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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16270296 times)
Marky147
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« Reply #73140 on: April 04, 2014, 03:09:39 PM »

I'm also sat in the box lol, comped from Genting?!

tightys day takes a turn for the worse.

Would be comical if the two boxes were next to each other!!!  Tighty and Arron going at it through the glass.

I will buy you both a drink if Arron can get a "selfie" with Tighty , Richard has to be smiling by the way Wink

Would be greatest fred photo ever

 thumbs up
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booder
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« Reply #73141 on: April 04, 2014, 03:13:28 PM »



another bet

another skewed market

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/county-championship-div-2/county-championship-division-2/top-batsman

graeme smith installed at 9-1 is ludicrous...not a prolific run scorer these days

of the rest the hampshire and derbyshire lads have every chance. Moeen ali could miss time playing for england, as well

wayne madsen finished 2nd in div 1 last year scoring over 1200 runs for a side that won 3 out of 16 games

http://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/engine/records/batting/most_runs_career.html?id=7905;type=tournament

going to take 1400 or so to win this

http://stats.espncricinfo.com/county-championship-div2-2013/engine/records/batting/most_runs_career.html?id=7906;type=tournament

yet we can have him at 14-1 william hill to win this, £20 outright








Ilike this bet Rich.Madsen is certainly a contender.

Good season long sweat for the next free bet we get from Billy Hills IMO.

Did we get on  this?
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« Reply #73142 on: April 04, 2014, 03:40:15 PM »

It's a different class of ladies day at Aintree

 Click to see full-size image.


One of the great all time pictures on fred.  Would she even get into royal ascot with that on?  The Daily Mail coverage of the aintree fashion stakes was comical beyond belief yesterday.  Why are scouse birds in their droves so fantastic to stare at.

fyp mate
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tikay
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« Reply #73143 on: April 04, 2014, 04:44:08 PM »



another bet

another skewed market

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/county-championship-div-2/county-championship-division-2/top-batsman

graeme smith installed at 9-1 is ludicrous...not a prolific run scorer these days

of the rest the hampshire and derbyshire lads have every chance. Moeen ali could miss time playing for england, as well

wayne madsen finished 2nd in div 1 last year scoring over 1200 runs for a side that won 3 out of 16 games

http://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/engine/records/batting/most_runs_career.html?id=7905;type=tournament

going to take 1400 or so to win this

http://stats.espncricinfo.com/county-championship-div2-2013/engine/records/batting/most_runs_career.html?id=7906;type=tournament

yet we can have him at 14-1 william hill to win this, £20 outright








Ilike this bet Rich.Madsen is certainly a contender.

Good season long sweat for the next free bet we get from Billy Hills IMO.

Did we get on  this?

Hi Boo,

Yes, we did, yesterday, £20 @ 14/1. Not 100% sure I confirmed it, but we deffo got on.
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« Reply #73144 on: April 04, 2014, 04:53:52 PM »

Home for a free bet?

Derbyshire 7-1 to win County Championship Div Two (which starts in 19 days) Wlliam Hill


fourth favourites behind surrey, hants and essex. At least 4 of the 9 teams in this are genuine outsiders due to financial considerations, squad depth and strength. derbyshire have just produced their 8th profit in 9 years and have no such concerns

market skewed because surrey have big names, but actually they are rebuilding with youngsters and can be opposed at the price

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/county-championship-div-2/county-championship-division-2/winner

Derbyshire just got relegated last season, actually a very creditable performance, have one of the best domestic batsmen in madsen, an overseas in chanderpaul who churns out runs and a lot of young talent (particularly spinners, which is unusual for them)

Most importantly of all they play at Derby (yes, they do) which produces result wickets.....and this is vital with 24 points for winning a game with max bonus points compared to a maxmium of 11 for the draw

you need to win games, and surrey play at the oval, which is not prepared to produce result wickets. hampshire at the ageas also, only result wickets in the second half of the season when they dry out to take spin


secondary bet £15 e/w derbyshire william hill 7-1 1/5 top 3. I have them in my top three every day of the week at this stage

--

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/county-championship-div-1/county-championship-division-1/winner

cc1 is genuinely tough, i could make a case for six of the teams in a really tight heat, and i won't be recommending a bet this season. hopefully gherkin has some ideas.   

A further bet please

Tim Groenewald Top Division two wicket taker £10 e/w BMU 16/1 1/4 1,2,3,4

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/county-championship-div-2/county-championship-division-2/top-bowler

last season he took 45 wickets in div one.

going to take 65+ in div 2 to win this

http://stats.espncricinfo.com/county-championship-div2-2013/engine/records/bowling/most_wickets_career.html?id=7906;type=tournament

4 of last year's top 5 wicket takers are out of the division, promoted or retired

groenewald is more than double the price of the favourite, the Australian Michael Hogan down at Glamorgan.

Derby is a result wicket, div two batting strength is weaker - lots of young players in 5-6 of the teams, and this market is also skewed by putting guys who can't win this (dernbach, tremlett, ajmal etc) in at lowish prices as they are big names for the bigger teams

If you wanted a portfolio Groenewald, David Masters, James Tomlinson at 16's and Tim Linley at 25's against the field.

