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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16425462 times)
horseplayer
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« Reply #79785 on: June 12, 2014, 11:25:34 AM »

based on usual whoscored rules
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« Reply #79786 on: June 12, 2014, 11:37:10 AM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/highest-rated-player-settled-using-whoscored-com

Good to see this market

It is quite easy to see the historic ratings players get in the big 4 leagues (epl,la liga, bundesliga and serie a)

Obviously these are club ratings but players will play generally in a similar way and if they are earning points via whoscored by the way they play then they should for the country as well.

It is hardly an appealing each way heat so i suggest 3 small win bets, 1 slightly bigger bet and a small saver.

£10 win on the following

Yohan Cabaye 66-1 either firm. Always fared well on the ratings when at newcastle and still does for Psg, looks certain to play all/most games.

Juan Guillermo Cuadrado 50-1 vcbet. Top of Serie A over the whole season looks certain to play all of Colombia's games big price.

Ivan Rakitic 50-1 lads. Will play all games rates highly in la liga ratings.

£20 on the following

Alexis Sanchez 80-1 lads. Very big price despite a lot not thinking he is brilliant for Barca a constant top 10 force for Barca in the la liga ratings. Given he plays better/ is used more for Chile hard to see him not doing at least as well.

and the saver is very obvious

£5 Messi 10-1 vcbet. Always clear in La Liga if Argentina get to the semis and play well i am certain he will be there or close.

Players must play in at least two world cup games to count towards the bet, despite the element of randomness over two appearances that should be eliminated to a degree.

I had an original "shortlist" of at least 10 very hard to narrow down and i have come up with the four bets left mainly due to price and the fact they appear very likely to be key players for their nations.




usual whoscored rules doesn't help me much, but anyway...

BV

 Whoscored Highest Rated Player Of The Tournament Lionel Messi (Outright - Outright) Odds: 10/1 Stake: 5.00 Possible Return:  55.00
Whoscored Highest Rated Player Of The Tournament Yohan Cabaye (Outright - Outright) Odds: 66/1 Stake: 10.00 Possible Return:  670.00
Whoscored Highest Rated Player Of The Tournament Juan Cuadrado (Outright - Outright) Odds: 50/1 Stake: 10.00 Possible Return:  510.00

lads would only lay £1 on each of the two below, so back to BV

 Whoscored Highest Rated Player Of The Tournament Alexis Sanchez (Outright - Outright) Odds: 66/1 Stake: 20.00 Possible Return:  1340.00
Whoscored Highest Rated Player Of The Tournament Ivan Rakitic (Outright - Outright) Odds: 33/1 Stake: 10.00 Possible Return:  340.00

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Peter-27
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« Reply #79787 on: June 12, 2014, 11:40:03 AM »

Looking to bet on Argentina not to concede in the group stages, has anyone seen a market like this?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/argentina/group-stage-goals-conceded

Betvictor are 10/3 for under 1 goal conceded.

Only price I could find via oddschecker.

Thanks! I was expecting a better price than that so not going to be placing a bet.

If anyone is interested, I have put all my World Cup bets on a spreadsheet (stole the style from here, hope that's okay?): https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AivwAKnR2fgcdHpsdnpCWTUwMENtbjJua25KazVXTkE&usp=sharing

As for Le Mans, I have NEVER seen a bet for the event on any website - although I only discovered oddschecker a few months ago, so if anything comes up that I fancy - I will let you guys know :-)
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« Reply #79788 on: June 12, 2014, 11:59:10 AM »

Thanks

wasnt being pedantic but i tend to explain how the ratings work every post i make about a bet on whoscored and there have been a few,

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« Reply #79789 on: June 12, 2014, 12:10:07 PM »

Murray plays Stepanek today at Queens - he's very likely to win, but Stepanek knows his way round a grass court.  It's his best surface imo and I think the veteran will give Murray a game and should hold his serve pretty effectively.

I'm buying games/points on the spreads, but 5/6 on over 20 games in this match is a decent bet I think.   Available in 2 spots, not sure if Fred has accesss.  £30 to win £25 perhaps.
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« Reply #79790 on: June 12, 2014, 12:20:44 PM »

Murray plays Stepanek today at Queens - he's very likely to win, but Stepanek knows his way round a grass court.  It's his best surface imo and I think the veteran will give Murray a game and should hold his serve pretty effectively.

