Tips for Tikay

[Doobs]

confirmed for saturday Bet365

£50 In-Play Bet on the Champions League Final

Real Madrid take on city rivals Atletico in the Champions League final on Saturday 24th May – and we’ve got a fantastic In-Play bet offer to add to the excitement.

Place a pre-match bet on the Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid game and we will give you a risk free In-Play bet to the same stake on the big match.

To qualify for your risk free In-Play bet, simply place a bet before kick-off, then once the game starts place another bet on any In-Play market. If your FIRST In-Play bet loses we will refund this stake, up to the same value as your largest pre-match bet (max £50).

Best tactic for these action? Wasn't there a sweat on no goalscorer someone put up before which came in for a risk free 10/1 shot?

The pre match bet needs to be close to Betfair odds

The inplay bet should be high odds and close to Betfair odds

The problem is that Tikay can't get £50 at Bet365 at high odds

Tikay has home, away and draw to choose from

Would normally advocate closest to Betfair, but aren't these sides closely matched and one looks to be the price it is for spurious historical reasons?

[cheapwetsuit]

Copied from cycling thread:

Click to see full-size image.

“The course is very hard and not too much for me,” Malori said. “I can ride a good time trial, but the 20 kilometres of climbing is too much and I can lose a lot.” His comment on facebook apparently translated as "I am literally destroyed"

But Alex Dowsett reckons he can still win. He'll be not far off if his legs are alright, but doubts on his strength in longer TT still remain imo & I doubt he'll sleep well tonight. Movistar still need him to protect Quintana on flat stages.

Bookies still have him as favourite. Pretty certain this is one of the most open ITT for a while. A >50% chance of rain on a technical parcours, & the chance the wind drops for the GC later starters.

Click to see full-size image.

I like the chances of Wilco Kelderman, currently 7th in GC. The young Belkin rider has a more than decent pedigree on longer TT. 4th in 2012 54km Critérium du Dauphiné TT. Reports from himself & the team after todays stage suggest he is in the best form of his life. 8/1 or better EW is good.

Uran has also been quietly saving energy, & has looked to peak for the Giro. An excellent 4th in last months Tour de Romandie TT shows he has the power. BillyHillbillies 14/1 EW looks attractive.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/giro-ditalia/giro-ditalia-stage-12/winner

Tonji knew. Of course I (and Fred?) backed the wrong one. 

[Tonji]

Copied from cycling thread:

Click to see full-size image.

“The course is very hard and not too much for me,” Malori said. “I can ride a good time trial, but the 20 kilometres of climbing is too much and I can lose a lot.” His comment on facebook apparently translated as "I am literally destroyed"

But Alex Dowsett reckons he can still win. He'll be not far off if his legs are alright, but doubts on his strength in longer TT still remain imo & I doubt he'll sleep well tonight. Movistar still need him to protect Quintana on flat stages.

Bookies still have him as favourite. Pretty certain this is one of the most open ITT for a while. A >50% chance of rain on a technical parcours, & the chance the wind drops for the GC later starters.

Click to see full-size image.

I like the chances of Wilco Kelderman, currently 7th in GC. The young Belkin rider has a more than decent pedigree on longer TT. 4th in 2012 54km Critérium du Dauphiné TT. Reports from himself & the team after todays stage suggest he is in the best form of his life. 8/1 or better EW is good.

Uran has also been quietly saving energy, & has looked to peak for the Giro. An excellent 4th in last months Tour de Romandie TT shows he has the power. BillyHillbillies 14/1 EW looks attractive.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/giro-ditalia/giro-ditalia-stage-12/winner

Been out all day, did Fred get on?

Uran wins the ITT.

[Tal]

Brace yourself.

Mr Pochettino is far from a lock to get the spurs job. Although I don't believe Southampton will prevent a move, all the reports suggest there isn't unanimity among the top brass at WHL as to whether he's the answer to our many problems. De Boer reportedly (and, let's face it, the papers have been getting some pretty good Intel from sources close to him) hasn't had any contact from us since he was odds on.

Benitez? Moyes? Lennon? No. Too much baggage.

Martinez? Why would he leave Everton now for spurs?

The reality is, if we don't appoint Pochettino, we are left scratching our heads. I might have the answer.

Pros:
+ CL experience and success against good sides (incl beating Chelsea home and away)
+ Used to a director of football above him
+ Plays with wing-backs and has an open, attacking style that should play well with the fans
+ Done a lot with not a lot
+ Was reportedly approached by spurs as a possible replacement for AvB in December. He said so in a press conference, before bizarrely withdrawing that comment a couple of days later.
+ Has just left his club, saying he's looking for a new club.

Cons:
- No PL experience
- He's not a huge name for most of the fans

I have had a reasonably chunky (for me) bet on this guy a few weeks ago, after noticing he wasn't even priced up and persuading a few bookies to chalk up a price. Strangely, some money then appeared on betfair exchange and I had some of that.

Price has gone up with another bookie now.

Recommend £10 on Murat Yakin to be the next spurs manager at 66/1 with BMU.

[tikay]

Brace yourself.

Mr Pochettino is far from a lock to get the spurs job. Although I don't believe Southampton will prevent a move, all the reports suggest there isn't unanimity among the top brass at WHL as to whether he's the answer to our many problems. De Boer reportedly (and, let's face it, the papers have been getting some pretty good Intel from sources close to him) hasn't had any contact from us since he was odds on.

Benitez? Moyes? Lennon? No. Too much baggage.