--

another bet

another skewed market

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/county-championship-div-2/county-championship-division-2/top-batsman

graeme smith installed at 9-1 is ludicrous...not a prolific run scorer these days

of the rest the hampshire and derbyshire lads have every chance. Moeen ali could miss time playing for england, as well

wayne madsen finished 2nd in div 1 last year scoring over 1200 runs for a side that won 3 out of 16 games

http://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/engine/records/batting/most_runs_career.html?id=7905;type=tournament

going to take 1400 or so to win this

http://stats.espncricinfo.com/county-championship-div2-2013/engine/records/batting/most_runs_career.html?id=7906;type=tournament

yet we can have him at 14-1 william hill to win this, £20 outright


second batsman bet, and a bigger one

Leicestershire were by far the weakest county last year yet Ned Eckersley broke through, scoring nearly 1300 runs in a mostly losing side. he's only 24, and should be poached by a bigger county after this season

this year, while unlikely to be at the top end, they should at least be more competitive (a lot of off field ructions last year had the side thinking of the end of the season by about june) and Eckersley is priced up at 25-1

We can get 1/4 the odds top 5

Magnificent bet, famous last words

£30 e/w Eckersley top division two run scorer bet victor


--

i choose division two because

a) division one is better known (efficient markets)
b) division two is unfashionable (can be mis-priced)
c) i watch a lot of it along with three pensioners and their dogs, and i'll take my knowledge against the office junior at buttermeup on this

Bugger.

I pre-ejaculated, placed all three bets, & only then then I saw Boo's "Free Bet" idea.

Anyway, it's done now. We can always go in again, if need be, or if a Free Bet arises, I'll take the paid bet Off-Thread (I'd have it for myself anyway), & do the Freebie.


Exactly as specified......

3 BETS PLACED

Phew! Yes, we got on, though not, as subsequently suggested, as a Free Bet.
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KarmaDope
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« Reply #73145 on: April 04, 2014, 04:55:03 PM »

I'm from Liverpool but wouldn't go anywhere near one of those tarts dressed up in orange tan etc. They make me cringe!

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« Reply #73146 on: April 04, 2014, 05:16:40 PM »

Mr T.

It is in play at moment but if you can get 3-1 or over on Seppi to beat Murray go for £15. But don't do it if he loses his serve before you bet.

Good luck.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #73147 on: April 04, 2014, 05:20:54 PM »

I'm also sat in the box lol, comped from Genting?!

I'm not. lol.
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« Reply #73148 on: April 04, 2014, 05:23:32 PM »

Mr T.

It is in play at moment but if you can get 3-1 or over on Seppi to beat Murray go for £15. But don't do it if he loses his serve before you bet.

Good luck.

got there at 3-3 15-40, then he was broken

now 11-2 Seppi
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« Reply #73149 on: April 04, 2014, 05:26:13 PM »

A brilliant innings from Kohli means India chase 170+ to beat South Africa

early prices for the final Sri Lanka 6/5 India 4/6 for Sunday's final

We have £25 6-1 Sri Lanka

its a flip, really and I think we should run it
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tikay
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« Reply #73150 on: April 04, 2014, 05:29:52 PM »

Mr T.

It is in play at moment but if you can get 3-1 or over on Seppi to beat Murray go for £15. But don't do it if he loses his serve before you bet.

Good luck.

got there at 3-3 15-40, then he was broken

now 11-2 Seppi

Phew, good swerve!
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ForthThistle
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« Reply #73151 on: April 04, 2014, 05:30:54 PM »

I'm from Liverpool but wouldn't go anywhere near one of those tarts dressed up in orange tan etc. They make me cringe! Joobs would cut my balls off.


FYP
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« Reply #73152 on: April 04, 2014, 05:50:24 PM »

A brilliant innings from Kohli means India chase 170+ to beat South Africa

early prices for the final Sri Lanka 6/5 India 4/6 for Sunday's final

We have £25 6-1 Sri Lanka

its a flip, really and I think we should run it
agreed
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« Reply #73153 on: April 04, 2014, 05:53:27 PM »

As I now have some of tikay's passwords, I think the best thing to do is NOT to place my own stuff as after all tikay could say no to any of it

So will leave those for tikay to place, or not.

--

The Bahrain circuit is Mercedes heaven. In FP2 they are currently lapping in the 1.39s on long runs/full fuel about 1.2 seconds quicker than the rest

on qualifying practice they were going 1.345, 1.1 seconds quicker than the rest

in the words of one blogger following it

"Mercedes are in a league of their own. "

this is no great surprise

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/bahrain-grand-prix/winner

totesport currently offer 10/11 hamilton for the race

this is a daft price. realistically he's a not 10/11. betfair is 1.69

rosberg is a fair enough cover at 2/1 too, but doesn't have the qualifying pace of hamilton and won't overtake in the race assuming hamilton leads and is mechanically sound

it would be a major major surprise if one of these two does not win it

can you get on with totesport tikay? take what you can.....
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
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By the way, I'm leaving out today
tikay
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« Reply #73154 on: April 04, 2014, 06:02:18 PM »

As I now have some of tikay's passwords, I think the best thing to do is NOT to place my own stuff as after all tikay could say no to any of it

So will leave those for tikay to place, or not.

--

The Bahrain circuit is Mercedes heaven. In FP2 they are currently lapping in the 1.39s on long runs/full fuel about 1.2 seconds quicker than the rest

on qualifying practice they were going 1.345, 1.1 seconds quicker than the rest

in the words of one blogger following it

"Mercedes are in a league of their own. "

this is no great surprise

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/bahrain-grand-prix/winner

totesport currently offer 10/11 hamilton for the race

this is a daft price. realistically he's a not 10/11. betfair is 1.69

rosberg is a fair enough cover at 2/1 too, but doesn't have the qualifying pace of hamilton and won't overtake in the race assuming hamilton leads and is mechanically sound

it would be a major major surprise if one of these two does not win it

can you get on with totesport tikay? take what you can.....

The boat has sailed, 8/11 now.

I agree, incidentally, as to "your" stuff, that would put you in a really awkward spot, so we'll proceed as you suggest.

PS - Good luck tonight!

PPS - Just look the other way if you spot Aaron, or direct his attention to the Vegas Info thread, so Galloway & Marky get the grief instead of you. Guess I'd better add the smiley.......

Wink
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