Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

heres a picture of the pitch from the tms producer

https://twitter.com/#!/tmsproducer/status/186750699080650752/photo/1

obviously wont be that green tommorow but according to the tms guys on twitter the talk is it will have plenty of life in it.

[horseplayer]

im pretty keen on laying the draw myself tbh mere

j agnew is reporting on twitter the pitch is cracked as well

[tikay]

Then there is The Masters, starting Thursday. Due to the volatility of Golf Betting, I will be limiting the amount we invest on The Masters to no more than £100, £150 tops. The roll is way too thin even for that, really. Am more inclined to punt some shorter-prices & less volatile "specials" than go for an outright winner. Outrights will almost certainly be limited to £10 or £20 if EW.

Really appreciate all the input from everyone, thanks.

Paddy Power are top price for lee westwood, pay 6 places ew and return stake if tiger wins - must be worth 10 ew?

Have decided to back this even before feedback! As it's you, I know you will robustly defend any incoming flak. Deal?

ON

£10 EW with PP @ 20/1, 6 places paid, "money back on losers"  if Tiger wins.


US Masters US Masters Outright Betting
05-04-2012 12:45
Outright Betting
Each Way Odds: 1/4 places 1,2,3,4,5,6
Westwood, Lee @ 20/1
 
Your Bets When placing an E/W bet, your total stake will be double the amount you enter in the stake box.
Single: Westwood, Lee @ 20/1
2 lines at £10.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £20.00
Potential returns: £270.00
No: O/23146337/0000009  


So that is £20 of my Masters allocation gone.

[MereNovice]

Dilshan and Thirimanne have opened the batting together in two tests.
In the last test v England the partnerships were 11 & 4.
In the other test v South Africa the partnerships were 70 & 12.
Dilshan averages 40.28 in 78 tests and Thirimanne averages 21.72 in 6 tests.

If the conditions are as forecast, it seems a fair bet.

[TightEnd]

Click to see full-size image.

They'll cut it today, but in theory this looks like a result wicket - a bit green and variable bounce

[tikay]

i will propose a cricket bet (makes a change from my racing losers)

sri lankan 1st innings partnership to be under 30.5 runs bluesq 5-6

this looks a very fair bet based on past stats for both the sri lankan openers and the england attack. This is a slightly better price than of late and i presume is because broad isnt playing, however bresnan or finn coming in have at least equal test records so i dont think that should be a worry

£30 at 5-6 is my suggestion

You have not actually said as such, but I assume you mean OPENING partnership? On that basis, I will be getting on imminently.

[horseplayer]

yes sorry that would help wouldn't it?

put it down to a small dose of the man flu

[doubleup]

Have decided to back this even before feedback! As it's you, I know you will robustly defend any incoming flak. Deal?

Agreed  

[tikay]

i will propose a cricket bet (makes a change from my racing losers)

sri lankan 1st innings partnership to be under 30.5 runs bluesq 5-6

this looks a very fair bet based on past stats for both the sri lankan openers and the england attack. This is a slightly better price than of late and i presume is because broad isnt playing, however bresnan or finn coming in have at least equal test records so i dont think that should be a worry

£30 at 5-6 is my suggestion

ON

£30 @ 5/6 with Blue Square.

Selection Under 30.5 @ 5/6 
Market
 Opening Partnership (1st Inns) - SL
 
Event
 Sri Lanka v England
2nd Test - Sri Lanka v England
2012-04-03 05:30:00
 
Bet Type
 
Bet Type
 Win Single
 
Unit Stake
 £30.00
 
Number of Units
 x1
 
Total Stake
 £30.00
 
Time and Date Placed
 2012-04-02 10:57:20
 
Receipt Number
 O/0891659/0000013

[MereNovice]

A bit odd for Sri Lanka to prepare a "result wicket" but I guess the elements have contributed somewhat.

[TightEnd]

A bit odd for Sri Lanka to prepare a "result wicket" but I guess the elements have contributed somewhat.

see what it is like after several close shaves with the mower and a day under the sun. This is the first day without rain and covers

[FUN4FRASER]

Obviously on it too with Chandlers...GL Us

Returns: £0.00 02/04/2012 GBP 300.00 Single: BLACKBURN ROVERS @ 6/1 
Betid 26595450400 Time: 12:23 Bet Type: Single Stake: £ 300.00 
EVENT  SELECTION  PRICE  E/W TERMS  STATUS 
Blackburn Rovers v Manchester United ENG Premier League
Win Match - Draw No Bet
Blackburn Rovers  6/1  Win only  Unsettled 

[The Camel]

heres some more stats for this one

in 16 of the last 20 test innings sri lanka failed to reach 30

in 15 of the last 20 test innings england took the first wicket before 30

skybet are 24.5 for the same bet even that looks a little high to me

I'm no cricket expert/fan etc... But surely it's just as important (if not more important) to look a opening partnerships at this ground than just the teams opening partnerships.

[horseplayer]

fair point

in the last six first innings at colombo the opening partnerships were

8, 46, 20, 29, 22 and 114

i am not sure how relevant these stats are tbh as even with just six first innings they go back to 2009.

[horseplayer]

for those interested in westwood in the golf betfred are 22-1 12pm and 2pm today

not for me but maybe of interest to some