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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13437502 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #133515 on: June 08, 2018, 05:13:33 PM »

If you're going for zero goals, aren't you better off going for the "lowest scoring team" market? Or worried about a multi way chop?

Think it's pretty rare for teams to end up with zero goals. Last time we backed a winner in these market when Iran got just one goal.

Yes. I remember the Iran bet

(risk of chops of course)

https://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/lowest-scoring-team

Panama at 8-1 looks pretty fair to me

obviously Saudi, Iran front-runners again

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« Reply #133516 on: June 08, 2018, 11:36:18 PM »

If you're going for zero goals, aren't you better off going for the "lowest scoring team" market? Or worried about a multi way chop?

Think it's pretty rare for teams to end up with zero goals. Last time we backed a winner in these market when Iran got just one goal.

Yes. I remember the Iran bet

(risk of chops of course)

https://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/lowest-scoring-team

Panama at 8-1 looks pretty fair to me

obviously Saudi, Iranx  front-runners again




Good news.... both Saudi and Iran scored in their friendly tonight   Smiley
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Peter-27
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« Reply #133517 on: June 09, 2018, 01:19:55 PM »

I've got a number of early F1 bets to suggest for this weekend;

Race Winner - Lewis Hamilton @ Best price > EVS. Suggest £30. The Canadian GP circuit is all about late braking; that's where the lap time is. Lewis is one of the best out there for this trait. Plus, Mercedes' pace looked pretty ominous yesterday given the tyre compound they were running.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/canadian-grand-prix/winner

Race Winner - Daniel Ricciardo @ 12/1 with Bet Victor. I'm encouraged by Red Bull at the moment, and this price seems out of line. Daniel is under threat of receiving a grid penalty, but there's nothing confirmed either way yet - which is inflating the price. I'm not convinced he will be taking a penalty. Suggest a min bet EW (1-3 1/5).

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/canadian-grand-prix/winner

Pole Position - Lewis Hamilton @ Best price > EVS. Same reasons as above. Suggest £50.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/canadian-grand-prix/pole-position

Top Six Finish - Fernando Alonso @ 5/2 with Ladbrokes and Coral (not willing to go lower than 5/2). I'm expecting Fernando to be "best of the rest" this weekend, due to the importance of late braking on this track, and the price doesn't reflect that at the moment. Suggest £10.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/canadian-grand-prix/top-6-finish

Double Points Finish - Force India @ 15/8 with William Hill. The Force India cars are looking well balanced this weekend, and team personnel certainly seem more optimistic at the moment compared to usual. Their top speed is also very strong. Suggest £20.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/canadian-grand-prix/double-points-finish

Not To Finish The Race - Sergey Sirotkin (9/4) & Lance Stroll (5/2) with various. I suggested this in Monaco and it didn't come off, but Williams' woes seem even worse here. Their problem appears to be high-speed stability, which is one of the key car characteristics required for this circuit. In fact, Lance has already hit the barriers once this weekend. Suggest £10 each.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/canadian-grand-prix/not-to-finish-the-race

Practice three begins at 16:00 UK time.
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« Reply #133518 on: June 09, 2018, 01:55:02 PM »

I've got a number of early F1 bets to suggest for this weekend;

Race Winner - Lewis Hamilton @ Best price > EVS. Suggest £30. The Canadian GP circuit is all about late braking; that's where the lap time is. Lewis is one of the best out there for this trait. Plus, Mercedes' pace looked pretty ominous yesterday given the tyre compound they were running.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/canadian-grand-prix/winner

Race Winner - Daniel Ricciardo @ 12/1 with Bet Victor. I'm encouraged by Red Bull at the moment, and this price seems out of line. Daniel is under threat of receiving a grid penalty, but there's nothing confirmed either way yet - which is inflating the price. I'm not convinced he will be taking a penalty. Suggest a min bet EW (1-3 1/5).

