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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16423294 times)
tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #26640 on:
January 16, 2013, 10:00:09 AM »
Quote from: BigAdz on January 16, 2013, 09:49:27 AM
Would like to recommend a Cheltenham Banzai bet.
Today at Newbury Colour Squadron goes in a 2.1m nervous chase. He is currently 40s generally with some 60s on the machine for the Arkle. If he wins today I expect he will be fourth fav at around 16s.
Plus factors. JP Mac is building a strong team for the Tuesday and has ante post fav in most of the races that day. He has yet to show anything of note in the arkle so will want representation. If it runs Ap will be on board. The field is likely to cut up with Simonsig a very strong fav, with plenty looking at the Jewson or handicaps as a way of avoiding him, ie Capt conan.
Last time AP had an amazing ride on CS with the saddle slipping half way round, yet the horse still almost won...worth a look.
Add in the old adage, never be scared of one horse, and I have to suggest Fred has 5ew today for the arkle.
It could be over before we get to Chelts but by 3pm we could be looking quite promising.
Thanks.
Very happy to build a little portfolio of £5 & £10 Cheltenham Banzais, & this fits the bill nicely.
One question though, & excuse my ongoing ignorance as to the workings of Betfair.
I can get around 70 on Betfair, but that is Win Only, whereas the Bokies best price is 40/1.
How should I best proceed?
«
Last Edit: January 16, 2013, 10:02:13 AM by tikay
»
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #26641 on:
January 16, 2013, 10:02:05 AM »
Quote from: Rubbish2407 on January 16, 2013, 09:55:14 AM
Quote from: Rubbish2407 on January 15, 2013, 11:25:05 AM
African Cup of Nations starts this weekend and I've had a little banzai bet on the top goalscorer. Lots of famous names on the list headed by none other than Didier Drogba. Way down the list though is Zambian captain Chris Katongo. Being Captain he's pretty much guaranteed a start and they have whipping boys Burkina Faso in their group, They also have Ethiopia who have either pulled out or been disqualified the last several tournaments. Katongo, I believe, although I'm not 100% certain, is the penalty taker.
Katongo was joint top scorer last tournament with three and he should be there or thereabouts this time as well.
You can currently get 33/1 at a few places, he's 20.00 on Betfair.
I've had a tenner E/W top 3 paid at BetVictor.
I'm not sure if you've missed this or are choosing to ignore it? I've bumped it in case it's the former.
Sorry Mr Rubbish, we don't ignore ANY recommends, but I was a bit distracted by other stuff yesterday (ditto today & tomorrow), so I just plum missed it.
I will get on the case today, & thank you.
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #26642 on:
January 16, 2013, 10:04:23 AM »
Quote from: BigAdz on January 16, 2013, 09:49:27 AM
Would like to recommend a Cheltenham Banzai bet.
Today at Newbury Colour Squadron goes in a 2.1m nervous chase. He is currently 40s generally with some 60s on the machine for the Arkle. If he wins today I expect he will be fourth fav at around 16s.
Plus factors. JP Mac is building a strong team for the Tuesday and has ante post fav in most of the races that day. He has yet to show anything of note in the arkle so will want representation. If it runs Ap will be on board. The field is likely to cut up with Simonsig a very strong fav, with plenty looking at the Jewson or handicaps as a way of avoiding him, ie Capt conan.
Last time AP had an amazing ride on CS with the saddle slipping half way round, yet the horse still almost won...worth a look.
Add in the old adage, never be scared of one horse, and I have to suggest Fred has 5ew today for the arkle.
It could be over before we get to Chelts but by 3pm we could be looking quite promising.
Ahh, I have now found "Arkle Chase TBP", which I assume means "to be placed", for which the price is 10/1.
Is that the optimum route?
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TheChipPrince
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #26643 on:
January 16, 2013, 10:10:25 AM »
Katonga is 40's with Betfred.
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #26644 on:
January 16, 2013, 10:13:57 AM »
Quote from: TheChipPrince on January 16, 2013, 10:10:25 AM
Katonga is 40's with Betfred.
Pardon my memory Dwayne, but the relevance of that is?.........
Was it Recommended?
Remind me please.
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TL900
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #26645 on:
January 16, 2013, 10:15:02 AM »
Quote from: Rubbish2407 on January 16, 2013, 09:55:14 AM
Quote from: Rubbish2407 on January 15, 2013, 11:25:05 AM
African Cup of Nations starts this weekend and I've had a little banzai bet on the top goalscorer. Lots of famous names on the list headed by none other than Didier Drogba. Way down the list though is Zambian captain Chris Katongo. Being Captain he's pretty much guaranteed a start and they have whipping boys Burkina Faso in their group, They also have Ethiopia who have either pulled out or been disqualified the last several tournaments. Katongo, I believe, although I'm not 100% certain, is the penalty taker.
Katongo was joint top scorer last tournament with three and he should be there or thereabouts this time as well.
You can currently get 33/1 at a few places, he's 20.00 on Betfair.
I've had a tenner E/W top 3 paid at BetVictor.
I'm not sure if you've missed this or are choosing to ignore it? I've bumped it in case it's the former.
