don't matter (in a good way)


Ugh, me too. Wink
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« Reply #123352 on: November 08, 2016, 01:08:17 PM »

Surely Clinton 360 EC votes @ 13-1 or so in Betfair is to big?  She is under 6-1 to win Georgia and a late swing that took Georgia would surely mean a sweep of all the battleground states as they are correlated.   Thoughts?

I certainly think there's value in a Clinton landslide. Polls have started to swing back towards her after she was cleared (again) from the emails thing on Sunday but because it happened so late the polls probably underestimate the positive effect for her.

As you say the states are correlated and it looks like you or someone else has crashed into this bet on BF as it's now only 8.something, whereas still available at 12/1 with PP, for example.

One market to look at is any one with Clinton getting over 400 EC votes (different bookies have different bands for the EC bets). This essentially means 'can Hillary win Texas' as that has 38 EC votes and would send her flying past 400, carrying plenty of other southern states with it.

538 gives Hillary a 5.6% chance in Texas yet Ladbrokes have Clinton 410+ at 50/1. If she wins Texas there is nearly zero chance of her not getting 410.

Also, anyone who wants a short-priced one - Clinton to win NH at about 1/3 (4/11 with Coral). She's polling better here than in Nevada, yet Nevada is about 1/5.
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« Reply #123353 on: November 08, 2016, 01:50:27 PM »

I got a £10 free bet from hills and someone else got a £50 free bet
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« Reply #123354 on: November 08, 2016, 01:55:15 PM »

I got a £10 free bet from hills and someone else got a £50 free bet

I didn't get a free bet from the lovely Hills. 
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« Reply #123355 on: November 08, 2016, 02:09:37 PM »

I got a £10 free bet from hills and someone else got a £50 free bet

I didn't get a free bet from the lovely Hills. 

+1


That said, they're still letting me bet, so they must be one of the shrewder firms out there Grin

Laddies went bang last week, and my 10bet, too.
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« Reply #123356 on: November 08, 2016, 02:10:45 PM »

They give free bets to the shrewdies but nothing to the mug punters that they know will keep coming back anyway
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« Reply #123357 on: November 08, 2016, 02:13:21 PM »

They give free bets to the shrewdies but nothing to the mug punters that they know will keep coming back anyway

That makes no sense at all, I get free bets all the time and I don't have a clue what I'm doing!
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« Reply #123358 on: November 08, 2016, 02:17:49 PM »

I got a £10 free bet from hills and someone else got a £50 free bet

I didn't get a free bet from the lovely Hills. 

Me neither.



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« Reply #123359 on: November 08, 2016, 02:33:58 PM »

They asked me for money this week ...
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