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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13577827 times)
tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #137610 on:
March 17, 2021, 06:31:20 PM »
Click to see full-size image.
«
Last Edit: March 17, 2021, 06:33:21 PM by tikay
»
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arbboy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #137611 on:
March 17, 2021, 06:37:06 PM »
Smith loses 6-3 to world champ who averaged 104 and looked unplayable. We will be back tomorrow around 1230pm for the third one when the draw has been made but the firms don't adjust any of their priices for a 2pm start. Quite a decent edge this is.
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Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #137612 on:
March 17, 2021, 07:10:22 PM »
Quote from: tikay on March 17, 2021, 06:31:20 PM
Click to see full-size image.
Good of Betfair to reminding us why we should never cash out.
The horse is near 1/2 on the exchange and they are offering 4/9 on the sportsbook, but it is 5/6 on a cashout, so basically a cashout costs over £55k. That is the cost betfair are charging to reduce
their
exposure.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
horseplayer
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #137613 on:
March 17, 2021, 07:30:19 PM »
https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/football-sexism-online-abuse-sarah-everard-b1818366.html
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Karabiner
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James Webb Telescope
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #137614 on:
March 17, 2021, 07:46:54 PM »
Nice article from an old poker-face appeared on my Twitter timeline today:
https://www.gambling.com/news/men-in-white-gloves-the-rise-and-demise-of-the-tic-tac-man-2469900
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arbboy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #137615 on:
March 17, 2021, 08:26:48 PM »
Quote from: Karabiner on March 17, 2021, 07:46:54 PM
Nice article from an old poker-face appeared on my Twitter timeline today:
https://www.gambling.com/news/men-in-white-gloves-the-rise-and-demise-of-the-tic-tac-man-2469900
I saw that from Roy the boy was a great read of my first couple of years going racing and my obsession with how the betting ring works from my first ever meeting. One of the few things i have never done that i always wanted to do was stand on course and shout '666666666666666/44444444444444444 the fielddddddddddddddd'
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arbboy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #137616 on:
March 17, 2021, 08:29:45 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 17, 2021, 07:10:22 PM
Quote from: tikay on March 17, 2021, 06:31:20 PM
Click to see full-size image.
Good of Betfair to reminding us why we should never cash out.
The horse is near 1/2 on the exchange and they are offering 4/9 on the sportsbook, but it is 5/6 on a cashout, so basically a cashout costs over £55k. That is the cost betfair are charging to reduce
their
exposure.
https://www.racingpost.com/news/latest/punter-ponders-275000-cash-out-offer-as-first-four-win-in-amazing-5-acca/479115
Another embarrassing thing is bf max pay out on horses is £250k! Sure denise is seven figures nowadays and they are three times smaller than flutter.
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Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #137617 on:
March 18, 2021, 09:48:09 AM »
He has cashed out most of it.
https://mobile.twitter.com/istabraq_king/status/1372456530872786946
Seems there should have been some mileage in negotiating, and if you must cash out some, surely you'd leave more rolling forward. I can see how it would be very tempting to take 100k or half off the table, but nearly all of it makes me a big grumpy. Doesn't discourage these terrible cash out offers.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Marky147
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #137618 on:
March 18, 2021, 10:05:41 AM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 18, 2021, 09:48:09 AM
He has cashed out most of it.
https://mobile.twitter.com/istabraq_king/status/1372456530872786946
Seems there should have been some mileage in negotiating, and if you must cash out some, surely you'd leave more rolling forward. I can see how it would be very tempting to take 100k or half off the table, but nearly all of it makes me a big grumpy. Doesn't discourage these terrible cash out offers.
Still got a 70k sweat on the race, so not all bad
Such a unique position, hard to say anything bad about him doing it. Though you wouldn't think so looking at the Twitter thread
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Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #137619 on:
March 18, 2021, 10:23:38 AM »
Quote from: Marky147 on March 18, 2021, 10:05:41 AM
Quote from: Doobs on March 18, 2021, 09:48:09 AM
He has cashed out most of it.
https://mobile.twitter.com/istabraq_king/status/1372456530872786946
Seems there should have been some mileage in negotiating, and if you must cash out some, surely you'd leave more rolling forward. I can see how it would be very tempting to take 100k or half off the table, but nearly all of it makes me a big grumpy. Doesn't discourage these terrible cash out offers.
Still got a 70k sweat on the race, so not all bad
Such a unique position, hard to say anything bad about him doing it. Though you wouldn't think so looking at the Twitter thread
It seems mostly positive?
I don't know what his real choices were given he had gone past their 250k limit. Maybe it wasn't so straightforward?
It is hard to be too critical though, until I sit there looking at losing 250k then I can't say I wouldn't take it. I still hope I would have tried to find a more favourable way out or just cashing out a small part.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #137620 on:
March 18, 2021, 10:25:33 AM »
Quote from: arbboy on March 17, 2021, 06:23:02 PM
Quote from: tikay on March 17, 2021, 05:40:55 PM
Quote from: arbboy on March 17, 2021, 05:06:18 PM
Quote from: arbboy on March 17, 2021, 12:53:41 PM
Same as yesterday on darts. 2nd of 4 daily floor events. Jackpot got a terrible draw today so we will go for Michael Smith 18/1 boyles 16/1 bald
https://www.oddschecker.com/darts/players-championship/players-championship-6/winner
Finalist yesterday so bang in form and has a very easy draw to 1/4 finals today. e/w 18/1 is worth a decent interest. skybet have just gone up at 20/1 which is worth a serious ew bet if you can get it
https://tv.dartconnect.com/matchlist/pdcpc21e06
Link for the scores. Play starts across 16 boards at 2pm
Comfortably into the l16 with three easy wins so far with big averages and zero pressure.
