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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13413080 times)
Killerkilsby
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #135555 on:
March 16, 2019, 06:52:14 AM »
Quote from: Peter-27 on March 14, 2019, 07:30:39 PM
Okay, Australian GP bets.
Not much too choose from, although I am exercising caution as part of my "quality, not quantity" strategy. Australia is also an unusual circuit which often throws up unusual results.
Points Finish - Antonio Giovinazzi
@ 7/2+ (William Hill best price). A promising youngster in a seemingly bullet proof car (if pre-season testing is anything to go by) with an unique and innovative front wing concept. Price is slightly out of line given that his team mate is 9/10. I would have thought he should be 5/2.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/australian-grand-prix/points-finish
Double Points Finish - Toro Rosso
@ 16/1 (365/Sporting Bet best price). As touched upon before, the car looked extremely strong in pre-season testing. There are an array of prices on this with the lowest being 4/1! Clearly 16/1 is value. I would have priced it at around the 8/1 mark.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/australian-grand-prix/double-points-finish
Also, is there any love from the thread for my Ferrari Constructors Champions bet? I really can't stress enough how much of a good spot that is. 11/8 on WH.
Mercedes looking imperious. All the pundits got it wrong too!
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Peter-27
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Posts: 1550
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #135556 on:
March 16, 2019, 07:20:32 AM »
Quote from: Killerkilsby on March 16, 2019, 06:52:14 AM
Quote from: Peter-27 on March 14, 2019, 07:30:39 PM
Okay, Australian GP bets.
Not much too choose from, although I am exercising caution as part of my "quality, not quantity" strategy. Australia is also an unusual circuit which often throws up unusual results.
Points Finish - Antonio Giovinazzi
@ 7/2+ (William Hill best price). A promising youngster in a seemingly bullet proof car (if pre-season testing is anything to go by) with an unique and innovative front wing concept. Price is slightly out of line given that his team mate is 9/10. I would have thought he should be 5/2.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/australian-grand-prix/points-finish
Double Points Finish - Toro Rosso
@ 16/1 (365/Sporting Bet best price). As touched upon before, the car looked extremely strong in pre-season testing. There are an array of prices on this with the lowest being 4/1! Clearly 16/1 is value. I would have priced it at around the 8/1 mark.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/australian-grand-prix/double-points-finish
Also, is there any love from the thread for my Ferrari Constructors Champions bet? I really can't stress enough how much of a good spot that is. 11/8 on WH.
Mercedes looking imperious. All the pundits got it wrong too!
I'm shell-shocked. For the first time ever, what we're visibly seeing on track just doesn't correlate with the timing screens at all. Not just Ferrari/Mercedes either, but the whole of the top ten.
My Ferrari title bet isn't completely dead. Mercedes had a similar gap in Australian GP qualifying last season, and Ferrari should have won the title (but for a number of mistakes). Plus, Charles Leclerc will undoubtedly challenge more as the season progresses. Still, considerably less likely now. That gap is unbelievable following testing.
The twitchy-ness of Mercedes does probably suit this track more, but to the tune of 0.7 seconds? Not sure.
«
Last Edit: March 16, 2019, 07:37:00 AM by Peter-27
»
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Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #135557 on:
March 16, 2019, 08:34:58 AM »
Victor are 25/1 Bottas third first 3 for the drivers championship right now. obv a good bet if you have an ice cream account, prob not if you want to keep it.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #135558 on:
March 16, 2019, 09:14:59 AM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 16, 2019, 08:34:58 AM
Victor are 25/1 Bottas third first 3 for the drivers championship right now. obv a good bet if you have an ice cream account, prob not if you want to keep it.
Not anymore. I am on LeClerc too; there is still a long seasom for them to catch up. Mercedes have just caught us out by sandbagging in testing.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #135559 on:
March 16, 2019, 09:44:04 AM »
After the excitement of Cheltenham there might not be too much enthusiasm for watching a bunch of stayers plod round Uttoxeter several times, but it's the Midlands Grand National today, but 21 runners & 13/2 the field might interest a few;
https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/uttoxeter/15:35/winner
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peejaytwo
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #135560 on:
March 16, 2019, 10:37:30 AM »
Quote from: tikay on March 16, 2019, 09:44:04 AM
After the excitement of Cheltenham there might not be too much enthusiasm for watching a bunch of stayers plod round Uttoxeter several times, but it's the Midlands Grand National today, but 21 runners & 13/2 the field might interest a few;
https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/uttoxeter/15:35/winner
And e/w first seven at Hills
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Chompy
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Expert
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #135561 on:
March 16, 2019, 10:44:56 AM »
Now 19 runners. Got to be done with Hills. I fancy No.3.
