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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13613438 times)
T_Mar
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« Reply #123390 on: November 10, 2016, 12:13:42 PM »

Sam TD failed his medical and so will miss the Open meeting completely - Little bit frustrating for us but fact he was ear marked for Bouvreil ride indicates where the horse sits in Nichols runners pecking order

Gavin Sheehan booking is no negative


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« Reply #123391 on: November 10, 2016, 04:37:05 PM »

is 5/1 murray to beat djokovic in the final of the world tour finals good?
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« Reply #123392 on: November 10, 2016, 04:57:02 PM »

is 5/1 murray to beat djokovic in the final of the world tour finals good?

It is an acca of both win their group or both finish second in their group multiplied by them both winning their semis then Muz obviously beating him in the final.  Not sure if it is value or not tbh.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #123393 on: November 10, 2016, 05:17:26 PM »

i mention this as we have a pre-season bet on QPR to go up at 10-1

currently 17th with 20 points. started ok, then results tailed off. have had a problem drawing a lot of games for a season and a half now

sacked JFH last week and now are appointing Holloway, ten years after he had the job

what is the attraction of holloway?

QPR are 5-1+ to go down and 7-1 to be top London club in the division (bet365)

Fulham 24
Brentford 22
QPR 20

There are only 3 london clubs in the division

if the appointment works, then only 4 points off fulham after 16 games and 7-1 looks interesting does it not?

should we be effectively doubling down on QPR?
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« Reply #123394 on: November 10, 2016, 05:24:23 PM »

5/1 looks stingy to my eye.  If you were to ask Djokovic which 3 players he would like in his group, it would be exactly this.  They are like chalk and cheese, the home fav has drawn the short straw here..
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« Reply #123395 on: November 10, 2016, 05:33:25 PM »

i mention this as we have a pre-season bet on QPR to go up at 10-1

currently 17th with 20 points. started ok, then results tailed off. have had a problem drawing a lot of games for a season and a half now

sacked JFH last week and now are appointing Holloway, ten years after he had the job

what is the attraction of holloway?

QPR are 5-1+ to go down and 7-1 to be top London club in the division (bet365)

Fulham 24
Brentford 22
QPR 20

There are only 3 london clubs in the division

if the appointment works, then only 4 points off fulham after 16 games and 7-1 looks interesting does it not?

should we be effectively doubling down on QPR?

http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/football/domestic-championship/group_a.0a3c8e51-1f3c-4d4b-84cb-bd13d3debfdd/championship-points-2016-17

Not much between them on the spreads.  7/1 does look a bit big.
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arbboy
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« Reply #123396 on: November 10, 2016, 05:41:29 PM »

5/1 looks stingy to my eye.  If you were to ask Djokovic which 3 players he would like in his group, it would be exactly this.  They are like chalk and cheese, the home fav has drawn the short straw here..

This makes them a lot more likely to clash in the semis potentially.  Plus Djork could literally just not show up given his slump recently.  Certainly doesn't look much value to me without doing the detailed maths.
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The Camel
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« Reply #123397 on: November 10, 2016, 05:46:41 PM »

i mention this as we have a pre-season bet on QPR to go up at 10-1

currently 17th with 20 points. started ok, then results tailed off. have had a problem drawing a lot of games for a season and a half now

sacked JFH last week and now are appointing Holloway, ten years after he had the job

what is the attraction of holloway?

QPR are 5-1+ to go down and 7-1 to be top London club in the division (bet365)

Fulham 24
Brentford 22
QPR 20

There are only 3 london clubs in the division

if the appointment works, then only 4 points off fulham after 16 games and 7-1 looks interesting does it not?

should we be effectively doubling down on QPR?

http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/football/domestic-championship/group_a.0a3c8e51-1f3c-4d4b-84cb-bd13d3debfdd/championship-points-2016-17

Not much between them on the spreads.  7/1 does look a bit big.

Would not touch that with a bargepole.

Most of the players JFH brought in are simply not of Championship standard.

I trust Oliies motivational powers and man management skills will save us from a relegation scrap, but Brentford and (especially) Fulham look on a upward trajectory.

Sadly, we do not.
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« Reply #123398 on: November 10, 2016, 06:05:45 PM »

I can only see Monfils causing an upset and winning the group, thiem is playing awful and raonic doesn't look fully fit. Any one from four could win the other group and nobody would be surprised. I don't think I can recall a tougher group than this one as you usually have a whipping boy, not the case this time.
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« Reply #123399 on: November 10, 2016, 07:04:43 PM »

i mention this as we have a pre-season bet on QPR to go up at 10-1

currently 17th with 20 points. started ok, then results tailed off. have had a problem drawing a lot of games for a season and a half now

sacked JFH last week and now are appointing Holloway, ten years after he had the job

what is the attraction of holloway?