Martinez? Why would he leave Everton now for spurs?

The reality is, if we don't appoint Pochettino, we are left scratching our heads. I might have the answer.

Pros:
+ CL experience and success against good sides (incl beating Chelsea home and away)
+ Used to a director of football above him
+ Plays with wing-backs and has an open, attacking style that should play well with the fans
+ Done a lot with not a lot
+ Was reportedly approached by spurs as a possible replacement for AvB in December. He said so in a press conference, before bizarrely withdrawing that comment a couple of days later.
+ Has just left his club, saying he's looking for a new club.

Cons:
- No PL experience
- He's not a huge name for most of the fans

I have had a reasonably chunky (for me) bet on this guy a few weeks ago, after noticing he wasn't even priced up and persuading a few bookies to chalk up a price. Strangely, some money then appeared on betfair exchange and I had some of that.

Price has gone up with another bookie now.

Recommend £10 on Murat Yakin to be the next spurs manager at 66/1 with BMU.

Am working, and no idea if Tighty is around. Think he might be at the cricket.

We have £10 @ 66-1 with BMU. Might just be the daftest bet ever.....

Gotta go, Miss Champion needs me.

BET PLACED

[Marky147]

Or have a fiver at 190 with Betfair 

[Tal]

Or have a fiver at 190 with Betfair 

Excellent! Was on the train home so was in a rush to explain the reasoning.

[Marky147]

Or have a fiver at 190 with Betfair 

Excellent! Was on the train home so was in a rush to explain the reasoning.

You've collapsed the price though, Tal

[GreekWay]

Has anyone found out which pre-match market is the best to use for the 365 offer?

[Tal]

Or have a fiver at 190 with Betfair 

Excellent! Was on the train home so was in a rush to explain the reasoning.

You've collapsed the price though, Tal

Standard. They have to follow the smart money, these bookies.

Consensus is spurs will be looking to appoint either next week or the Monday after. Waiting until after the world cup would be a PR disaster, unless Klinsmann is keen to leave LA for Haringey.

Next manager markets are a bit of a punt, but we have method and logic in our favour, while those around us pick names the blokes in the caff reckon will get it.

[TightEnd]

Has anyone found out which pre-match market is the best to use for the 365 offer?

its been descirbed already

two main options

for the conservative

- pick a win outcome on the team of your choice
- do the same bet again just after kick off to effectively double your odds

for the punchier

- pick an outcome pre match of your choice
- pick a much higher priced bet eg correct score, first goalscorer, ht/ft just after the start

double check to make sure the prices you choose are reasonably close to betfair

if restricted the conservative might be the only option (tikay was restricted on even a team to win with the free bet last time)

for the unrestricted go for it, for example and not a recommendation...

real to win at 10/11

bale to score a hat-trick at 80-1  - its coming back if it loses, right?

[TightEnd]

Copied from cycling thread:

Click to see full-size image.

“The course is very hard and not too much for me,” Malori said. “I can ride a good time trial, but the 20 kilometres of climbing is too much and I can lose a lot.” His comment on facebook apparently translated as "I am literally destroyed"

But Alex Dowsett reckons he can still win. He'll be not far off if his legs are alright, but doubts on his strength in longer TT still remain imo & I doubt he'll sleep well tonight. Movistar still need him to protect Quintana on flat stages.

Bookies still have him as favourite. Pretty certain this is one of the most open ITT for a while. A >50% chance of rain on a technical parcours, & the chance the wind drops for the GC later starters.

Click to see full-size image.

I like the chances of Wilco Kelderman, currently 7th in GC. The young Belkin rider has a more than decent pedigree on longer TT. 4th in 2012 54km Critérium du Dauphiné TT. Reports from himself & the team after todays stage suggest he is in the best form of his life. 8/1 or better EW is good.

Uran has also been quietly saving energy, & has looked to peak for the Giro. An excellent 4th in last months Tour de Romandie TT shows he has the power. BillyHillbillies 14/1 EW looks attractive.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/giro-ditalia/giro-ditalia-stage-12/winner

Been out all day, did Fred get on?

Uran wins the ITT.

sorry, i didn't see it at all. don't know how i missed it, read every post every day but completely forgot

[TightEnd]

1 Adams 3 year contract at Norwich


2 does that send Malky Mackay to celtic? i note henrik l has gone from 1/3 to 5/2 through the day

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/celtic/next-permanent-manager

3 does that send Lennon to west bromwich albion?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/celtic/next-permanent-manager

[GreekWay]

Has anyone found out which pre-match market is the best to use for the 365 offer?

its been descirbed already

two main options

for the conservative

- pick a win outcome on the team of your choice
- do the same bet again just after kick off to effectively double your odds

for the punchier

- pick an outcome pre match of your choice
- pick a much higher priced bet eg correct score, first goalscorer, ht/ft just after the start

double check to make sure the prices you choose are reasonably close to betfair

if restricted the conservative might be the only option (tikay was restricted on even a team to win with the free bet last time)

for the unrestricted go for it, for example and not a recommendation...

real to win at 10/11

bale to score a hat-trick at 80-1  - its coming back if it loses, right?

I haven't thought about the double odds. Probably going to go this way.

I don't think they will offer Bale's hat-trick in-play.

[TightEnd]

it was just an illustration

things like ht team 1 ft team 2 are certainly available at c25-1

first goalscorers will be available up to 50-1

funky correct scores will all be available

etc etc