Quote from: tikay on January 16, 2013, 10:13:57 AM
Quote from: TheChipPrince on January 16, 2013, 10:10:25 AM
Katonga is 40's with Betfred.
Pardon my memory Dwayne, but the relevance of that is?.........
Was it Recommended?
Remind me please.
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Quote from: jgcblack
I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #26646 on:
January 16, 2013, 10:16:07 AM »
I will be going Offline mid-morning, & only intermittently available for the rest of the day, so if someone could wise me up as to that Colour Squadron bet (use Betfair Win & TBP?) I'd be grateful.
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #26647 on:
January 16, 2013, 10:17:07 AM »
Quote from: TL900 on January 16, 2013, 10:15:02 AM
Quote from: Rubbish2407 on January 16, 2013, 09:55:14 AM
Quote from: Rubbish2407 on January 15, 2013, 11:25:05 AM
African Cup of Nations starts this weekend and I've had a little banzai bet on the top goalscorer. Lots of famous names on the list headed by none other than Didier Drogba. Way down the list though is Zambian captain Chris Katongo. Being Captain he's pretty much guaranteed a start and they have whipping boys Burkina Faso in their group, They also have Ethiopia who have either pulled out or been disqualified the last several tournaments. Katongo, I believe, although I'm not 100% certain, is the penalty taker.
Katongo was joint top scorer last tournament with three and he should be there or thereabouts this time as well.
You can currently get 33/1 at a few places, he's 20.00 on Betfair.
I've had a tenner E/W top 3 paid at BetVictor.
I'm not sure if you've missed this or are choosing to ignore it? I've bumped it in case it's the former.
Quote from: tikay on January 16, 2013, 10:13:57 AM
Quote from: TheChipPrince on January 16, 2013, 10:10:25 AM
Katonga is 40's with Betfred.
Pardon my memory Dwayne, but the relevance of that is?.........
Was it Recommended?
Remind me please.
!
Bugger.
For some reason I though Katonga was a horse for Cheltenham.
All understood now. Probably.
Thanks.
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #26648 on:
January 16, 2013, 10:22:49 AM »
Quote from: Rubbish2407 on January 15, 2013, 11:25:05 AM
African Cup of Nations starts this weekend and I've had a little banzai bet on the top goalscorer. Lots of famous names on the list headed by none other than Didier Drogba. Way down the list though is Zambian captain Chris Katongo. Being Captain he's pretty much guaranteed a start and they have whipping boys Burkina Faso in their group, They also have Ethiopia who have either pulled out or been disqualified the last several tournaments. Katongo, I believe, although I'm not 100% certain, is the penalty taker.
Katongo was joint top scorer last tournament with three and he should be there or thereabouts this time as well.
You can currently get 33/1 at a few places, he's 20.00 on Betfair.
I've had a tenner E/W top 3 paid at BetVictor.
Got there. Eventually.
These are good fun, as we get - we hope - a decent 2 or 3 week sweat for low cost.
We went with BetFred, as suggested by ChipPrince, as they go 40/1.
We have £10 EW @ 40/1, Betfred, Katonga, Top GoalScorer, ACN.
ON
African Cup Of Nations 2013
Top Goalscorer
EW 1/4 1,2,3 Katongo, Chris 40/1
Total stake £ 20.00
Estimated return £ 520.00
Full stake £ 20.00
Full estimated return £ 520.00
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #26649 on:
January 16, 2013, 10:29:07 AM »
Quote from: BigAdz on January 16, 2013, 09:49:27 AM
Would like to recommend a Cheltenham Banzai bet.
Today at Newbury Colour Squadron goes in a 2.1m nervous chase. He is currently 40s generally with some 60s on the machine for the Arkle. If he wins today I expect he will be fourth fav at around 16s.
Plus factors. JP Mac is building a strong team for the Tuesday and has ante post fav in most of the races that day. He has yet to show anything of note in the arkle so will want representation. If it runs Ap will be on board. The field is likely to cut up with Simonsig a very strong fav, with plenty looking at the Jewson or handicaps as a way of avoiding him, ie Capt conan.
Last time AP had an amazing ride on CS with the saddle slipping half way round, yet the horse still almost won...worth a look.
Add in the old adage, never be scared of one horse, and I have to suggest Fred has 5ew today for the arkle.
It could be over before we get to Chelts but by 3pm we could be looking quite promising.
Sorted, & thank you.
I cannot C & P the Betslip at present, so will Post it up tonight, when I get home, which will be late evening.
We have £5 @ 65, Betfair, Colour Squadron, to win the Arklle Chase at the Fessie.
We have £5 @ 13.5, Betfair, Colour Squadron to be placed, Arkle Chase at the Fessie.
At present, only some £3.50 has been matched.
ON
Hopefully, he gives a good account of himself this afternoon, & if so, all aboard.
Can you let us know how he goes today, please?
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Tal
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #26650 on:
January 16, 2013, 10:39:06 AM »
Quote from: BigAdz on January 16, 2013, 09:49:27 AM
Would like to recommend a Cheltenham Banzai bet.
