Tips for Tikay

[redarmi]

It is highly likely to be a rick but I was still in a few minds whether to post itt. 1 said post and share. 2 said be quiet and fly under the radar. 3 said lolz, who am I kidding, all my bets lose anyway.

Morecambe v Southend

Kevan Hurst is 7/1 across the board for FGS apart from our fav Irish bookie who after one too many whiskeys has priced him up @16s with ew 1/3 for first 5 goals. Similarly he is 5/2 ish across the boards for any time scorer but 6/1 with pp.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-2/morecambe-v-southend/first-goalscorer

Pros:

Morecambe conceded 5 last week.
Southend Top scorer happens to be Kevan Hurst with 11 for the season.
Hurst signed a new contract this week to stay with Southend until 2016 which should give him a boost.
Southend are in the play off places but only 2 points clear of Plymouth in eighth so the fire has truly been lit

Cons:

Southend are in poor form not winning in 9 games as is Hurst. I imagine these two things are directly related.


I have gone ew on the 16s because I am a filthy degen who would be crushed if he did so happen to score first. £25 any time goalscorer @ 6/1 is probs fine for Fred.

Any thoughts or opinions?

No idea on the bet but I find it hard to believe they can make this a palpable error if they have priced up anytime goalscorer equally out of line.  I would be fairly comfortable I would have a case with IBAS if they cancelled this bet.

[millidonk]

Oooh, good to know Red. Think I might press the double down button. Can always just have value pie for tea instead of my standard Saturday night takeaway.

[millidonk]

Oooh, good to know Red. Think I might press the double down button. Can always just have value pie for tea instead of my standard Saturday night takeaway.

Sighs, just tried to press and they restricted me to £12.28. First time i've ever been restricted on anything on pp.

[superwomble]

Arsenal leave Giroud out too, but Jagielka still out for Everton. Everton have shortened as predicted though... 3/1 now.

[Karabiner]

Forest's injury problems are persisting and their squad is really thin now, looking at their recent results one might be forgiven for suggesting that they are doing a fair impression of a flounder.

The 3.75 Barnsley at home today on betty looks more than okay to me.

[Doobs]

Forest's injury problems are persisting and their squad is really thin now, looking at their recent results one might be forgiven for suggesting that they are doing a fair impression of a flounder.

The 3.75 Barnsley at home today on betty looks more than okay to me.

Worth backing just so Tighty gets to report on Barnsley twice tomorrow. 

BetVictor are 14/5 Palace at home to Southampton.  Now Southampton have performed very well this season, particularly early, but they have faded a touch and that price looks big to me.  Anybody know any Palace fans who could give a view?

[Tal]

Spurs game this evening throws up an interesting one. Spurs have to contend with the league's most in-form player in Hazard. They have Walker and Kaboul back, so I can see Vertonghen going to left back and Dawson playing alongside the big Frenchman. That means a bit of pressure on Sandro to kill the play in front of the back four and I've had a look at the card market.

A dozen players inside 2/1 to be booked. Sandro 15/8 with BMU looks delicious. Referee is Michael Oliver, the second yellowcardiest ref in the premier league (thought you'd like that).

Not really a bet what you can go far wrong in. Plus you get to funk against spurs...

Click to see full-size image.

Or do Arsenal want us to win? First or fourth, lads?

[Karabiner]

Arsenal leave Giroud out too, but Jagielka still out for Everton. Everton have shortened as predicted though... 3/1 now.

You forgot to mention the Everton 'keeper...

[superwomble]

Arsenal leave Giroud out too, but Jagielka still out for Everton. Everton have shortened as predicted though... 3/1 now.

You forgot to mention the Everton 'keeper...

Very good point!

[Kmac84]

The 13/10 Stranraer with Corals away to Ayr is a very good bet imo.  £40 is fine. 

Ayr had quite a tough game at home other night which they lost 3 - 2 to a not very good Forfar team and I understand they are without 2 first team regs today.  Stranraer are in the hunt for the play off spot in that league and reay can't afford any mistakes. 

[Omm]

PP messenger app - sire de grugy 3/1.
Get onnnn

This may be a good price and obviously beats bf but surely it should only be done if 1) It's going to be traded or 2) There is actually a case it's going to win.

It might just be me. Only thinking out aloud.

[Marky147]

Simon Claisse on C4 just now, and saying that it's highly unlikely there will be any watering done before the start of racing.

Great sweat over the next couple days

[Doobs]

PP messenger app - sire de grugy 3/1.
Get onnnn

This may be a good price and obviously beats bf but surely it should only be done if 1) It's going to be traded or 2) There is actually a case it's going to win.

It might just be me. Only thinking out aloud.

Just you.  If you can you should definitely back it.  If you think it is too short, you should trade out, but that really doesn't stop you backing it.  

A lot of the time you can be too clever on these things.  3/1 isn't such a bad price on Sire De Grugy and if I could back it, I'd probably just let it ride.

[Tal]

Simon Claisse on C4 just now, and saying that it's highly unlikely there will be any watering done before the start of racing.

Great sweat over the next couple days

Suppose that's another way of doing it...

[Karabiner]

Silviniaco Conti 4/1 for the next ten minutes with baddies for those that can.