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/canadian-grand-prix/winner

Pole Position - Lewis Hamilton @ Best price > EVS. Same reasons as above. Suggest £50.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/canadian-grand-prix/pole-position

Top Six Finish - Fernando Alonso @ 5/2 with Ladbrokes and Coral (not willing to go lower than 5/2). I'm expecting Fernando to be "best of the rest" this weekend, due to the importance of late braking on this track, and the price doesn't reflect that at the moment. Suggest £10.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/canadian-grand-prix/top-6-finish

Double Points Finish - Force India @ 15/8 with William Hill. The Force India cars are looking well balanced this weekend, and team personnel certainly seem more optimistic at the moment compared to usual. Their top speed is also very strong. Suggest £20.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/canadian-grand-prix/double-points-finish

Not To Finish The Race - Sergey Sirotkin (9/4) & Lance Stroll (5/2) with various. I suggested this in Monaco and it didn't come off, but Williams' woes seem even worse here. Their problem appears to be high-speed stability, which is one of the key car characteristics required for this circuit. In fact, Lance has already hit the barriers once this weekend. Suggest £10 each.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/canadian-grand-prix/not-to-finish-the-race

Practice three begins at 16:00 UK time.


Love the Williams bets.   Blacktype are 6/4 Hamilton to win, which beats betfair right now.

Alonso is 500/1 e/w a fifth first 3.   Given the benign conditions expected it isn't as good as could be, but he can't be 100/1 to finish 3rd?  The price is a bit mythical for me. 
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #133519 on: June 09, 2018, 02:04:46 PM »

has fred done the germany brazil double?
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« Reply #133520 on: June 09, 2018, 02:06:33 PM »

Done a preview for Belmont elsewhere the best bet for me on the rest of the excellent card is Unchained Melody in the third (5.47)

Prices very variable at moment and there are two non runners to be taken out which will harm the price, anything double figures is a good bet for me. the 20s with denise is just silly

oh and come on Vino
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« Reply #133521 on: June 09, 2018, 02:48:00 PM »

has fred done the germany brazil double?

no Blacktype isn't funded, and tikay is aware
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« Reply #133522 on: June 09, 2018, 02:54:19 PM »

Lewis Hamilton
Canadian Grand Prix Winner
11/10
Total Stake: £30.00
Potential Returns: £63.00
   
can't Do BV for DR

Lewis Hamilton
Canadian Grand Prix Pole Position
11/10
Total Stake: £50.00
Potential Returns: £105.00

can't do Alonso, closed with those firms

Force India
Canadian Grand Prix Double Points Finish
15/8
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £57.60
   
Lance Stroll
Canadian Grand Prix Not To Finish The Race
5/2
Total Stake: £10.00
Potential Returns: £35.00

Sergey Sirotkin
Canadian Grand Prix Not To Finish The Race
2/1
Total Stake: £10.00
Total Returns: £30.00
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My eyes are open wide
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« Reply #133523 on: June 09, 2018, 03:00:02 PM »

if anyone fancies doing unchained melody for me with 365 please pm

drink in if it wins obviously
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« Reply #133524 on: June 09, 2018, 04:06:08 PM »

Pm sent
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horseplayer
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« Reply #133525 on: June 09, 2018, 04:16:00 PM »

Ty engy
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tikay
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« Reply #133526 on: June 09, 2018, 04:35:10 PM »

has fred done the germany brazil double?

no Blacktype isn't funded, and tikay is aware

Correct.

Am currently trying to fund it, but the software seems to know I'm not in the UK.

Will try again later when I'm on the VPN.
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« Reply #133527 on: June 09, 2018, 05:32:56 PM »

Unchanged heading for ...win please
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« Reply #133528 on: June 09, 2018, 06:18:03 PM »

Unchanged heading for ...win please

Price was great, run was not Sad
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« Reply #133529 on: June 09, 2018, 06:27:08 PM »

 Correct way it goes, back shots at 10s+ all day long you wont do to badly, fav back to best would not have mattered tonight nothing beats it

Infact I have been doing it most of today and they have all lost Smiley


The night is young
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