Today at Newbury Colour Squadron goes in a 2.1m
nervous
chase
. He is currently 40s generally with some 60s on the machine for the Arkle. If he wins today I expect he will be fourth fav at around 16s.
Plus factors. JP Mac is building a strong team for the Tuesday and has ante post fav in most of the races that day. He has yet to show anything of note in the arkle so will want representation. If it runs Ap will be on board. The field is likely to cut up with Simonsig a very strong fav, with plenty looking at the Jewson or handicaps as a way of avoiding him, ie Capt conan.
Last time AP had an amazing ride on CS with the saddle slipping half way round, yet the horse still almost won...worth a look.
Add in the old adage, never be scared of one horse, and I have to suggest Fred has 5ew today for the arkle.
It could be over before we get to Chelts but by 3pm we could be looking quite promising.
Smart logic, BigAdz. I've also learned another racing maxim ("never be scared of one horse").
I hope you dont mind me giggling at the bold bit above...In the words of Aristotle, predictive text is a bitch. I got a fabulous image in my mind of quivering horses staring at a fence.
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Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #26651 on:
January 16, 2013, 11:15:59 AM »
Quote from: tikay on January 16, 2013, 10:29:07 AM
Quote from: BigAdz on January 16, 2013, 09:49:27 AM
Would like to recommend a Cheltenham Banzai bet.
Today at Newbury Colour Squadron goes in a 2.1m nervous chase. He is currently 40s generally with some 60s on the machine for the Arkle. If he wins today I expect he will be fourth fav at around 16s.
Plus factors. JP Mac is building a strong team for the Tuesday and has ante post fav in most of the races that day. He has yet to show anything of note in the arkle so will want representation. If it runs Ap will be on board. The field is likely to cut up with Simonsig a very strong fav, with plenty looking at the Jewson or handicaps as a way of avoiding him, ie Capt conan.
Last time AP had an amazing ride on CS with the saddle slipping half way round, yet the horse still almost won...worth a look.
Add in the old adage, never be scared of one horse, and I have to suggest Fred has 5ew today for the arkle.
It could be over before we get to Chelts but by 3pm we could be looking quite promising.
Sorted, & thank you.
I cannot C & P the Betslip at present, so will Post it up tonight, when I get home, which will be late evening.
We have £5 @ 65, Betfair, Colour Squadron, to win the Arklle Chase at the Fessie.
We have £5 @ 13.5, Betfair, Colour Squadron to be placed, Arkle Chase at the Fessie.
At present, only some £3.50 has been matched.
ON
Hopefully, he gives a good account of himself this afternoon, & if so, all aboard.
Can you let us know how he goes today, please?
I wouldn't ever leave an ante post bet open while a horse is running. If it wins you will never get matched. If it loses badly, getting matched is a certainty.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #26652 on:
January 16, 2013, 11:22:34 AM »
Quote from: Doobs on January 16, 2013, 11:15:59 AM
Quote from: tikay on January 16, 2013, 10:29:07 AM
Quote from: BigAdz on January 16, 2013, 09:49:27 AM
Would like to recommend a Cheltenham Banzai bet.
Today at Newbury Colour Squadron goes in a 2.1m nervous chase. He is currently 40s generally with some 60s on the machine for the Arkle. If he wins today I expect he will be fourth fav at around 16s.
Plus factors. JP Mac is building a strong team for the Tuesday and has ante post fav in most of the races that day. He has yet to show anything of note in the arkle so will want representation. If it runs Ap will be on board. The field is likely to cut up with Simonsig a very strong fav, with plenty looking at the Jewson or handicaps as a way of avoiding him, ie Capt conan.
Last time AP had an amazing ride on CS with the saddle slipping half way round, yet the horse still almost won...worth a look.
Add in the old adage, never be scared of one horse, and I have to suggest Fred has 5ew today for the arkle.
It could be over before we get to Chelts but by 3pm we could be looking quite promising.
Sorted, & thank you.
I cannot C & P the Betslip at present, so will Post it up tonight, when I get home, which will be late evening.
We have £5 @ 65, Betfair, Colour Squadron, to win the Arklle Chase at the Fessie.
We have £5 @ 13.5, Betfair, Colour Squadron to be placed, Arkle Chase at the Fessie.
At present, only some £3.50 has been matched.
ON
Hopefully, he gives a good account of himself this afternoon, & if so, all aboard.
Can you let us know how he goes today, please?
I wouldn't ever leave an ante post bet open while a horse is running. If it wins you will never get matched. If it loses badly, getting matched is a certainty.
Thanks CO
The Win part has now all been matched, but there remains £1.55 of the TBP unmatched.
I'll keep an eye on it & do the necessary before the race this afternoon.
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Graham C
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #26653 on:
January 16, 2013, 12:41:09 PM »
Cracking Big Bash game this morning
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #26654 on:
January 16, 2013, 12:46:53 PM »
Quote from: Silo Graham on January 16, 2013, 12:41:09 PM
Cracking Big Bash game this morning
Big Bash?
Sponsored by Kentucky Fried Chicken. With brightly coloured apparel & exploding bails.
Heaven only knows what these chaps must think of that.......
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