QPR are 5-1+ to go down and 7-1 to be top London club in the division (bet365)

Fulham 24
Brentford 22
QPR 20

There are only 3 london clubs in the division

if the appointment works, then only 4 points off fulham after 16 games and 7-1 looks interesting does it not?

should we be effectively doubling down on QPR?

http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/football/domestic-championship/group_a.0a3c8e51-1f3c-4d4b-84cb-bd13d3debfdd/championship-points-2016-17

Not much between them on the spreads.  7/1 does look a bit big.

Would not touch that with a bargepole.

Most of the players JFH brought in are simply not of Championship standard.

I trust Oliies motivational powers and man management skills will save us from a relegation scrap, but Brentford and (especially) Fulham look on a upward trajectory.


Sadly, we do not.



We are on Brentford for 50 in this market at 3/1 that I put on already don't know if that makes any odds to the 7/1  qpr bet
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TightEnd
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« Reply #123400 on: November 10, 2016, 07:25:18 PM »

The Browns are one of the worst teams against opposing tight ends

they typically try to take away the WR1, doubling him, and have a poor run defense too so the tight end is frequently singled up or left open

this season opposing tight end performances include

Witten 9-102-1 (receptions, yards, touchdowns)
M Bennett 6-67-3
Gronk 5-109-0
Reed 9-73-2
Pitta 9-102
Ertz 6-58

Ladbrokes and Coral have stuck up over/under 45 for Pitta tonight

hopefully, for my now depleted wallet, Pitta goes over that

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/cleveland-browns-at-baltimore-ravens/total-receiving-yds-dennis-pitta

We are hoping Cleveland win for our 49ers bet, a great call in that they only have one win but we need a Cleveland win from somewhere
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The Camel
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« Reply #123401 on: November 10, 2016, 07:27:54 PM »

i mention this as we have a pre-season bet on QPR to go up at 10-1

currently 17th with 20 points. started ok, then results tailed off. have had a problem drawing a lot of games for a season and a half now

sacked JFH last week and now are appointing Holloway, ten years after he had the job

what is the attraction of holloway?

QPR are 5-1+ to go down and 7-1 to be top London club in the division (bet365)

Fulham 24
Brentford 22
QPR 20

There are only 3 london clubs in the division

if the appointment works, then only 4 points off fulham after 16 games and 7-1 looks interesting does it not?

should we be effectively doubling down on QPR?

http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/football/domestic-championship/group_a.0a3c8e51-1f3c-4d4b-84cb-bd13d3debfdd/championship-points-2016-17

Not much between them on the spreads.  7/1 does look a bit big.

Would not touch that with a bargepole.

Most of the players JFH brought in are simply not of Championship standard.

I trust Oliies motivational powers and man management skills will save us from a relegation scrap, but Brentford and (especially) Fulham look on a upward trajectory.


Sadly, we do not.



We are on Brentford for 50 in this market at 3/1 that I put on already don't know if that makes any odds to the 7/1  qpr bet

Shouldn't do.

Adding another bet to a portfolio on a market should be value on its own merits.

3/1 Brentford is a lovely position, stick with it IMO.
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"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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« Reply #123402 on: November 10, 2016, 07:49:41 PM »

Tightend, you can add betway to the pitta over/under 45.5

Steve Smith looks like a decent punt over 38.5 yards if the other lines are closer to the mark.

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« Reply #123403 on: November 10, 2016, 09:56:34 PM »

So Qatar beat Russia 2-1 in an international friendly this evening.

Any thoughts on that?
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« Reply #123404 on: November 10, 2016, 10:23:51 PM »

The Browns are one of the worst teams against opposing tight ends

they typically try to take away the WR1, doubling him, and have a poor run defense too so the tight end is frequently singled up or left open

this season opposing tight end performances include

Witten 9-102-1 (receptions, yards, touchdowns)
M Bennett 6-67-3
Gronk 5-109-0
Reed 9-73-2
Pitta 9-102
Ertz 6-58

Ladbrokes and Coral have stuck up over/under 45 for Pitta tonight

hopefully, for my now depleted wallet, Pitta goes over that

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/cleveland-browns-at-baltimore-ravens/total-receiving-yds-dennis-pitta

We are hoping Cleveland win for our 49ers bet, a great call in that they only have one win but we need a Cleveland win from somewhere

Number Fire's metrics predict him to get 55.6 receiving yards.

Anyone else taking Cleveland against the spread tonight? 7.5 is a lot for an uninspiring offense like Baltimore's.
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