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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13429887 times)
tikay
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« Reply #137610 on: March 17, 2021, 06:31:20 PM »



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« Last Edit: March 17, 2021, 06:33:21 PM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #137611 on: March 17, 2021, 06:37:06 PM »

Smith loses 6-3 to world champ who averaged 104 and looked unplayable.   We will be back tomorrow around 1230pm for the third one when the draw has been made but the firms don't adjust any of their priices for a 2pm start.   Quite a decent edge this is.
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« Reply #137612 on: March 17, 2021, 07:10:22 PM »


Good of Betfair to reminding us why we should never cash out.

The horse is near 1/2 on the exchange and they are offering 4/9 on the sportsbook, but it is 5/6 on a cashout, so basically a cashout costs over £55k.  That is the cost betfair are charging to reduce their exposure.

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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #137613 on: March 17, 2021, 07:30:19 PM »

https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/football-sexism-online-abuse-sarah-everard-b1818366.html

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« Reply #137614 on: March 17, 2021, 07:46:54 PM »

Nice article from an old poker-face appeared on my Twitter timeline today:

https://www.gambling.com/news/men-in-white-gloves-the-rise-and-demise-of-the-tic-tac-man-2469900
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« Reply #137615 on: March 17, 2021, 08:26:48 PM »

Nice article from an old poker-face appeared on my Twitter timeline today:

https://www.gambling.com/news/men-in-white-gloves-the-rise-and-demise-of-the-tic-tac-man-2469900

I saw that from Roy the boy was a great read of my first couple of years going racing and my obsession with how the betting ring works from my first ever meeting.   One of the few things i have never done that i always wanted to do was stand on course and shout '666666666666666/44444444444444444 the fielddddddddddddddd'
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« Reply #137616 on: March 17, 2021, 08:29:45 PM »


Good of Betfair to reminding us why we should never cash out.

The horse is near 1/2 on the exchange and they are offering 4/9 on the sportsbook, but it is 5/6 on a cashout, so basically a cashout costs over £55k.  That is the cost betfair are charging to reduce their exposure.



https://www.racingpost.com/news/latest/punter-ponders-275000-cash-out-offer-as-first-four-win-in-amazing-5-acca/479115

Another embarrassing thing is bf max pay out on horses is £250k!  Sure denise is seven figures nowadays and they are three times smaller than flutter.
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« Reply #137617 on: March 18, 2021, 09:48:09 AM »

He has cashed out most of it.

https://mobile.twitter.com/istabraq_king/status/1372456530872786946

Seems there should have been some mileage in negotiating, and if you must cash out some, surely you'd leave more rolling forward.  I can see how it would be very tempting to take 100k or half off the table, but nearly all of it makes me a big grumpy.  Doesn't discourage these terrible cash out offers.

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« Reply #137618 on: March 18, 2021, 10:05:41 AM »

He has cashed out most of it.

https://mobile.twitter.com/istabraq_king/status/1372456530872786946

Seems there should have been some mileage in negotiating, and if you must cash out some, surely you'd leave more rolling forward.  I can see how it would be very tempting to take 100k or half off the table, but nearly all of it makes me a big grumpy.  Doesn't discourage these terrible cash out offers.



Still got a 70k sweat on the race, so not all bad Cheesy

Such a unique position, hard to say anything bad about him doing it. Though you wouldn't think so looking at the Twitter thread  Roll Eyes
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« Reply #137619 on: March 18, 2021, 10:23:38 AM »

He has cashed out most of it.

https://mobile.twitter.com/istabraq_king/status/1372456530872786946

Seems there should have been some mileage in negotiating, and if you must cash out some, surely you'd leave more rolling forward.  I can see how it would be very tempting to take 100k or half off the table, but nearly all of it makes me a big grumpy.  Doesn't discourage these terrible cash out offers.



Still got a 70k sweat on the race, so not all bad Cheesy

Such a unique position, hard to say anything bad about him doing it. Though you wouldn't think so looking at the Twitter thread  Roll Eyes

It seems mostly positive? 

I don't know what his real choices were given he had gone past their 250k limit.  Maybe it wasn't so straightforward?

It is hard to be too critical though, until I sit there looking at losing 250k then I can't say I wouldn't take it.  I still hope I would have tried to find a more favourable way out or just cashing out a small part.

