Tips for Tikay

[kinboshi]

Rugby League - Bet Suggestion

One for Hector to consider - as the bet includes Hull KR versus Wigan.

Tonight Wigan host Hull KR, and there's zero chance that there'll be a one-sided demolition that Wigan dished out earlier in the season at Craven Park - ending in a score of 6-84.

I still expect a strong(ish) Wigan side to win, but the question is how close will it be?


Wigan Warriors 19 Man Squad
Joe Burgess, Josh Charnley, Dom Crosby, Ben Flower, Anthony Gelling, Darrell Goulding, Blake Green, Harrison Hansen, Jack Hughes, Epalahame Lauaki, Michael McIlorum, Lee Mossop, Sean O'Loughlin, Sam Powell, Matty Smith, Scott Taylor, Logan Tomkins, Sam Tomkins, Chris Tuson.

Hull KR 19 man squad
Liam Salter, Jason Netherton, Adam Walker, Sean Gleeson, Evarn Tuimavave, Jordan Cox, Con Mika, Travis Burns, Keal Carlile, Rich Beaumont, Craig Hall, Mickey Paea, David Hodgson, Rhys Lovegrove, Michael Dobson, Lincoln Withers, Greg Eden, Tyla Hepi, Josh Hodgson.


No Pat Richards in the Wigan squad, and no Liam Farrell - both being rested (and quite rightly).  This does mean that there's no recognised goal-kicker in the side, and so these duties will fall to Charnley, Smith or Sam Tomkins.  None of them are exactly prolific at goal-kicking, and this could restrict the points tally - even if Wigan are dominant and scoring tries.  Rovers have Dobson in their side, who is pivotal to them doing well, and also will score points.

The odds are evens for Hull KR +20, and 2/1 for Hull KR +12 points.  The evens bet at +20 seems like a more sensible bet?  Wigan, like Warrington, are 'flat-track bullies' and will put up a cricket score against sides that are poor.  But against a decent side, they tend to struggle a bit and they usually end up close affairs. 

Hull KR have won 5 out of their last 6 matches, and were on a good run of form until they lost 34-6 at Warrington.  It was 12-6 at half-time, but then Hull KR fell to pieces and were given a lesson by Warrington. 
Wigan on the other hand have seen a dip in form (with absences of key players such as O'Loughlin and Sam Tomkins, who are both back in the side and play tonight) in the league, and the games they've won recently have been very close - and were lucky to come away with the points against Bradford.

Wigan need to win their remaining games in the league to be assured of top spot (the match next week against Huddersfield being crucial, obviously) and also have the small distraction of the Challenge Cup final on the 24th.  So the players will be keen to shine before then, but Wane will also be looking to keep his players out of trouble and if Wigan are going well in the game I think we'll see them step off the gas a little rather than try to drill Rovers into the ground.

Thoughts on the evens bet for Rovers to shade it with a 20pt start?

[tikay]

Great recommend Dan, thank you.

Let us see what Mr Oracle says, though his likely line is "you don't need input from me", as he percolates another coffee.

[horseplayer]

Nathan Lyon top 1st innings aus wicket taker

Boyles are still 4/1 despite the two other firms priced up now going 5/2

Ok he is no Swann but has been bowling well enough in the warm up games

Beats betfair price currently as well albeit only pennies there

thoughts?

[JaffaCake]

Well u can't say Mr Warner didn't try his best for Fred not to be given out!

[Tal]

Well u can't say Mr Warner didn't try his best for Fred not to be given out!

Boycott said the referral was "absolutely stupid" but I concur that the review was necessary for our bet.

Sir G of B has been on form today, if you're listening to TMS:

Aggers "what do you make of Smith's dismissal, Geoffrey?"
Boycs: "Well, he's an absolute Muppet. More brains in a chocolate mouse"

[sovietsong]

If possible could somebody put the spreadsheet link up

[aaron1867]

If possible could somebody put the spreadsheet link up

https://docs.google.com/a/my.shu.ac.uk/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=28

[Tal]

If possible could somebody put the spreadsheet link up

Head to the OP, sir.

[kinboshi]

If possible could somebody put the spreadsheet link up

↑

FYP

[Tal]

Brutal.

[tikay]

No luck in the first at Goodwood, we want Montiridge (sp) in the next.

That is all we have at Goodwood today, though we could use Mr Hughes riding a winner or two.

In the cricket, our 5-0 whitewash bet looks to be on life support.

[Marky147]

Hughes hoses up!

[tikay]

Ooh, Montiridge hacks up, very messy race, but nothing to do with us.

Nice winner Dr Doobs, and it was another Hughes winner for a nice Double Whammy.

Excellent work.

[Tal]

Swann has a fivefer.

[tikay]

Swann has a fivefer.

Lovely.

Really like our portfolio of bets across various sports at the moment.