Tips for Tikay

[Chompy]

Yup, in we go on Fulham top six please. 6/1, or 11/2 is out of line with the promotion price (12/1) and the price to win (40/1). Betway are 6/1 if they're any good?

It's been done at shorter on 'the exchanges'.

November doesn't look especially tough, with Wigan (A), Blackpool (H), Hudds (H), Brentford (A) and Brighton (A), all five being in the bottom half.

Flick in a thirth ta.

[Tonji]

ty Tighty, good to see some Winter Sport on Fred (at least from my point of view).

For the fan(s), Men's GS 2nd run on Eurosport @ 11.30. Ligety, Hirscher & Pinturault battling it out.

[tikay]

Yup, in we go on Fulham top six please. 6/1, or 11/2 is out of line with the promotion price (12/1) and the price to win (40/1). Betway are 6/1 if they're any good?

It's been done at shorter on 'the exchanges'.

November doesn't look especially tough, with Wigan (A), Blackpool (H), Hudds (H), Brentford (A) and Brighton (A), all five being in the bottom half.

Flick in a thirth ta.

FFS.

[BorntoBubble]

So Jaffacake now writes basketball tips for Betting Emporium.  

Losing the contributions of many who posted on here regularly.  Perhaps the Fred title should be changed from Tips For Tikay to Trial for BE or TFT to Tips from Hector.

Like myself, he's a big lad, but he's still only one person, and I don't think he has been banned from Fred

Tighty writes for BE, and he hasn't gone anywhere.

Joe and Neil own BE, and they both contribute to Fred.

Any overreactions about?

Regarding this issue;
You know that free thing where people used to tell how to make money without me having to do anything?
Except reading. I have to read the stuff. Then, I have to go and put the bets on. Myself. They don't even help me with that.
I don't like reading through explanations and stuff and I would prefer if somebody else could place the bets for me. Actually, ideally it would probably be best if those people just mailed me cheques on the regular, without me having to do anything.
Yeah well, that free thing isn't as good as it used to be. And I for one, am outraged.

Bad jokes aside, this thread has been awesome. And even if it ended tomorrow, it's still been great. A lot of us had made a few quid from the tips. But most importantly, we have learnt how top gamblers think and how they approach betting. We can't be spoonfed for ever.

I'm not suggesting that we should be spoonfed, and I agree we have all learnt or should have learnt a great deal more than when Fred first starter.  I wasn't here at the beginning but I have read almost every post and I have been here for a good while now and I feel it's not the fred it once was and I would like it to continue.  Its probably the first thing I check when I come online.  

I mean I hates the maths bets I really did, it wasn't fun but I actually miss them being stuck up.  Its like we all used to be one family and now its fragmented.  

I was not aware they had stopped as such - but I was aware that those who put them up got a whoile load of grief & abuse. So maybe they cba to take all that any more.

I have to say I sometimes CBA to put them up now as I've had grief with the last few.

Things that are obvious to a few are not obvious to many.

The ways in which to use free bets/ ways to make the most money out of offers I've learnt from here so feels good to give back.

I'm not sure I could tip up 20/1 winners each week like hector - which are admittedly more fun. But maths type stuff that others may not see I like to put up as I know sometimes I miss them and people make me aware of them here.

I love feed but hate the jibs/ criticism that comes sometimes on the thread.

One thing I would like back is the tipsters tab on the spredy. Some people on here I will literally stop everything I'm doing if I see them post and make sure I get on. But I don't want to be missing these guys cause I'm not 100% sure if they are "follow blind people"

If Tal gets upset cause he is at tr bottom, well maybe he should leave us in peace! In Vegas he made me do my conkers to often!

I'm sure you're joking and I don't need to defend myself, but, having met me twice in June, you'll have realised this post was going to make me respond

Sample sizes are too small to be certain on the balance sheets alone who the "best" tipsters are. You don't stake someone based on 50 MTTs...

There are some who you can tell by their posts alone are backable blind, but I like the idea that the tipster stats are hidden (encourages tipping and discussion, after all). You get to make your own mind up about whether you follow and, if so, how much you wager.

I'll never claim to be anywhere near those at the top, but that's never been why I post ITT. Without checking, I'd estimate 90% of the recommends I have put up here have been in question form: I explain my reasoning and ask for advice. Bothers me not if it gets picked up and, who knows, someone with specialist knowledge might say "actually, X is injured" or "that's definitely in the price because..." and I get to learn something.

Take my recent spate of NFL posts this season. I've got back into the sport the last three years and, through fantasy leagues and other bits and bobs, I've built up a knowledge and access to resources for stats and news. It's given me a perspective on a new sport and one which has fifty markets a game (x16 games a week and it's ideal for betting).

There are a handful of chaps ITT who have outstanding knowledge of this sport and it would frankly be mad not to invite their thoughts on anything I'm considering having a play on. I'll have done my research, drawn my own conclusions but am not so arrogant as to assume I can't learn from mistakes. Once in a while, these tips get picked up by Fred and it's good to have that validation.

I wasn't around much last week, but logged in on Monday night to post a thought I'd had about the overnight game. I didn't read Tighty's amazing post beforehand, even when I came back online the next morning to post the results of my recommends. I did the other day when I caught up on what I'd missed. What a truly incredible piece of writing and explanation for a lolrecpunter like me to read and receive, gratis!

