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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16412951 times)
HutchGF
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« Reply #130365 on: October 02, 2017, 01:21:03 AM »

Great news if you got on the Suljovic bet.

Breaking news that Gary Anderson ( in Mensur's half) has pulled out the event.

Incredible scenes with the shock exit of MvG and Mensur now into .

Must be some value in Barney now at as his half is wide open. He didn't play great but he has the big match experience and will see this as a geat opportunity.

Who'd have thought on night 1 Anderson would withdraw and Lewis/MvG would be eliminated.
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Ant040689
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« Reply #130366 on: October 02, 2017, 03:20:07 AM »

L.A. Chargers v Philadelphia Eagles

No good for Fred but should appeal to some.

Both teams are struggling on defence and the Chargers are having trouble with their quarterback, Philip Rivers, who has looked like a deer in headlights when asked to pick a pass. The Chargers are playing in a "soccer" stadium to a crowd that often has a sizeable chunk of away fans. It isn't a hostile home atmosphere. There had two good players this year and both are called Melvin.

Much is being made of the injuries in defence Philly have, but the Chargers have a gaping hole in the line backer and strong safety area (think "back of the diamond" in our football). It's a hole that has led them to be 31st against passes to Tight Ends this season (Football Outsiders DVOA).  This is  a huge weakness and won't be helped by the opposition tonight, whose Tight End is one of their main targets: Zach Ertz has 93, 97 and 55 yards the first three games this season.

It feels like a complete mismatch.

Scuy has set the line at 59.5. This is 10 yards too short.

Paddy and BMU have slightly higher lines but worse prices. Smidge of value maybe, but I would far rather take 10/11.
Cheers for this Tal.Cin@Cle The Bengals 20 play script should feature Green,Mixon and Bernard pretty heavily and I expect a fast start before defensive adjustments.Recomend CIN-2.5 first half spread £22 10/11 rzs.
Both came in if anybody followed

Well done peeps, I did. Cheers!
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Ant040689
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« Reply #130367 on: October 02, 2017, 03:27:52 AM »

I find this weirdly comforting.

https://twitter.com/fypfanzine/status/914411505575170048
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Tal
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« Reply #130368 on: October 02, 2017, 06:40:07 AM »

L.A. Chargers v Philadelphia Eagles

No good for Fred but should appeal to some.

Both teams are struggling on defence and the Chargers are having trouble with their quarterback, Philip Rivers, who has looked like a deer in headlights when asked to pick a pass. The Chargers are playing in a "soccer" stadium to a crowd that often has a sizeable chunk of away fans. It isn't a hostile home atmosphere. There had two good players this year and both are called Melvin.

Much is being made of the injuries in defence Philly have, but the Chargers have a gaping hole in the line backer and strong safety area (think "back of the diamond" in our football). It's a hole that has led them to be 31st against passes to Tight Ends this season (Football Outsiders DVOA).  This is  a huge weakness and won't be helped by the opposition tonight, whose Tight End is one of their main targets: Zach Ertz has 93, 97 and 55 yards the first three games this season.

It feels like a complete mismatch.

Scuy has set the line at 59.5. This is 10 yards too short.

Paddy and BMU have slightly higher lines but worse prices. Smidge of value maybe, but I would far rather take 10/11.
Cheers for this Tal.Cin@Cle The Bengals 20 play script should feature Green,Mixon and Bernard pretty heavily and I expect a fast start before defensive adjustments.Recomend CIN-2.5 first half spread £22 10/11 rzs.
Both came in if anybody followed

Well done, Mr Hatter.

Ertz got 81 yards, so plenty.

Some fun games yesterday, all in America.
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« Reply #130369 on: October 02, 2017, 10:59:49 AM »

Anyone with BFSB who doesn't mind flicking one in, PM me please...

It will include a bet for thread.
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ripple11
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« Reply #130370 on: October 02, 2017, 12:54:16 PM »


 Smiley
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ripple11
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« Reply #130371 on: October 02, 2017, 12:56:33 PM »

Great news if you got on the Suljovic bet.

