Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

Yup, I'm happy with the bet.

Someone said recently on here that "no Team can concede a 10 point start at present". No idea if that is true, but it sounds good.

From memory, that was within a particular division, rather than the whole NFL.

[kukushkin88]

Yup, I'm happy with the bet.

Someone said recently on here that "no Team can concede a 10 point start at present". No idea if that is true, but it sounds good.

That was specific to the NFC East but we´re on the "right side" here I reckon.

[tikay]

Yup, I'm happy with the bet.

Someone said recently on here that "no Team can concede a 10 point start at present". No idea if that is true, but it sounds good.

From memory, that was within a particular division, rather than the whole NFL.

Ahh, my bad, apologies.

I must tell you, getting my head round the complexities (to a newcomer) of NFL, & how the "divisions" operate, who gets to the playoffs & how etc is quite a challenge.

I reall all the Posts & stuff, & my eyes glaze over at times.

That wonderfully detailed explanation by Kuku of why Seattle might be a good bet for whatever it was had me equally fascinated & perplexed. That was before LeKnave came along & poured cold water all over it (correctly). That bit I DID understand!

[TightEnd]

England lost the toss again in the cricket and all eyes were on the pitch. Which proved to be low and slow

All credit then to Anderson, especially, and Finn  for getting it to reverse and putting England on top at the end of Day One

At 273-7  the day went better than England could have imagined

Why then, do we have India still as favourites for this?

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/india-v-england/test-series/india-v-england-%5B3rd-test%5D/winner

Well I think the answer to that is two fold

a) Its difficult to score on. Tendulkar for example scratched around for 76 and never looked properly in

b) the pitch is cracked. Although it didn't spin today the expectation is it must on days 4-5

So the crucial thing here is for England to bat big on Day 2-3 and get a lead

If you think they will, England should be favourites now.


Bets wise

Pujara failed, scoring 16, and lost ground to Tendulkar and Gambhir in the top Indian batsman market, though nothing too scary at this stage. Gambhir ran Sehwag out comically, Kohli is out of form and Yuvraj doesn't score big enough when in.

Anderson took 3 wickets, but something quite remarkable would have to happen for him to overtake the spinners in the England series bowler market

Bell is playing, and at least might score some runs in the England for our no hoper bet there


We remain all eggs in Pujara's basket to come out of the series with an overall profit, pending further bets

[Bad Beat]

 Obviously if you bet the Raiders you are getting a bad team, who concede lots of penalties, who are annoying and make you think "what a bunch of morons".

 I took them at Cinncy getting 9.5 and they were really bad.

 Luckily they invented the point spread to make things more fun.

 This season you are 11-3-1 if you just took the biggest dog each week this season ATS. Twice two teams were the same price. Oakland may not actually be the biggest dog this week but it is close.

 Since 1991 home dogs of 7 or more are 59% ATS.

 8 point + home dogs are on a current run of 20-1 ATS.

 The syndicates often bet home dogs of 7 or more and any team getting 10 or more blindly. Normally they would wait until gameday in the hope that the public take the favourite and send the line up. This time they have played already. I'm sure the public will love Denver here and I think they are overated.

 Currently 68% of bets on this game are with Denver ATS.

 I quite like this bet, probably worth more.

[tikay]

I quite like this bet, probably worth more.

Hint duly noted, we may well indulge in a second scoop.

I had actually intended to ask the question about the season stats of 10 point dogs. I had also assumed Tighty would reel off the stats by memory. For the last 27 seasons.

[TightEnd]

Further on the cricket

In the post play PC Anderson stated

"The surface is a lot more abrasive than Ahmedabad and Mumbai, so reverse swing will be a factor throughout here. Important to use the ball well, and look after it..."

Which is important, as Anderson can reverse it without changing his action which no other seamer in the match can do

I am half tempted by England at 2-1+, I must say.

(and apologies to Hector and thread, if I put it off an Anderson bet)

[tikay]

Further on the cricket

In the post play PC Anderson stated

"The surface is a lot more abrasive than Ahmedabad and Mumbai, so reverse swing will be a factor throughout here. Important to use the ball well, and look after it..."