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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #137620 on: March 18, 2021, 10:25:33 AM »

Same as yesterday on darts. 2nd of 4 daily floor events.  Jackpot got a terrible draw today so we will go for Michael Smith 18/1 boyles 16/1 bald

https://www.oddschecker.com/darts/players-championship/players-championship-6/winner

Finalist yesterday so bang in form and has a very easy draw to 1/4 finals today.   e/w 18/1 is worth a decent interest.  skybet have just gone up at 20/1 which is worth a serious ew bet if you can get it

https://tv.dartconnect.com/matchlist/pdcpc21e06  Link for the scores.  Play starts across 16 boards at 2pm

Comfortably into the l16 with three easy wins so far with big averages and zero pressure.

Great  news, thanks.

I was on yesterday & a bit sad that we threw away that 5-1 lead, so decided to re-invest again today as per your suggestion.

Fingers crossed.

Quarter final just started against the world champ Price.  Link below for the live score.   First to 6

https://tv.dartconnect.com/matchlist/pdcpc21e06




Jackpot again today?
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« Reply #137621 on: March 18, 2021, 10:26:58 AM »

His bf balance on the picture i saw was over £20k so he doesn't seem a small punter and i am sure he has had hundreds of £5 dream accas like this.   Amazing decision to have.  Barry has had him right over here AND still got PR out of it.  Amazing.
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« Reply #137622 on: March 18, 2021, 10:29:37 AM »

Same as yesterday on darts. 2nd of 4 daily floor events.  Jackpot got a terrible draw today so we will go for Michael Smith 18/1 boyles 16/1 bald

https://www.oddschecker.com/darts/players-championship/players-championship-6/winner

Finalist yesterday so bang in form and has a very easy draw to 1/4 finals today.   e/w 18/1 is worth a decent interest.  skybet have just gone up at 20/1 which is worth a serious ew bet if you can get it

https://tv.dartconnect.com/matchlist/pdcpc21e06  Link for the scores.  Play starts across 16 boards at 2pm

Comfortably into the l16 with three easy wins so far with big averages and zero pressure.

Great  news, thanks.

I was on yesterday & a bit sad that we threw away that 5-1 lead, so decided to re-invest again today as per your suggestion.

Fingers crossed.

Quarter final just started against the world champ Price.  Link below for the live score.   First to 6

https://tv.dartconnect.com/matchlist/pdcpc21e06




Jackpot again today?


The draw is made at noon and play starts at 2pm that is the edge here and firms price up prior to the draw and don't adjust in those two hours until it starts.  Only 16 seeds and 112 unseeded players so you can get some very lopsided draws like Smith yesterday who was gifted a route to the last 8 until he met anyone decent then run into the eventual winner in Price.
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« Reply #137623 on: March 18, 2021, 10:46:51 AM »

He has cashed out most of it.

https://mobile.twitter.com/istabraq_king/status/1372456530872786946

Seems there should have been some mileage in negotiating, and if you must cash out some, surely you'd leave more rolling forward.  I can see how it would be very tempting to take 100k or half off the table, but nearly all of it makes me a big grumpy.  Doesn't discourage these terrible cash out offers.



Still got a 70k sweat on the race, so not all bad Cheesy

Such a unique position, hard to say anything bad about him doing it. Though you wouldn't think so looking at the Twitter thread  Roll Eyes

It seems mostly positive? 

I don't know what his real choices were given he had gone past their 250k limit.  Maybe it wasn't so straightforward?

It is hard to be too critical though, until I sit there looking at losing 250k then I can't say I wouldn't take it.  I still hope I would have tried to find a more favourable way out or just cashing out a small part.



The limit is £1m isn't it?
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« Reply #137624 on: March 18, 2021, 10:54:46 AM »

He has cashed out most of it.

https://mobile.twitter.com/istabraq_king/status/1372456530872786946

Seems there should have been some mileage in negotiating, and if you must cash out some, surely you'd leave more rolling forward.  I can see how it would be very tempting to take 100k or half off the table, but nearly all of it makes me a big grumpy.  Doesn't discourage these terrible cash out offers.



Still got a 70k sweat on the race, so not all bad Cheesy

Such a unique position, hard to say anything bad about him doing it. Though you wouldn't think so looking at the Twitter thread  Roll Eyes

It seems mostly positive? 

I don't know what his real choices were given he had gone past their 250k limit.  Maybe it wasn't so straightforward?

It is hard to be too critical though, until I sit there looking at losing 250k then I can't say I wouldn't take it.  I still hope I would have tried to find a more favourable way out or just cashing out a small part.



The limit is £1m isn't it?

Arbboy noted it was 250k yesterday, and I saw that Betfair had waived the 250k limit elsewhere.
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