Ecuador host Argentina hoping to make it 7 out of 7 at home this qualifying campaign, both sides have injuries and the match odds look about right to me with Ecuador just favourites infact you could argue a draw would suit both sides down to the ground.
The most interesting angle for me anyway is the referee a Enrique Caceres from Paraguay.
Now from what i can garner he has only ever refereed two full international games (both friendlies) and has sent players off in both, quite a record that.
Looking at his domestic stats in Paraguay it is fair to say he is not shy of dishing out a card or 8, this is by far the highest profile game he has ever taken charge of and based purely on that the 3.5/3.55 for there to be a sending off tonight (betfair) looks worth a small bet (not much liquidity suggest sticking £15 up around that mark). 2-1 with 888sport who are the only bookies priced up which is a shame.
Same sentiments apply to the bookings with no bookies offering even a stab at this which is annoying. Betfair has £0 matched
it may be worth sticking £20 up on 9pts and above at a fair price of say 5.0 to see if there any layers about.
Back to the game a draw would suit both sides really infact it would pretty much see Argentina through (they are anyway really) and would be good enough for the home side with easier games to come. The no goalscorer at 10-1 with vcbet is similar to betfair (beats it a bit) and looks a bit of value being a score that would suit both sides. Suggest £10 no goalscorer
Also Felipe Caciedo is the home sides most potent and in form striker, he was widely expected to be on the bench due to injury but starts and as such is to big at around 16.0 on betfair for first goalscorer (almost double best price with the firms) suggest £8
Live on bet365 website (streamed) and minute by minute reporting from this link
http://www.goal.com/en/match/97318/ecuador-vs-argentina/play-by-play?lmc=true
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