I've no doubt there's a big difference in the ROI of every bet I've posted and the bets I've posted that have been accepted by Fred. It's an excellent and effective filter system. It's undoubtedly helped my P&L because if someone says "I really like this", I'm likely to have a little more on. I'm only a lolrecpunter anyway. It's disposable income stuff and will never be anything more.

I reckon if you were to unlock the mysterious Tipster Tab, you'd see that I've done pretty well on the bets Fred has placed because of something I've posted. Backing me blind is stupid, but no one is doing that.

I think sometimes people lose sight that it's a bit of fun. Tikay (Fred's sponsor) is only betting money he's prepared to lose and, these days, it's mostly tenners and twenties because of restrictions. 4k of on going bets is worth at least 4k in equity and we're however many thousand posts in and showing a little bit of profit.

I don't care how Fred makes his money, personally, but I would prefer it if it were over a wide spread of methods: a wide range of sports, some novelty markets, some maths bets, some fun "flickins", a Banzai or two. Everything in moderation.

I've always thought, as long as it wasn't an exercise in urinating money into a force eight gale, the main objective was a bit of fun and inviting as many people who wanted to embrace that to join in, meet the online versions of new people and enjoy the craic. If this thread ended up like some of the threads in The Lounge over the last few months, I'd happily leave and never come back. If it isn't fun, it isn't worth my time.

It's still fun, though. No better place to be.

ha was only joking and used your name as i thought you would take tongue in cheek especially after your recent successes!

Sorry to make you post a long post explaining yourself i will post a smiley face afterwords

[TightEnd]

Basketball

start of NBA season

Jaffa wrote a preview up yesterday that people have referred to

arbboy is promising one.


Here are our current positions

12-Jul    affacake   williamhill   may-2015   basketball   NBA - Rookie of the Year 2014/15   Nerlens Noel   10/1   40
18-Jul    jaffacake   bwin   may-2015   basketball   NBA Rookie of the year   wiggins   7.0   20
18-Jul    arbboy   bwin   may-2015   basketball   NBA Rookie of the year   parker   3.0   40
7-Aug jaffacake   bwin   may-2015   basketball   nba rookie of the year   wiggins   7.0   80
7-Aug arbboy   williamhill   may-2015   basketball   nba championship   cavaliers   9/2   50


presumably some conference, outright etc bets might not go amiss?

[BorntoBubble]

Yuh, had taken my eye off the Luton bet. Back in deece shape that one.

Very interested in Fulham top six now. The 6-1 and 13-2 (not yet available on 635 site) are too big, as is BMU's 11-2.

If anyone can get on with Scuy, suggest they snap up the 6-1 now.

you would like to do this?

i could get 11/2

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/top-6-finish

here is the Championship current form table

Would be very unlucky not to win the Symons bet

Click to see full-size image.

if you want me to get on with bet £3.65 i can just let me know how much then remind me at the end of the year to settle up as I will forget!

[TightEnd]

Yup, in we go on Fulham top six please. 6/1, or 11/2 is out of line with the promotion price (12/1) and the price to win (40/1). Betway are 6/1 if they're any good?

It's been done at shorter on 'the exchanges'.

November doesn't look especially tough, with Wigan (A), Blackpool (H), Hudds (H), Brentford (A) and Brighton (A), all five being in the bottom half.

Flick in a thirth ta.

Betnoway, sadly

Top 6 Finish - 2014/15 Fulham (Specials - Specials) Odds: 11/2 Stake: 30.00 Possible Return:  195.00

is on with bV

[Mark_Porter]

Any views on Costa FGS today at 6/1.. void if doesn't play. Seems good to me.

[arbboy]

Basketball

start of NBA season

Jaffa wrote a preview up yesterday that people have referred to

arbboy is promising one.


Here are our current positions

12-Jul    affacake   williamhill   may-2015   basketball   NBA - Rookie of the Year 2014/15   Nerlens Noel   10/1   40
18-Jul    jaffacake   bwin   may-2015   basketball   NBA Rookie of the year   wiggins   7.0   20
18-Jul    arbboy   bwin   may-2015   basketball   NBA Rookie of the year   parker   3.0   40
7-Aug jaffacake   bwin   may-2015   basketball   nba rookie of the year   wiggins   7.0   80
7-Aug arbboy   williamhill   may-2015   basketball   nba championship   cavaliers   9/2   50


presumably some conference, outright etc bets might not go amiss?

I will do the write up tonight once the tv dogs is finished and the nfl is all off and running.  Should be around 11pm.  There will be plenty of stuff to smash into.

[Tal]

No problem, Mr Bubble. I had assumed it was in good spirits, but never hurts to confirm I know my place.



Now lessgerritawn...

[Tal]

Apparently, this was on the Atlanta Falcons's website in the week, although it has been edited after feedback. Can't imagine why...

[horseplayer]

So impressed with Bournemouth at Charlton I went to see them again at home last night.

Serious side

Always said horsey was a good judge......

Ty Ripple

Missed this game and told Rick on football thread thought price was about right

Fred been busy again over saturday

[horseplayer]

Twitter tells me no Calvin Johnson or Reggie Bush in the 1.30pm nfl game

Makes me thing there must be valoooo in something

[KarmaDope]

Golden Tate 10/1 first TD with Lads?

[Tal]

Golden Tate 10/1 first TD with Lads?

Especially as they can't run the ball even with Bush.

What, pray tell, is "Little Mix" and why isn't it better?