Great news, thanks.
I was on yesterday & a bit sad that we threw away that 5-1 lead, so decided to re-invest again today as per your suggestion.
Fingers crossed.
Quarter final just started against the world champ Price. Link below for the live score. First to 6
https://tv.dartconnect.com/matchlist/pdcpc21e06
Jackpot again today?
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
arbboy
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Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #137621 on:
March 18, 2021, 10:26:58 AM »
His bf balance on the picture i saw was over £20k so he doesn't seem a small punter and i am sure he has had hundreds of £5 dream accas like this. Amazing decision to have. Barry has had him right over here AND still got PR out of it. Amazing.
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arbboy
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Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #137622 on:
March 18, 2021, 10:29:37 AM »
Quote from: tikay on March 18, 2021, 10:25:33 AM
Quote from: arbboy on March 17, 2021, 06:23:02 PM
Quote from: tikay on March 17, 2021, 05:40:55 PM
Quote from: arbboy on March 17, 2021, 05:06:18 PM
Quote from: arbboy on March 17, 2021, 12:53:41 PM
Same as yesterday on darts. 2nd of 4 daily floor events. Jackpot got a terrible draw today so we will go for Michael Smith 18/1 boyles 16/1 bald
https://www.oddschecker.com/darts/players-championship/players-championship-6/winner
Finalist yesterday so bang in form and has a very easy draw to 1/4 finals today. e/w 18/1 is worth a decent interest. skybet have just gone up at 20/1 which is worth a serious ew bet if you can get it
https://tv.dartconnect.com/matchlist/pdcpc21e06
Link for the scores. Play starts across 16 boards at 2pm
Comfortably into the l16 with three easy wins so far with big averages and zero pressure.
Great news, thanks.
I was on yesterday & a bit sad that we threw away that 5-1 lead, so decided to re-invest again today as per your suggestion.
Fingers crossed.
Quarter final just started against the world champ Price. Link below for the live score. First to 6
https://tv.dartconnect.com/matchlist/pdcpc21e06
Jackpot again today?
The draw is made at noon and play starts at 2pm that is the edge here and firms price up prior to the draw and don't adjust in those two hours until it starts. Only 16 seeds and 112 unseeded players so you can get some very lopsided draws like Smith yesterday who was gifted a route to the last 8 until he met anyone decent then run into the eventual winner in Price.
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StuartHopkin
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Posts: 8164
Ocho cinco
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #137623 on:
March 18, 2021, 10:46:51 AM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 18, 2021, 10:23:38 AM
Quote from: Marky147 on March 18, 2021, 10:05:41 AM
Quote from: Doobs on March 18, 2021, 09:48:09 AM
He has cashed out most of it.
https://mobile.twitter.com/istabraq_king/status/1372456530872786946
Seems there should have been some mileage in negotiating, and if you must cash out some, surely you'd leave more rolling forward. I can see how it would be very tempting to take 100k or half off the table, but nearly all of it makes me a big grumpy. Doesn't discourage these terrible cash out offers.
Still got a 70k sweat on the race, so not all bad
Such a unique position, hard to say anything bad about him doing it. Though you wouldn't think so looking at the Twitter thread
It seems mostly positive?
I don't know what his real choices were given he had gone past their 250k limit. Maybe it wasn't so straightforward?
It is hard to be too critical though, until I sit there looking at losing 250k then I can't say I wouldn't take it. I still hope I would have tried to find a more favourable way out or just cashing out a small part.
The limit is £1m isn't it?
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Doobs
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Posts: 16595
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #137624 on:
March 18, 2021, 10:54:46 AM »
Quote from: StuartHopkin on March 18, 2021, 10:46:51 AM
Quote from: Doobs on March 18, 2021, 10:23:38 AM
Quote from: Marky147 on March 18, 2021, 10:05:41 AM
Quote from: Doobs on March 18, 2021, 09:48:09 AM
He has cashed out most of it.
https://mobile.twitter.com/istabraq_king/status/1372456530872786946
Seems there should have been some mileage in negotiating, and if you must cash out some, surely you'd leave more rolling forward. I can see how it would be very tempting to take 100k or half off the table, but nearly all of it makes me a big grumpy. Doesn't discourage these terrible cash out offers.
Still got a 70k sweat on the race, so not all bad
Such a unique position, hard to say anything bad about him doing it. Though you wouldn't think so looking at the Twitter thread
It seems mostly positive?
I don't know what his real choices were given he had gone past their 250k limit. Maybe it wasn't so straightforward?
It is hard to be too critical though, until I sit there looking at losing 250k then I can't say I wouldn't take it. I still hope I would have tried to find a more favourable way out or just cashing out a small part.
The limit is £1m isn't it?
Arbboy noted it was 250k yesterday, and I saw that Betfair had waived the 250k limit elsewhere.
Logged
Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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