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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13434331 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #129105 on: July 18, 2017, 03:33:39 PM »

FYI

Racing Post‏

" Available online from 8pm tonight and in Wednesday's paper - don't miss our FREE 24-page betting supplement for #TheOpen"
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« Reply #129106 on: July 18, 2017, 03:45:48 PM »

Could only get £10 ew on Dodt top Deb for you guys but placed @ 14s. Still have £80 of Tikays after this.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #129107 on: July 18, 2017, 03:56:39 PM »

Could only get £10 ew on Dodt top Deb for you guys but placed @ 14s. Still have £80 of Tikays after this.

Thanks
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« Reply #129108 on: July 18, 2017, 04:13:01 PM »

Could only get £10 ew on Dodt top Deb for you guys but placed @ 14s. Still have £80 of Tikays after this.

Thanks

Tighty,

I still have £16 of Tikay's cash, so added £5 e/w on Dodt bet at 14/1 to get TFT to £15 e/w. Hope that's OK.

For the records that leaves me with £6 balance I owe Tikay.

Thanks
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« Reply #129109 on: July 18, 2017, 06:11:37 PM »

Recommend £40 on RCB to win his Thursday 3 ball with Baldy at 5/4. Really super price.
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« Reply #129110 on: July 18, 2017, 06:47:29 PM »


Seen on Twitter;

Chelsea's longest-serving professional player is Matej Delac.

He's been loaned out nine times and never made an appearance for Chelsea.
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« Reply #129111 on: July 18, 2017, 07:14:10 PM »

Recommend £40 on RCB to win his Thursday 3 ball with Baldy at 5/4. Really super price.

cheers.

done a single and also put him in an ice creamy trixie with Rahm and Harrington.
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« Reply #129112 on: July 18, 2017, 08:09:19 PM »

WSOP final table

Corals look like they have let the office junior price up

https://www.oddschecker.com/poker/world-series-of-poker/winner?selectionName=ben-lamb

History has taught us unpredictable results so 33-1  Ott and 25-1 Sinclair is way too big

Sinclair has got the game and balls to win it , one double up & back in it etc
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« Reply #129113 on: July 18, 2017, 08:24:40 PM »

WSOP final table

Corals look like they have let the office junior price up

https://www.oddschecker.com/poker/world-series-of-poker/winner?selectionName=ben-lamb

History has taught us unpredictable results so 33-1  Ott and 25-1 Sinclair is way too big

Sinclair has got the game and balls to win it , one double up & back in it etc

See wsop thread for my thoughts on why this is good.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #129114 on: July 18, 2017, 08:37:07 PM »

I have a view that hesp will hardly ever have played short handed, local naps comps chop regularly right? Whilst he won't die wondering, he has to be too short and his chips could get diced up once a few have gone? There could be the inefficiency in the market?
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« Reply #129115 on: July 18, 2017, 09:02:54 PM »

Unfortunately from what I've seen Hesp will get absolutely wrecked short handed.

Those 2 look like bets to me purely on numbers.
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« Reply #129116 on: July 18, 2017, 09:15:25 PM »

The fact Hesp is so short can only make these two bets better.  Am guessing the real price should be about 14/1.  Either victor or corals have put the market up and the other one followed.

Sinclair would be the obvious one of he plays a lot on line, but both bets are bound to be good.

 
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #129117 on: July 18, 2017, 09:42:56 PM »

I quite like Patrick Reed this week; T20 and T12 in his last two Opens and showing some signs of a return to form with a T13 in this year's US Open.

Recommend £10 EW Patrick(Bond Villain)Reed @80/1.
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« Reply #129118 on: July 18, 2017, 11:24:56 PM »

I wrote this last year and suggested a bet for the winning main event hand to be a pocket pair at 7/1.
http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=67250.0

"I've gone through the stats of winning hole cards from Wikipedia from no limit holdem tournaments where it shows the winning hand. I've excluded mixed games/Pot Limit/Limit and ante up.

Here is my data: (pocket pairs/total tournaments)

WSOP Mains 13/44
12/35 WSOP 2016
9/34 WSOP 2015
5/33 WSOP 2014
6/36 WSOP 2013
10/45 EPT first five seasons (doesn't show hole cards on wikipedia after that)
16/38 WSOPE and Australia all time

Total 71/265 tournies where the winning hand was a pocket pair."


This year at WSOP I've just done a quick count of the NLH tournaments and winning hands at WSOP and I have got 11/40, a similar ratio. Giving us 82/306 once I've added last years ME too.

Again it is priced up at 7/1 with Choral in their WSOP section and I've bet again because I think it is value.

What do people think?
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« Reply #129119 on: July 18, 2017, 11:28:10 PM »

Think that bet in Sinclair is great, he has come in now. He has played really aggro so far. I'm sure he will go for the win more than the others with it being so top heavy. He was fearless from what I watched.
Pokershares probably has the most accurate market, you can bet both sides too.
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