Tips for Tikay

[Killerkilsby]

Okay, Australian GP bets.

Not much too choose from, although I am exercising caution as part of my "quality, not quantity" strategy. Australia is also an unusual circuit which often throws up unusual results.

Points Finish - Antonio Giovinazzi @ 7/2+ (William Hill best price). A promising youngster in a seemingly bullet proof car (if pre-season testing is anything to go by) with an unique and innovative front wing concept. Price is slightly out of line given that his team mate is 9/10. I would have thought he should be 5/2.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/australian-grand-prix/points-finish

Double Points Finish - Toro Rosso @ 16/1 (365/Sporting Bet best price). As touched upon before, the car looked extremely strong in pre-season testing. There are an array of prices on this with the lowest being 4/1! Clearly 16/1 is value. I would have priced it at around the 8/1 mark.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/australian-grand-prix/double-points-finish

Also, is there any love from the thread for my Ferrari Constructors Champions bet? I really can't stress enough how much of a good spot that is. 11/8 on WH.

Mercedes looking imperious. All the pundits got it wrong too!

[Peter-27]

Okay, Australian GP bets.

Not much too choose from, although I am exercising caution as part of my "quality, not quantity" strategy. Australia is also an unusual circuit which often throws up unusual results.

Points Finish - Antonio Giovinazzi @ 7/2+ (William Hill best price). A promising youngster in a seemingly bullet proof car (if pre-season testing is anything to go by) with an unique and innovative front wing concept. Price is slightly out of line given that his team mate is 9/10. I would have thought he should be 5/2.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/australian-grand-prix/points-finish

Double Points Finish - Toro Rosso @ 16/1 (365/Sporting Bet best price). As touched upon before, the car looked extremely strong in pre-season testing. There are an array of prices on this with the lowest being 4/1! Clearly 16/1 is value. I would have priced it at around the 8/1 mark.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/australian-grand-prix/double-points-finish

Also, is there any love from the thread for my Ferrari Constructors Champions bet? I really can't stress enough how much of a good spot that is. 11/8 on WH.

Mercedes looking imperious. All the pundits got it wrong too!

I'm shell-shocked. For the first time ever, what we're visibly seeing on track just doesn't correlate with the timing screens at all. Not just Ferrari/Mercedes either, but the whole of the top ten.

My Ferrari title bet isn't completely dead. Mercedes had a similar gap in Australian GP qualifying last season, and Ferrari should have won the title (but for a number of mistakes). Plus, Charles Leclerc will undoubtedly challenge more as the season progresses. Still, considerably less likely now. That gap is unbelievable following testing.  

The twitchy-ness of Mercedes does probably suit this track more, but to the tune of 0.7 seconds? Not sure. 

[Doobs]

Victor are 25/1 Bottas third first 3 for the drivers championship right now.   obv a good bet if you have an ice cream account, prob not if you want to keep it.

[Doobs]

Victor are 25/1 Bottas third first 3 for the drivers championship right now.   obv a good bet if you have an ice cream account, prob not if you want to keep it.

Not anymore.   I am on LeClerc too; there is still a long seasom for them to catch up.   Mercedes have just caught us out by sandbagging in testing. 

[tikay]

After the excitement of Cheltenham there might not be too much enthusiasm for watching a bunch of stayers plod round Uttoxeter several times, but it's the Midlands Grand National today, but 21 runners & 13/2 the field might interest a few;

https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/uttoxeter/15:35/winner

[peejaytwo]

After the excitement of Cheltenham there might not be too much enthusiasm for watching a bunch of stayers plod round Uttoxeter several times, but it's the Midlands Grand National today, but 21 runners & 13/2 the field might interest a few;

https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/uttoxeter/15:35/winner

And e/w first seven at Hills

[Chompy]

Now 19 runners. Got to be done with Hills. I fancy No.3.

[Doobs]

Ha, was a bit betted out, but there is a handicap hurdle before too.

Not backed number 3 so worry about my chances.

Magoo; Milansbar and Chef D'ouvre.   

[Karabiner]

Had a decent little touch on Regal Flow last year so might as well give the old boy another chance in very similar conditions.

[tikay]

Watching Uttoxeter early races and the going is "soft, heavy in places", so the Midlands GN, over 4 miles 2 furlongs, could turn into a real slog fest.

Ralph mentioned that Regal Flow won last year in similar conditions, so that's a positive, does that also apply to the Doobs trio, and does that throw any others into the mix?

[peejaytwo]

Raz De Maree was never in the race for the Eider at Newcastle but plodded round to safely secure the last ew payout.
Can see the same happening today but it’s 26/27 on BF and only 14/1 with the Hills shyster. Will probably but closer if you can bet the live show.

[Doobs]

Watching Uttoxeter early races and the going is "soft, heavy in places", so the Midlands GN, over 4 miles 2 furlongs, could turn into a real slog fest.

Ralph mentioned that Regal Flow won last year in similar conditions, so that's a positive, does that also apply to the Doobs trio, and does that throw any others into the mix?

I knew the ground and distance when I backed them.   Think all have won on heavy and Milansbar finished the Grand National on heavy.   

[tikay]

Watching Uttoxeter early races and the going is "soft, heavy in places", so the Midlands GN, over 4 miles 2 furlongs, could turn into a real slog fest.

Ralph mentioned that Regal Flow won last year in similar conditions, so that's a positive, does that also apply to the Doobs trio, and does that throw any others into the mix?

I knew the ground and distance when I backed them.   Think all have won on heavy and Milansbar finished the Grand National on heavy.   

Guessed that was probable, just thought I'd check.

Will have a dabble shortly.

[Doobs]

Watching Uttoxeter early races and the going is "soft, heavy in places", so the Midlands GN, over 4 miles 2 furlongs, could turn into a real slog fest.

Ralph mentioned that Regal Flow won last year in similar conditions, so that's a positive, does that also apply to the Doobs trio, and does that throw any others into the mix?

I knew the ground and distance when I backed them.   Think all have won on heavy and Milansbar finished the Grand National on heavy.   

Guessed that was probable, just thought I'd check.

Will have a dabble shortly.

Think a couple have shortened a bit.   Do you get a staff 365 account these days?

[tikay]

Watching Uttoxeter early races and the going is "soft, heavy in places", so the Midlands GN, over 4 miles 2 furlongs, could turn into a real slog fest.

Ralph mentioned that Regal Flow won last year in similar conditions, so that's a positive, does that also apply to the Doobs trio, and does that throw any others into the mix?

I knew the ground and distance when I backed them.   Think all have won on heavy and Milansbar finished the Grand National on heavy.   

Guessed that was probable, just thought I'd check.

Will have a dabble shortly.

Think a couple have shortened a bit.   Do you get a staff 365 account these days?

Pfft, I wish.

On which note, I really must get caught up on the diary - Gill has started betting, and is getting to know all the angles. Told me yesterday that Betway are a heap of shite, as they have removed cash out from her 6/1 shot of Meghan to have twins. She reckons it's outrageous.