Tips for Tikay

[Peter-27]

good stuff, welcome along

fortunately we are on Hamilton and Mercedes pre-season so we're on the right side of them.

post away, recommendations, all F1 help, knowledge and tips appreciated

and tell the very quick Mr Bottas to keep progressing tyvm!

Thanks for the welcome!

Actually, I would say that's the wrong side to be on. Hamilton probably is a marginally faster in terms of outright pace which, you would think, makes him favourite for the title. However the problem Lewis has is that he quite easily gets affected by emotion whereas Nico doesn't. When Lewis has a bad race due to an incident with another driver or what he sees as bad stewarding - or even an issue in his personal life, I expect him to do badly in the next few proceeding races. Nico won't have that problem and therefore I expect the German to take the title.

What is/are your bet/s on Bottas?

[tikay]

good stuff, welcome along

fortunately we are on Hamilton and Mercedes pre-season so we're on the right side of them.

post away, recommendations, all F1 help, knowledge and tips appreciated

and tell the very quick Mr Bottas to keep progressing tyvm!

Thanks for the welcome!

Actually, I would say that's the wrong side to be on. Hamilton probably is a marginally faster in terms of outright pace which, you would think, makes him favourite for the title. However the problem Lewis has is that he quite easily gets affected by emotion whereas Nico doesn't. When Lewis has a bad race due to an incident with another driver or what he sees as bad stewarding - or even an issue in his personal life, I expect him to do badly in the next few proceeding races. Nico won't have that problem and therefore I expect the German to take the title.

What is/are your bet/s on Bottas?

That is why he is known here simply as "MardyBum".

Great to see you here Peter.

[Peter-27]

That is why he is known here simply as "MardyBum".

Great to see you here Peter.

Haha! How funny

[tikay]

good stuff, welcome along

fortunately we are on Hamilton and Mercedes pre-season so we're on the right side of them.

post away, recommendations, all F1 help, knowledge and tips appreciated

and tell the very quick Mr Bottas to keep progressing tyvm!

Thanks for the welcome!

Actually, I would say that's the wrong side to be on. Hamilton probably is a marginally faster in terms of outright pace which, you would think, makes him favourite for the title. However the problem Lewis has is that he quite easily gets affected by emotion whereas Nico doesn't. When Lewis has a bad race due to an incident with another driver or what he sees as bad stewarding - or even an issue in his personal life, I expect him to do badly in the next few proceeding races. Nico won't have that problem and therefore I expect the German to take the title.

What is/are your bet/s on Bottas?

We have a bet on him to win the World Drivers Championship @ 50/1, down to "Doobs", which we placed in March. It's a "value" position.

All our current bets are here.....


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=24

[TightEnd]

I think Hamilton holding off Rosberg in the last two races when on the harder compound and under extreme pressure with Rosberg in the quicker car showed a maturity that was lacking previously. in prior years he's definitely snapped under some of that pressure

Not too popular to be pro-Hamilton around here, but he's diefinitely quicker on a single lap so more often than not will qualify ahead of Rosberg, which puts him in control of most races and leaves Rosberg trying to over-take. 

I would be surprised if he didn't win it this year though of course in temperament he is more volatile than Rosberg and he has yet to have to respond to a setback this year

Bottas, think we have 50-1 each way for the title. Williams were identified v early on in testing as having a dramatically improved car this season, and the performances do indeed confirm that. Problem is of course behind Mercedes the performance differentials are small and the grid is very crowded with red bull, ferrari, force india, williams etc all chasing the podium spots

[AlunB]

England tour NZ this summer in Rugby Union, matches as follows

7 June: 1st Test v New Zealand
14 June: 2nd Test v New Zealand
21 June: 3rd Test v New Zealand

I cannot find a single market for these games and there might be a big opportunity here depending how it is priced up

anyone else see anything anywhere? oddschecker showing nothing

First test up on Betfair with not a lot of liquidity. But that's not unusual for rugby

http://sports.betfair.com/?mi=100964620&ex=2&origin=SNG

Interested to see what you think the opportunity is...

[horseplayer]

Lennon left Celtic

Dont think the 5/4 ppower on him going to Norwich will last

[TightEnd]

England tour NZ this summer in Rugby Union, matches as follows

7 June: 1st Test v New Zealand
14 June: 2nd Test v New Zealand
21 June: 3rd Test v New Zealand

I cannot find a single market for these games and there might be a big opportunity here depending how it is priced up

anyone else see anything anywhere? oddschecker showing nothing

First test up on Betfair with not a lot of liquidity. But that's not unusual for rugby

http://sports.betfair.com/?mi=100964620&ex=2&origin=SNG

Interested to see what you think the opportunity is...

thank you

1.08 ok

will see what the handicap markets say, looking for NZ -35 or lower

England go into the first test missing 24 players tbhrough both injury and the Saracens/Northampton premiership final

after a season in which most players have played 50-60 games, and some have been on the go for two seasons non-stop (lions tour, eng tour to argentina)

five props are injured, three fly halves missing etc etc

they play the baabaas on the 1st in London, which is daft preparation, purely a game to make money off the corporate market then fly across the world to play NZ near the start of their season with a scratch B team (mostly) 

would be hugely surpised if they weren't beaten 3-0, beaten by 50 in the first test

would like to see the markets for these types of ideas

[Ironside]

He is odds on fav on sky

[Nico29]

Lennon left Celtic

Dont think the 5/4 ppower on him going to Norwich will last

12's with sadblokes for the wba job looks a possibility too

[Ironside]

Paul lambert 6/1 for Celtic job if you don't like the look of 1/3 Larson

[BigAdz]

Messi Top scorer and Arggies to win it 21-1 any good? Special with Tote today

[AlunB]

England tour NZ this summer in Rugby Union, matches as follows

7 June: 1st Test v New Zealand
14 June: 2nd Test v New Zealand
21 June: 3rd Test v New Zealand

I cannot find a single market for these games and there might be a big opportunity here depending how it is priced up

anyone else see anything anywhere? oddschecker showing nothing

First test up on Betfair with not a lot of liquidity. But that's not unusual for rugby

http://sports.betfair.com/?mi=100964620&ex=2&origin=SNG

Interested to see what you think the opportunity is...

thank you

1.08 ok

will see what the handicap markets say, looking for NZ -35 or lower

England go into the first test missing 24 players tbhrough both injury and the Saracens/Northampton premiership final

after a season in which most players have played 50-60 games, and some have been on the go for two seasons non-stop (lions tour, eng tour to argentina)

five props are injured, three fly halves missing etc etc

they play the baabaas on the 1st in London, which is daft preparation, purely a game to make money off the corporate market then fly across the world to play NZ near the start of their season with a scratch B team (mostly) 

would be hugely surpised if they weren't beaten 3-0, beaten by 50 in the first test

would like to see the markets for these types of ideas

Yep, agree with most of that. Would be surprised if handicap was above +30, but it is at Eden Park first up and as you say the injury list is pretty huge.

[redarmi]

If they are 1.08 you will get a sub 30 hcap in all likliehood.

On another note anyone got any views on this ODI in running?  Odds against Sri Lanka looks pretty good to me.

[TightEnd]

On another note anyone got any views on this ODI in running?  Odds against Sri Lanka looks pretty good to me.

280 or so is par, very good pitch

batting second is also a big advantage if weather plays a part and DL/reduced overs comes into play

I think the markets continue to underestimate SL and I am not entirely sure why

much the better team, though of course the margins in ODIs are pretty thin in any one game..a big innings, one spell, a dropped catch etc etc