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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16422858 times)
tikay
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« Reply #46530 on: August 01, 2013, 11:08:15 AM »

I guess take overs as he more likely to be lbw early on. If he survives 20 overs etc you probably nearly won bet anyway. But yeah he has around a 1 in 3 lbw dismissal rate and I'd guess the earlier in the innings the higher that gets. So bet over his runs soon as its in play must be the play

PP offer THREE "In-Running" Run Markets for Watson.

Over 24.5 @ 4/7

Over 32.5 @ 5/6

Over 40.5 @ 5/4

So we should...........?
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« Reply #46531 on: August 01, 2013, 11:10:02 AM »

I'd take the 5/4 as we get money back 1 in 3 times anyway
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« Reply #46532 on: August 01, 2013, 11:12:03 AM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/americas/saratoga/18:35/winner

There you go Tikay lets just leave it at £20 with hills at 4/1 for now

If for some reason another firm goes bigger before 6pm (i doubt any others will price up or take a view) i will have a further think

Done, thank you.


Is "6.35" American 6.35, or proper 6.35?

We have £20 @ 4/1, Wm Hill, HUNT BALL, 6.35 Saratoga.

ON

01 Aug 2013 - 6:35 Saratoga - Win

Best Odds Guaranteed!

Hunt Ball @ 4/1

Stake : £20.00


Estimated Returns : £

100.00



Transaction Reference:

O/0457483/0000493/F


Yes good point it is 6.35 uk time (approx) and will be live on ATR presuming no clashes
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« Reply #46533 on: August 01, 2013, 11:14:08 AM »

BETS FOR THURSDAY

On Hills mobile

2.15 Code of Honor at 4/1 £25 already beats Betfair.
3.45 Wild Coco at 11/10 £25 obvious at the price.

Use a free bet on Altano in the 3.15 at 13/2.  Hills are best price.  It is German, which is good, has run on the soft a few times before, and was eye catching in the Gold Cup.  Having watched that race, I am hoping the jockey had an off day!

We should also be looking at Figure of Speach in the 2.45.  He is a bad price at the moment, but we get best odds guaranteed, so there isn't much risk of getting a terrible price.  I won't be around to tell you to go for it tomorrow.
  



Bump, but do not back code of honour.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #46534 on: August 01, 2013, 11:15:33 AM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/americas/saratoga/18:35/winner

There you go Tikay lets just leave it at £20 with hills at 4/1 for now

If for some reason another firm goes bigger before 6pm (i doubt any others will price up or take a view) i will have a further think


Its a flat race! Wasn't expecting that!

He never ran on the flat did he?
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tikay
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« Reply #46535 on: August 01, 2013, 11:16:13 AM »

I'd take the 5/4 as we get money back 1 in 3 times anyway

The line has, inevitably, moved to 44.5, but we are on anyway. We got restricted to £23, so I took £20 for sake of simplicity.

IN RUNNING BET, Watson to score over 44.5, £20 @ 5/4. MONEY BACK IF OUT LBW.



ON
Betting in Running England v Australia
01-08-2013 11:00
Player L Total Runs
Shane Watson Over (44.5) @ 5/4


Your Bets





Win
Single: Shane Watson Over (44.5) @ 5/4
1 line at £20.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £20.00
 Potential returns: £45.00
No: O/23146337/0000332
 

Total stake: £20.00
 Free bets voucher: £0.00
 Total Cost: £20.00
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« Reply #46536 on: August 01, 2013, 11:17:09 AM »

Morning Mr T.

In this afternoons WGC golf there is a first round match bet that I like the look of.

Our friend Billy Horschel plays G MAC and everyone has G MAC as favourite. G MAC's record in this tournament is awful, played it 5 times and finished 56, 45, 22, 65, and 24. It is a limited field and there is no cut. I like backing G MAC on tough courses where putting is not such a premium but this is not such a course. Reading his twitter he says that this week he has been playing at Oak Hill where next weeks PGA is at and it is almost as though he has written this one off. He has been practising his long irons to such an extent that he admits his putting  has suffered.

Even at the Open, where his game is suited, he had a fairly average time. His last 3 tournaments in the USA, I am including last week in Canada, have been Cut, Cut and 3rd round Cut.

Suggest £20 Horschel to beat McDowell in the 1st round @ 13/10 with Betvictor.
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« Reply #46537 on: August 01, 2013, 11:20:26 AM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/americas/saratoga/18:35/winner

There you go Tikay lets just leave it at £20 with hills at 4/1 for now

If for some reason another firm goes bigger before 6pm (i doubt any others will price up or take a view) i will have a further think


Its a flat race! Wasn't expecting that!

He never ran on the flat did he?

It is a hurdle

Well Saratoga from memory are actually quite tough hurdles so in between a hurdle and chase
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tikay
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« Reply #46538 on: August 01, 2013, 11:21:30 AM »

BETS FOR THURSDAY

On Hills mobile

2.15 Code of Honor at 4/1 £25 already beats Betfair.
3.45 Wild Coco at 11/10 £25 obvious at the price.

Use a free bet on Altano in the 3.15 at 13/2.  Hills are best price.  It is German, which is good, has run on the soft a few times before, and was eye catching in the Gold Cup.  Having watched that race, I am hoping the jockey had an off day!

We should also be looking at Figure of Speach in the 2.45.  He is a bad price at the moment, but we get best odds guaranteed, so there isn't much risk of getting a terrible price.  I won't be around to tell you to go for it tomorrow.
  



Bump, but do not back code of honour.

Too late Doobs, I put all these on earlier this morning, it seemed best to get on as early as poss, but I've not yet got round to Posting the bets here.

Confirmations will follow once I catch up. Am struggling a bit this morning, think I need to re-boot myself.