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Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #135562 on:
March 16, 2019, 10:53:51 AM »
Ha, was a bit betted out, but there is a handicap hurdle before too.
Not backed number 3 so worry about my chances.
Magoo; Milansbar and Chef D'ouvre.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Karabiner
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James Webb Telescope
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #135563 on:
March 16, 2019, 11:11:55 AM »
Had a decent little touch on Regal Flow last year so might as well give the old boy another chance in very similar conditions.
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #135564 on:
March 16, 2019, 01:49:39 PM »
Watching Uttoxeter early races and the going is "soft, heavy in places", so the Midlands GN, over 4 miles 2 furlongs, could turn into a real slog fest.
Ralph mentioned that Regal Flow won last year in similar conditions, so that's a positive, does that also apply to the Doobs trio, and does that throw any others into the mix?
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
peejaytwo
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Posts: 452
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #135565 on:
March 16, 2019, 02:14:06 PM »
Raz De Maree was never in the race for the Eider at Newcastle but plodded round to safely secure the last ew payout.
Can see the same happening today but it’s 26/27 on BF and only 14/1 with the Hills shyster. Will probably but closer if you can bet the live show.
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Doobs
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Posts: 16575
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #135566 on:
March 16, 2019, 02:18:29 PM »
Quote from: tikay on March 16, 2019, 01:49:39 PM
Watching Uttoxeter early races and the going is "soft, heavy in places", so the Midlands GN, over 4 miles 2 furlongs, could turn into a real slog fest.
Ralph mentioned that Regal Flow won last year in similar conditions, so that's a positive, does that also apply to the Doobs trio, and does that throw any others into the mix?
I knew the ground and distance when I backed them. Think all have won on heavy and Milansbar finished the Grand National on heavy.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
Administrator
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #135567 on:
March 16, 2019, 02:22:43 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 16, 2019, 02:18:29 PM
Quote from: tikay on March 16, 2019, 01:49:39 PM
Watching Uttoxeter early races and the going is "soft, heavy in places", so the Midlands GN, over 4 miles 2 furlongs, could turn into a real slog fest.
Ralph mentioned that Regal Flow won last year in similar conditions, so that's a positive, does that also apply to the Doobs trio, and does that throw any others into the mix?
I knew the ground and distance when I backed them. Think all have won on heavy and Milansbar finished the Grand National on heavy.
Guessed that was probable, just thought I'd check.
Will have a dabble shortly.
Logged
All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
Doobs
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Posts: 16575
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #135568 on:
March 16, 2019, 02:35:35 PM »
Quote from: tikay on March 16, 2019, 02:22:43 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 16, 2019, 02:18:29 PM
Quote from: tikay on March 16, 2019, 01:49:39 PM
Watching Uttoxeter early races and the going is "soft, heavy in places", so the Midlands GN, over 4 miles 2 furlongs, could turn into a real slog fest.
Ralph mentioned that Regal Flow won last year in similar conditions, so that's a positive, does that also apply to the Doobs trio, and does that throw any others into the mix?
I knew the ground and distance when I backed them. Think all have won on heavy and Milansbar finished the Grand National on heavy.
Guessed that was probable, just thought I'd check.
Will have a dabble shortly.
Think a couple have shortened a bit. Do you get a staff 365 account these days?
Logged
Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
Administrator
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #135569 on:
March 16, 2019, 02:41:27 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 16, 2019, 02:35:35 PM
Quote from: tikay on March 16, 2019, 02:22:43 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 16, 2019, 02:18:29 PM
Quote from: tikay on March 16, 2019, 01:49:39 PM
Watching Uttoxeter early races and the going is "soft, heavy in places", so the Midlands GN, over 4 miles 2 furlongs, could turn into a real slog fest.
Ralph mentioned that Regal Flow won last year in similar conditions, so that's a positive, does that also apply to the Doobs trio, and does that throw any others into the mix?
I knew the ground and distance when I backed them. Think all have won on heavy and Milansbar finished the Grand National on heavy.
Guessed that was probable, just thought I'd check.
Will have a dabble shortly.
Think a couple have shortened a bit. Do you get a staff 365 account these days?
Pfft, I wish.
On which note, I really must get caught up on the diary - Gill has started betting, and is getting to know all the angles. Told me yesterday that Betway are a heap of shite, as they have removed cash out from her 6/1 shot of Meghan to have twins. She reckons it's outrageous.
Logged
All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
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