I'm buying games/points on the spreads, but 5/6 on over 20 games in this match is a decent bet I think.   Available in 2 spots, not sure if Fred has accesss.  £30 to win £25 perhaps.

yup, sportingbet

        Bet Type: Single
            Stepanek, R v Murray, A Total Games
                Over(+20) 5/6
        Possible Payout 36.67 GBP
    1 bet @
    20.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 20.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 36.67 GBP
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« Reply #79791 on: June 12, 2014, 12:22:00 PM »

we have high priced darts on the US Open which starts soon

nothing to go at, offers wise, in the top 20 or so names?

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/us-open/winner
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« Reply #79792 on: June 12, 2014, 12:25:30 PM »

12 Jun 2014 - BRAZIL v Croatia - 1 Million Special - Limited Availability - 50,000 Bets - £20 Max - Singles Only

Brazil to Beat Croatia 12/6/2014 @ EVS

Stake : £20.00
Estimated Returns : £
40.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0000979/F


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« Reply #79793 on: June 12, 2014, 12:25:52 PM »

we have high priced darts on the US Open which starts soon

nothing to go at, offers wise, in the top 20 or so names?

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/us-open/winner

It has gone in play.  Did some maths stuff but was very last minute, so couldn't get it up.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #79794 on: June 12, 2014, 12:28:17 PM »

12 Jun 2014 - BRAZIL v Croatia - 1 Million Special - Limited Availability - 50,000 Bets - £20 Max - Singles Only

Brazil to Beat Croatia 12/6/2014 @ EVS

Stake : £20.00
Estimated Returns : £
40.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0000979/F




This is Hills for those that can't find it
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« Reply #79795 on: June 12, 2014, 12:30:22 PM »

12 Jun 2014 - BRAZIL v Croatia - 1 Million Special - Limited Availability - 50,000 Bets - £20 Max - Singles Only

Brazil to Beat Croatia 12/6/2014 @ EVS

Stake : £20.00
Estimated Returns : £
40.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0000979/F




This is Hills for those that can't find it

was not the easiest bet to find through mobile app

football >scroll to the bottom view specials > 1 million special
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« Reply #79796 on: June 12, 2014, 12:37:00 PM »



Roy The Rapper
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« Reply #79797 on: June 12, 2014, 01:37:55 PM »

A reminder

we have 3 x £5 free bets on the Brazil world cup group games, one per game

(O)BRAZIL FREE BETS SB1J1206    £5.00    (O)BRAZIL FREE BETS SB1J1206 Terms and conditions    

the "use by" is as follows

2014-06-12 23:30

so

correct scores, first goalscorers, long shots

let me have them please for tonight, and it looks like the next two games too with an expiry before midnight

2-1 Brazil is top priced 11/1 with the sportsbook.  It is the right sort of price for a freebet and just about beats the exchange too (11.5/12 and you don't pay commission).  Likely to get a decent sweat on it too.
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« Reply #79798 on: June 12, 2014, 01:54:11 PM »

A reminder

we have 3 x £5 free bets on the Brazil world cup group games, one per game

(O)BRAZIL FREE BETS SB1J1206    £5.00    (O)BRAZIL FREE BETS SB1J1206 Terms and conditions    

the "use by" is as follows

2014-06-12 23:30

so

correct scores, first goalscorers, long shots

let me have them please for tonight, and it looks like the next two games too with an expiry before midnight

2-1 Brazil is top priced 11/1 with the sportsbook.  It is the right sort of price for a freebet and just about beats the exchange too (11.5/12 and you don't pay commission).  Likely to get a decent sweat on it too.

N.B. Free Bet tokens valid for First Goalscorer and ANYTIME Correct Score markets only.
The latter is a market that seems to be unique to Betfair Sportsbook, it's not the traditional Correct Score mkt.
Brazil 2-1 is currently 24/5 on this. Reckon FGS the way to go for these tokens, not least as it's remarkably difficult to find the Anytime Correct Score mkt!
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« Reply #79799 on: June 12, 2014, 01:59:14 PM »

Free Bet tokens valid for First Goalscorer and ANYTIME Correct Score markets only.

ten minutes trying to establish this with support

five minutes trying to find it

£5 spent first on 2-1 and wondering why it wasn't a free bet


each token is valid 48 hours before each group game

so

deep breath

a first scorer for tonight, has to be better value than anytime correct score


i am going to do Paulinho, just for old times sake, 10/1...and then cross this off the to do list.

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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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