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tikay
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« Reply #46539 on: August 01, 2013, 11:22:58 AM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/americas/saratoga/18:35/winner

There you go Tikay lets just leave it at £20 with hills at 4/1 for now

If for some reason another firm goes bigger before 6pm (i doubt any others will price up or take a view) i will have a further think


Its a flat race! Wasn't expecting that!

He never ran on the flat did he?

It is a hurdle

Well Saratoga from memory are actually quite tough hurdles so in between a hurdle and chase

Yup, its a churdle.
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« Reply #46540 on: August 01, 2013, 11:28:21 AM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/americas/saratoga/18:35/winner

There you go Tikay lets just leave it at £20 with hills at 4/1 for now

If for some reason another firm goes bigger before 6pm (i doubt any others will price up or take a view) i will have a further think


Its a flat race! Wasn't expecting that!

He never ran on the flat did he?

It is a hurdle

Well Saratoga from memory are actually quite tough hurdles so in between a hurdle and chase


Cool. Saw rest of the card was all 7f etc. Thought it was just a stayers race.

On! GL
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tikay
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« Reply #46541 on: August 01, 2013, 11:28:29 AM »

Morning Mr T.

In this afternoons WGC golf there is a first round match bet that I like the look of.

Our friend Billy Horschel plays G MAC and everyone has G MAC as favourite. G MAC's record in this tournament is awful, played it 5 times and finished 56, 45, 22, 65, and 24. It is a limited field and there is no cut. I like backing G MAC on tough courses where putting is not such a premium but this is not such a course. Reading his twitter he says that this week he has been playing at Oak Hill where next weeks PGA is at and it is almost as though he has written this one off. He has been practising his long irons to such an extent that he admits his putting  has suffered.

Even at the Open, where his game is suited, he had a fairly average time. His last 3 tournaments in the USA, I am including last week in Canada, have been Cut, Cut and 3rd round Cut.

Suggest £20 Horschel to beat McDowell in the 1st round @ 13/10 with Betvictor.

Morning H, & thanks.

Unlucky with the Tennis bet yesterday, a rare Tennis reverse for The Oracle. It was one of those days, unforch, we got battered on almost everything except the horses.

We have £20 @ 13/10, BetVictor, Horschel over McDowell, FIRST ROUND MATCH BET.

ON
Graeme McDowell v Billy HorschelBilly Horschel (2 Ball)Odds: 13/10 Stake: 20.00Possible Return:  46.00
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« Reply #46542 on: August 01, 2013, 11:34:48 AM »

Karrie Webb to beat Suzann Pettersen @4/5 bet365.

5/11 cuts missed for Pettersen.  Finished 14,24,24,28,32,37 when making cut.

Webb has missed 1/16 cuts. 8 top tens an 11th 14th 15th 22nd 28th 38th and 43rd.

Webb is 7 - 2 and 1 tie in the opens where both played.

Webb has pretty good form recently and Pettersen is a bit up and down 2 missed cuts 3 top 10's.

It's not a gimmie but 4/5 is a bit bigger than it should be given the history.

Cristie Kerr @ 5/6 v Stanfordon Skybet is also worth a punt and Catriona Matthew v Pettersen @4/5 is huge.

Sandy

Morning Sandy.

I retired for the night @ 2am, you Posted this shortly after. I then overlaid BADLY this morning, & was too late, they had teed off.

Sorry.
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« Reply #46543 on: August 01, 2013, 11:43:08 AM »

although Wason is struggling to get his bat straight round his front pad, the bounce on this pitch might save him from the LBW this test, is going over a lot of the time..will be on hawkeye anyway
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tikay
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« Reply #46544 on: August 01, 2013, 11:45:48 AM »

BETS FOR THURSDAY

On Hills mobile

2.15 Code of Honor at 4/1 £25 already beats Betfair.
3.45 Wild Coco at 11/10 £25 obvious at the price.

Use a free bet on Altano in the 3.15 at 13/2.  Hills are best price.  It is German, which is good, has run on the soft a few times before, and was eye catching in the Gold Cup.  Having watched that race, I am hoping the jockey had an off day!

We should also be looking at Figure of Speach in the 2.45.  He is a bad price at the moment, but we get best odds guaranteed, so there isn't much risk of getting a terrible price.  I won't be around to tell you to go for it tomorrow.
  



Thanks Doobs. Subsequently, you withdrew one of these, but I put them all on earlier this morning, so we are stuck with it now.

2.15 Goodwood, Code of Honour, £25 @ 4/1, GUARANTEED PRICE, Wm Hill, via Mobile, MONEY BACK AS FREE BET IF 2nd.


2.45 Goodwood, Figure of Speech, £25 @ 6/4, GUARANTEED PRICE, Wm Hill, via Mobile, MONEY BACK AS FREE BET IF 2nd.


3.45 Goodwood, Wild Coco, £25 @ 5/4 (recommended @ 11/10), GUARANTEED PRICE, Wm Hill, via Mobile, MONEY BACK AS FREE BET IF 2nd.

3.15 Goodwood, £25 @ 15/2, Altano, Wm Hill, via Mobile, FREE BET USED.

ON


01 Aug 13 / 09:27

Stake

3:15 Goodwood – Altano @ Guaranteed Price (15/2)

£0.00

O/0457483/0000492/F



01 Aug 13 / 09:26

Stake

2:15 Goodwood – Code Of Honor @ Guaranteed Price (7/2)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000489/F



01 Aug 13 / 09:26

Stake

2:45 Goodwood – Figure Of Speech @ Guaranteed Price (6/4)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000490/F



01 Aug 13 / 09:26

Stake

3:45 Goodwood – Wild Coco @ Guaranteed Price (5/4)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000491/F
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