Breaking news that Gary Anderson ( in Mensur's half) has pulled out the event.

Incredible scenes with the shock exit of MvG and Mensur now into .

Must be some value in Barney now at as his half is wide open. He didn't play great but he has the big match experience and will see this as a geat opportunity.

Who'd have thought on night 1 Anderson would withdraw and Lewis/MvG would be eliminated.

Nice spot .......unfortunately missed this  Sad

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Killerkilsby
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« Reply #130372 on: October 02, 2017, 02:02:05 PM »

Just posted in darts thread so will wait for feedback there, however I would like ro rec a bet here anyways as I believe its a good spot of value.

We all know Suljovic loves the D14

Will leave it at every opportunity right?

Just wondering peoples thoughts on D14 to be winning double at 12/1 with coral. As low as 4/1 elsewhere (sportingbet)

He's in good form, won the last major tournament on a D14. Will nearly always leave it and is favourite for the match.

I reccomend £20 at 12/1 coral.
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tikay
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« Reply #130373 on: October 02, 2017, 05:41:15 PM »


Settlement Day

Afternoon.

If you are owed anything by Fred for bets in September, let me know please & I'll settle up.
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Killerkilsby
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« Reply #130374 on: October 02, 2017, 06:06:36 PM »

Just posted in darts thread so will wait for feedback there, however I would like ro rec a bet here anyways as I believe its a good spot of value.

We all know Suljovic loves the D14

Will leave it at every opportunity right?

Just wondering peoples thoughts on D14 to be winning double at 12/1 with coral. As low as 4/1 elsewhere (sportingbet)

He's in good form, won the last major tournament on a D14. Will nearly always leave it and is favourite for the match.

I reccomend £20 at 12/1 coral.

Tikay, no feedback but my off forum contacts tell me its a brill spot.

He checks out on it any time its possible and is 4/9 fave to win match therefore is a fave to have the winning double and is fave to leave that. Gut tells me this is a huge spot.
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Ant040689
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« Reply #130375 on: October 02, 2017, 06:16:09 PM »

Just posted in darts thread so will wait for feedback there, however I would like ro rec a bet here anyways as I believe its a good spot of value.

We all know Suljovic loves the D14

Will leave it at every opportunity right?

Just wondering peoples thoughts on D14 to be winning double at 12/1 with coral. As low as 4/1 elsewhere (sportingbet)

He's in good form, won the last major tournament on a D14. Will nearly always leave it and is favourite for the match.

I reccomend £20 at 12/1 coral.

Tikay, no feedback but my off forum contacts tell me its a brill spot.

He checks out on it any time its possible and is 4/9 fave to win match therefore is a fave to have the winning double and is fave to leave that. Gut tells me this is a huge spot.

I have nothing to add as I don't know darts but gl
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Peter-27
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« Reply #130376 on: October 02, 2017, 06:22:40 PM »

Wouldn't 12/1 be palped if rest of the market is at 4/1?
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HutchGF
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« Reply #130377 on: October 02, 2017, 06:31:59 PM »

Just posted in darts thread so will wait for feedback there, however I would like ro rec a bet here anyways as I believe its a good spot of value.

We all know Suljovic loves the D14

Will leave it at every opportunity right?

Just wondering peoples thoughts on D14 to be winning double at 12/1 with coral. As low as 4/1 elsewhere (sportingbet)

He's in good form, won the last major tournament on a D14. Will nearly always leave it and is favourite for the match.

I reccomend £20 at 12/1 coral.

Whilst he has been going down the more traditional route (16s/8s/4s) in recent times it is still huge value at 12/1 as it is his favourite double. Get involved!
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« Reply #130378 on: October 02, 2017, 06:38:08 PM »

Wouldn't 12/1 be palped if rest of the market is at 4/1?

It's a lazy odds-compiler using a standard book - I don't see how it could possibly be called a palp.
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« Reply #130379 on: October 02, 2017, 06:43:53 PM »

Wouldn't 12/1 be palped if rest of the market is at 4/1?

It's a lazy odds-compiler using a standard book - I don't see how it could possibly be called a palp.

Agreed.
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