Which is important, as Anderson can reverse it without changing his action which no other seamer in the match can do

I am half tempted by England at 2-1+, I must say.

(and apologies to Hector and thread, if I put it off an Anderson bet)

I would almost certainly have gone with the hector bet, for better or worse, but I just never realised it started today.

[bobby1]

Good Morning,

If we can get on the Raiders tonight @ 10/11 +10.5 at home vs the Broncos then we definitely have a bet. As far a I can see it´s only still available with Sporting Bet of the bookies that you can get on with.

We need to be careful at this time of year betting teams with nothing to play for against teams with everything to play for but against divisional rivals on national TV they won´t chuck it in completely and +10.5 is a little big imo. The main spanner in the works is if the Raiders start their rookie QB but I don´t see them throwing him in here, it seems like a terrible spot to try him out to me.

Recommend £22 Raiders +10.5 @10/11 with Sporting Bet.

Although my natural starting point is to never bet a team with Carson Palmer at QB this is actually the only bet I have had so far this week too.

Teams like Kansas and Oakland hate each other, the only time each set of fans root for the other is when they are playing Denver, who they both hate only slightly less than each other. It's a big rivalry in a hostile atmosphere and the home fans are angry already. It probably won't be pretty to watch the bet tho given we are giving away about 2 stone in the hcap at the QB position.

[Doobs]

It has come to my attention that Arsenal are in danger of becoming the new Liverpool.



No not that Liverpool, this Liverpool



As the new Liverpool appear to be getting closer to the old one, albeit at a speed that wouldn't put your average three-toed sloth to shame we need to look for new opportunties in the premiership.

Arsenal have won just 3 games at home in the premiership this season, the games were against QPR, Southampton and the game where Tal demonstrated the preils of chirping too early.  In addition they have failed to beat Fulham, Sunderland and Swansea at home.

On Saturday Arsenal play at home to the team that are 5th in the premiership.  For the confused; that is 5 places above Arsenal and 6 above the new Liverpool.

The price we can lay on betfair today is a barely believable 1.52.  The greedy amongst us may even get 1.51, as that price has been laid already.

We have a plethora of recent collateral form: West Brom lost away to Swansea (Arsenal lost at home); West Brom beat Sunderland away (Arsenal drew at home); West Brom beat Chelsea (Arsenal lost).

Now I accept West Brom are on a mini slump of one losing game, but surely we can lay this?

I suggest a lay of £100 at a cost of £52.

[BigAdz]

Interesting one at Hereford tomorrow, Loughalder in the 3.10.

AWJ has put him in the Racing Post at 20-1, which looks fair enough given what he's done.

However, he was backed from 20-1 to 7-1 on his comeback in October and Rob Wright, the only national tipster worth listening to, has put him up.

Also, Bet365, who are sponsoring the card, put him in at 11-4. That price looks wrong on the face of it but it's an eyecatcher.

It's unlikely he'll start anywhere near that short but somebody somewhere obv thinks he's capable of better than he's shown so far. I'd expect him to start nearer double figures and he's worth a look.

Charlie Poste, another jock who looks like he learnt his trade on the texas plains.......looked like he had a chance bar the jock.ul

[Chompy]

Horse looks a shitbag to me. Surprised the price held up as well as it did tbh. No bet at that price obv.

[aaron1867]

Horse looks a shitbag to me. Surprised the price held up as well as it did tbh. No bet at that price obv.

3.10?

Was awful!

[Nico29]

Horse looks a shitbag to me. Surprised the price held up as well as it did tbh. No bet at that price obv.

3.10?

Was awful!

U tell him.

Clearly an amateur tipster.

[Horneris]

Bit harsh on Charlie Poste Adz, the horse clouted every fence. And just as he was coming back into contention he was nearly brought down by a faller right in front of him.

Professor Dumbledore wouldn't have won on that thing in that race.