Tips for Tikay

[BigAdz]

Fred fav Adriano has been given yet another last chance in Brazil

Amazingly he actually looks like a footballer for the first time in 6 years

Do not put it past him now

That's good, John, though I do worry a little about the sort of chap who takes photos of himself whilst in the shower, and seemingly semi- aroused.

I hope it wasn't sent direct to horsey.....!

[Karabiner]

Fred fav Adriano has been given yet another last chance in Brazil

Amazingly he actually looks like a footballer for the first time in 6 years

Do not put it past him now

That's good, John, though I do worry a little about the sort of chap who takes photos of himself whilst in the shower, and seemingly semi- aroused.

One certainly has an eye for *ahem* detail Tony.

[Karabiner]

^^^

PS I don't think a yellow card is sufficient punishment for that removal.

[McGlashan]

Fred fav Adriano has been given yet another last chance in Brazil

Amazingly he actually looks like a footballer for the first time in 6 years

Do not put it past him now

That's good, John, though I do worry a little about the sort of chap who takes photos of himself whilst in the shower, and seemingly semi- aroused.

One certainly has an eye for *ahem* detail Tony.

Sometimes these things are avoidable, sometimes they are not.

[GreekWay]

when did you place the lay and what odds did you get?

As you understand I don't know much on cricket and Betfair sent me an email earlier in the week about a 25% boost on winnings up to £75 on any cricket markets till the end of the week.

I went for the safer option (in my eyes) of laying the draw as I would do in football. I got odds of 5 on Tuesday night. I have covered half my position with a bookie just to minimize any possible loss.

[horseplayer]

Adriano is not a close personal friend which is a shame

This is a bit more of a mans game pic from last night

[BigAdz]

Who's your team John?

[Tal]

This thread's gone right downhill these last 24 hours.

I remember when it used to be just a little subtle innuendo here and there, like when the two Ronnies were about:

[horseplayer]

Who's your team John?

No premiership side really

Bilbao in Spain side i follow closest

[horseplayer]

Interesting stat from the excellent Steve Freeth on twitter

Steve Freeth ‏@stevefreeth65  6m
Walsall playing without leader Andy Butler v Posh tom night. 2012/13 he missed 5 games = 0 wins. In 2011/12 he missed 6 games = 0 wins.

[horseplayer]

http://gfycat.com/PortlyPleasingHypacrosaurus

[Tal]

http://gfycat.com/PortlyPleasingHypacrosaurus

Tikkabooson!

(No idea why I can't get that gif to paste ITT!) 

[The Camel]

A friend of mine in the bookmaking industry has asked me to make a ten minute video for their website. It will be a Cheltenham preview and I'm going to do a few. I thought I'd start with the Champion Hurdle as we are still a fair way from the meeting and I felt this was one where we pretty much know who will turn up (with one obvious exception). I think I have a view which I'll share here later, but does anyone have any strong thoughts at the current prices?

 (obviously the last four words are key and I could see the argument for saying the prices are correct and there is no value, is that the case is my question).

This is potentially the best CH for years, and rather you than me trying to pin this one down.

With the make up of the race, the tactics, especially the ground, still up in the air it's a real puzzler.

A couple of points I would make;

The Fly seems better the softer it is, I don't think it's any coincidence he got beat on quicker ground in 2012 and got his crown back in 2013 when it was probably the softest CH ground for a long while(despite what the going report said). I think he just quickens best in softer ground, so a slowish race in soft ground is right up his street, as he has proven time and again he quickens up in the soft.

I see the pace being made by Un de S and Thousand Stars with Our conor tucked in behind. I can see AP and Ruby spending too  much time worried about each other while side by side towards the back, and at the bottom of the hill, OC kicking on and stealing enough rope to win.

The ending may be different but it's how I visualize the race based on the races the protagonists have run at Chelts previously.

The fly in the ointment is Annie Power. If she runs, I think they will all be far more cautious and they will all be a lot closer to the pace, that she surely has to set. Then who knows.

Fwiw I don't see The Fly beating this lot. I love My Tent, and my real hope is that Hendo is plotting the entire season round the festivals because his horses are alarmingly quiet so far this year. My head said after he got outstayed by C Fever last year he didn't have the stamina to win a CH, but my heart is with him.

The New One has always looked a stayer to be and rock solid for the frame, but I can't have him, as I think whichever ground it is someone will have too much speed for him. He was outpaced in the Neptune last year at a stage that makes me worry about a CH candidate.

I haven't backed him, but keep coming back to Our Connor, especially when I watch repeats of his Triumph victory last year, which was awesome. His campaign seems to be geared totally towards the CH and he got very close to The Fly last time, when clearly undercooked.

In terms of value. I don't see much. If anything I can see it cutting up and we maybe get a sub 8 field so some ew thieving maybe order of the day.

Good Luck Neil.

My main view is My Tent or Yours won't win.

If it didn't stay in the Novices last season, why woukld it stay this year against better horses, going faster in the first 1 1/2 miles?

I might even do what I very rarely do - put in a keep bet on Betfair and try and lay it at 2.2 or something - because it will probably be travelling best on the home turn.

I'm not saying that I disagree with your opinion here Keith as I am firmly with The Fly, but the time of last year's Supreme was almost four seconds faster than the CH.

I can't remember if it was raining or not.

I'm saying this year they'll go faster.

With the firebrand from Mullins towing them along.

[exstream]

Ladbrokes went 10/1 Dodging Bullets earlier for their special today. 6/1 best everywhere.

[The Camel]

Would Gerrard have got a yellow card for this?