Tips for Tikay

[Mark_Porter]

That was great fun.

Can we do it again tomorrow?

http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/fishomania/fishomania-international/winner

[McGlashan]

We've had a great run....

Nice one Matt. Which one of our guys got 3rd?

[TightEnd]

Andy Wright

[McGlashan]

In tonight's boxing the Anthony Joshua vs Matt Skelton bout looks of interest.

Last time the bookies got caught out by a twitter mass gamble on AJ to win by round 1 KO against a mediocre opponent. This time he's facing a better opponent and they opened up round 1 KO on the short side at 5/6 which is now on the drift after some 2.28/2.3 being traded on Betfair. Current Ladbrokes prices on rounds 2 and 3 beat the to lay prices on Betfair.

The fight should be similar in style to Skelton vs another big man in David Price who Skelton smothered for the 1st round before getting exposed and KO'd in the 2nd round.

Rec we dutch £10.5 on AJ round 2 KO @6-1 and £15 on AJ grouped rounds 3&4 @4-1 with (both with Ladbrokes). We're staking £25.50 for a profit of £27.

[tikay]

Andy Wright

Thought it was Andy Power?

[Tal]

Greyhound Derby finalist Mind The Net runs in Dundalk tonight in the International Open:

http://www.racingpost.com/greyhounds/card.sd#resultDay=2014-07-12&raceId=1305314

On paper, looks a tough race to call, but I'm still surprised by the 7/2 price quoted in the racing post. I also can't seem to find a bookie with a market for it (including Spoylesports, given trap five is called Boylesports Hero - a reference to the guy who lurks on Fred?) The only wide runner and, for me, if it nods the first bend, it must have a chance.

Betfair has a market with barely a shiny sixpence in it. If 7/2 or greater is available, would this not warrant a bet?

[Matt.NFFC.]

Andy Wright

Thought it was Andy Power?

It was.....

If you want to do it all again tomorrow......England are boss.  I haven't looked at the price but I guess too short.

[mondatoo]

As I was saying, 0% 

[Bazzaboy]

Alcoba loses

[DropTheHammer]

Alcoba loses

Still, Bet365's 13.0 was way out of line with everyone else, so it was a good spot. Commentators were saying how much he was under-rated and that the match-up was '50/50'.

Plus you could have laid back Alcoba during the fight at 6.0 for a freeroll   ;-)

[exstream]

It's time for Tips for Tikays first venture into E-sports.

Bet365>Specials>World>E-sports LOL.

12/07 - Counter Logic Gaming vs Team SoloMid.
Back Counter Logic Gaming at 10/11. Best team in North America but Team SoloMid are huge fav favourites. Team SoloMid are still gelling as a team. Counter Logic are also on red side and have first choice of champion.
£20 should be fine.

1.971 on Pinnacle.
Pinnacle>Esports>League of Legends>Championship Series.

Coming up next, CLG vs TSM.
http://na.lolesports.com/#lang=english-provider=youtube

[McGlashan]

It's time for Tips for Tikays first venture into E-sports.

Bet365>Specials>World>E-sports LOL.

12/07 - Counter Logic Gaming vs Team SoloMid.
Back Counter Logic Gaming at 10/11. Best team in North America but Team SoloMid are huge fav favourites. Team SoloMid are still gelling as a team. Counter Logic are also on red side and have first choice of champion.
£20 should be fine.

1.971 on Pinnacle.
Pinnacle>Esports>League of Legends>Championship Series.

Coming up next, CLG vs TSM.
http://na.lolesports.com/#lang=english-provider=youtube

Good luck, I missed this first time round. Tikay doesn't have a Pinny account but plenty of people in the thread will.

[exstream]

Well this is going terribly.

Going great now.

[exstream]

It's time for Tips for Tikays first venture into E-sports.

Bet365>Specials>World>E-sports LOL.

12/07 - Counter Logic Gaming vs Team SoloMid.
Back Counter Logic Gaming at 10/11. Best team in North America but Team SoloMid are huge fav favourites. Team SoloMid are still gelling as a team. Counter Logic are also on red side and have first choice of champion.
£20 should be fine.

1.971 on Pinnacle.
Pinnacle>Esports>League of Legends>Championship Series.

Coming up next, CLG vs TSM.
http://na.lolesports.com/#lang=english-provider=youtube

Easy peasy.

[tikay]

Doobs   Bet365                   Jul-2014   Golf   The Open   Jordan Speith   100/1   0.3            
doobs   betfair sportsbook   20-Jul    golf   the open   mcdowell   28/1   30   £15 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8
doobs   betfair sportsbook   20-Jul    golf   the open   kaymer   20/1   30   £15 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8
bigadz   betfair sportsbook   20-Jul    golf   the open   ilonen   80/1   30   £15 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8

I would like to see an analysis of what you need to play Hoylake well, who fits on their 2014 stats, any course form etc etc in addition to bets, mainly, on offer attractiveness/price relative to betfair

to give a range of "types of bets" for next week, in addition to sub-market stuff that might come on top player from a region, who will win a three ball, top senior etc etc that are always good to find

Here is a breakdown of who has played "well" in the last 9 opens.  The criteria for "played well" is that

more than 50% of their rounds have been

at least 2 strokes better than average in the first two rounds or
at least 1 stroke better than average in the last two rounds

Player   Rounds   "Good Rounds"   %
Dustin Johnson   18   12   0.67
Ernie Els           32   21   0.66
Tiger Woods    26   17   0.65
Rickie Fowler    14   9   0.64
Gary Woodland   8   5   0.63
Adam Scott           34   20   0.59
Steve Stricker   24   14   0.58
Jim Furyk           30   17   0.57
Nick Watney   20   11   0.55
Darren Clarke   26   14   0.54
Phil Mickelson   28   15   0.54
Lee Westwood   32   17   0.53
Sergio Garcia   34   18   0.53
Brandt Snedeker    14   7   0.50
Chris Wood           14   7   0.50
Freddie Jacobson   24   12   0.50
George Coetzee   10   5   0.50
Hunter Mahan   26   13   0.50
Ian Poulter           30   15   0.50
Justin Rose           22   11   0.50
Louis Oosthuizen   16   8   0.50
Luke Donald           28   14   0.50
Martin Kaymer   22   11   0.50
Miguel Jimenez   34   17   0.50
Ryan Moore           14   7   0.50
Shane Lowry   8   4   0.50

Obviously just one aspect but at least something to discuss....

Great work, that gives us some pointers, thank you.