Tips for Tikay

[Nico29]

oioi horsey anytime weighed in

#legend

[horseplayer]

Not sure it would be possible but would be a gem for a mid table Premiership side to take on loan

Liked the way he kept asking for the ball even when 1-0 down very simple passer plenty of energy and a lovely finish

Lot to like for an 18 year old

[horseplayer]

Shame Big Nic showed lots of silky skill down the left wing for the assist for the winner!

[Nico29]

Anyone doing any ew fgs bets in germany game?

Thought about muller etc but was bit shocked to compare the place to bf and not see huge diff from the 11-10 the place would get you.

Seems a lot of goals expected so can't see why it would be a bad ew bet.

Better check teams.

[Ironside]

Sadly, Bennett got the first TD in Chicago. EJ Manuel just scored to pull it level. Miami tied 7-7 early on.


If anyone thinks online poker can leave you feeling like throwing your laptop out the window and kicking your mug of tea into the telly, I'd suggest trying Fantasy Football.

i left manuel on my bench how you think i feel?

[Doobs]

Hi Guys, Maths quesxtion if you dont mind, probably been explained earlier in the thread so apologies if thats the case

If a selection is 2.5 on BF to come top 5 in a specific event (eg golf) and you want to work out the price for same selection to come top 3 in same event, is it as simple as doing the following

2.5 / 5 = 0.5
2.5 + 0.5 = 3
3 / 4 = 0.75
3 + 0.75 = 3.75

Thanks in advance

You can sometimes go 5/3 x2.5 and get 4.17, which is just over 3/1.

This isn't one of those occasions as you have a leader who is well clear and 4/5 or similar on Betfair.  He takes up more than enough of the first place market to make the calculation really bad.  Barring Horshel everybody else is more likely to be 4th or 5th than 1st, so the simple maths falls apart.

Cheers,  I was more intetrested in the calculation rather than anything else... I can see why the maths is skewed in your example though so thanks explaining that.

What do you think of the following as bets in the Euro Golf both with VC 3 who are 1/4 odds first

Richie Ramsay @ 16/1
David Lipsky @ 16/1

It's effectively a 12 runnner race (discounting anyone -9 or worse) and 4 of those at -10 which makes them big outsiders obviously.  So not a stretch to call this 8 runner race, with 3 books paying 1/4 odds, seems decent.  The Leader is -16 but is ranked 500+ in the world, does have a tour win to his name but that qas 7 years ago.  -15 seems a more realistic leading score as it stands.  They all have their chances obviously but the 2 I'm suggesting are 6/4 for top 5 so as above come out at ~3/1 for top 3.  Win prices are equal or slightly worse on BF.  Ramsay in particular looks a good bet with his previous win at the course, and has shown he can go low with his -8 on day1.  Dont know too much about Lipski, he's yet to win, but has been playing well based on his results and is consistent so no reason he cant hit the frame as is only a couple off the lead

That betfair place market is too weak to read anything from it.  You ideal want quite a lot of money matched and a small gap between buy and sell.  You could just go 17/3 to get roughly the correct place odds for 3 places. It isn't perfect but is better than relying on that place market.  Lipsky is a straight arb at 16/1 win only vs Betfair.

I can't help you much more.

Lipsky wins!

[horseplayer]

Click to see full-size image.

Dont think there is a bet there prices seems about right and there probably wont be quite enough goals (according to market) to justify to many bets imo

Germany playing Rudy at right back shows how few right backs they have now lahm has gone. Rudy is a centre midfielder and not particularly special, doubt Scotland will get to many chances to but they must attack down that side if they can

[Nico29]

May just have a bet on win markets and place markets on bf as I expected shorter on there.

Def not worth going fixed odds now as give up way too much on win and place isn't value compared to machine.

Ty for input Horsey appreciate it.

[horseplayer]

If i had to have one bet on this set of fixtures it would be Miliki at 7/2 for Poland

Starting striker for a side shorter than 1/10 that looks a fair each way price, but obviously bad for accounts

[Kmac84]

Looks like a pretty slow Scotland backline.  I can see the Germans scoring a few if in the mood for it.   Although one thing WGS does is set his teams up properly, early goal for the Germans they score a few no early goal its got the makings of an under 2.5 goals.  

[Chompy]

How much did we have on Poshies top six?

[Dubai]

Chompy/Fred- can have some of mine. I had a chunk earlier when it was posted

[TightEnd]

How much did we have on Poshies top six?

Nothing. The Coral account has less than £125 in, so unless tikay wants to fund it (and he hasn't said either way), am relying on Dubai

[Dubai]

How much Fred want? £300 for a Chompy double max?

[TightEnd]

Yes please, booked. Been nice knowing you all, will be sacked in the morning.