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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16404322 times)
Tal
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« Reply #92100 on: December 13, 2014, 11:27:26 AM »

Corals a no-go, Tighty? Tens this morning.

eight's now

the anti-tal trader algorithm was employed at corals at 9.01am.

In frenzied scenes in Ilford the cry went up from the head of trading

"Sequins! Sequins! He's out of bed, he's posted.

Pull up the drawbridge, batten down the hatches, warn the chief executive and whatever you do don't stay at tens"

Rightly so.

I was looking for a picture of the advert with the blonde lady in. Turns out her name is Carly Baker and it must be very warm in her house. Never seems to need a jacket. You'll have to do without, then.

And yes, Flounce FM will be blasting through the airwaves if that happens. I wasn't happy about Abby last year. This would be a veritable farce.
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« Reply #92101 on: December 13, 2014, 11:35:06 AM »

football

a busy day

a run through of where our ante-post positions are today

Burnley V Southampton. After 3 successive losses, Burnley can make it 4 for our relegation anti-heroes

Crystal Palace V Stoke  Two of our positions play each other

Leicester V Man City  Sob

Sunderland V West Ham  thought west ham were a big price at 6/4 ish here

West Brom V Aston Villa we are cheering on villa
   
Arsenal V Newcastle  Wenger even has The Camel on his case now. the end must be nigh

--

Leeds V Fulham  our top six bet visit the land of a thousand managers

Watford V Wigan wigan are struggling, watford returned to form last week

--

Doncaster V Gillingham
   
Leyton Orient V Peterborough

all eyes on the doncaster/peterborough match bet which has closed up dramatically with the fenmen in terrible form

--

Newport V Stevenage  newport can go 5th with a win

--

Cowdenbeath V Hearts  Rangers lost last night, this is our best placed ante-post position by far

--

whitstable town v guernsey. some form would be handy on the north coast of kent




any football fancies today, pop them up please

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« Reply #92102 on: December 13, 2014, 11:52:38 AM »

I really like Dundee today down at Hamilton.  Dundee after a decent start and then a run of inconsistency have been playing well of late and scoring goals - even in defeat - they weren't too bad against Celtic and in their recent run of good form the only other team to have beat them is Inverness who have aguably been the best team in the SPL this season.  Certainly the most improved. 

Dundee shouldn't be as big as 5/2 today.  £20 with VC seems reasonable if they will allow it. 

The other team I really was going to rec this weekend was Motherwell, but we have missed that boat, they were as big as 19/10 earlier in the week but are now a best priced 13/10.  Meh. 

I also wouldn't put anyone betting BTTS in the New-Firm Derby at Tannadice the 8/11 available with Ladbrokes represents a bet unless of course you can get on with Unibet who's 3/4 looks massive to me.   I'd expect this to be up before half time and not even providing us with a sweat.   
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« Reply #92103 on: December 13, 2014, 12:00:13 PM »

X Factor market got lively this morning

Ben now clear fav on the machine voting leak apparantley

http://forums.digitalspy.co.uk/showthread.php?t=2032343

She was ahead on every poll I saw, the video had been watched by a million and a half, and was number 1 on iTunes with Ben at 50 odd.   Just seems really odd that the same people who part with real cash to buy the tunes were busy using freebies to back Ben.  We'll find out soon, as they tend to release the figures after the event, this feels like those voting figures can't be right, and I have laid some more Ben.   Seems you could make fortunes if you got a story like that in print.  All just speculation though and wouldn't like to go crazy on my hunch. 

I still win if Ben wins, but less than I did half an hour ago.

Don't think we need to do much, I'd have taken a 6/4 chance for the final 10 weeks ago.  Just got to sit it out. 
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« Reply #92104 on: December 13, 2014, 12:19:17 PM »

Warriors @ Mavericks tonight at 7pm UK time on ESPN if anyone is interested in watching a really good matchup of two of the better teams in the NBA, should be a high scoring affair.
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« Reply #92105 on: December 13, 2014, 12:28:14 PM »

Susanna was odds on favourite to win strictly after leaked voting figures showed her getting double the votes of her nearest rival.

http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/entertainment/tv-radio/revealed-susanna-reid-favourite-win-2947525



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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #92106 on: December 13, 2014, 12:35:53 PM »

I really like Dundee today down at Hamilton.  Dundee after a decent start and then a run of inconsistency have been playing well of late and scoring goals - even in defeat - they weren't too bad against Celtic and in their recent run of good form the only other team to have beat them is Inverness who have aguably been the best team in the SPL this season.  Certainly the most improved. 

Dundee shouldn't be as big as 5/2 today.  £20 with VC seems reasonable if they will allow it. 

The other team I really was going to rec this weekend was Motherwell, but we have missed that boat, they were as big as 19/10 earlier in the week but are now a best priced 13/10.  Meh. 

I also wouldn't put anyone betting BTTS in the New-Firm Derby at Tannadice the 8/11 available with Ladbrokes represents a bet unless of course you can get on with Unibet who's 3/4 looks massive to me.   I'd expect this to be up before half time and not even providing us with a sweat.   

 Hamilton v Dundee Dundee (Match Betting - 90 Mins) Odds: 5/2 Stake: 20.00 Possible Return:  70.00

go on the crocodiles!


Selection
8/11 - Yes

Event
Dundee United V Aberdeen Scottish

Market
Both Teams to Score

 
Your bets (1)
 
Single - Yes

1 line at £33.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £33.00
Potential Return: £57.00
Time: 13/12/14 12:05
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000797



quiz time. what is the connection between blondepoker and Hamilton Accies? (tikay is disqualified from answering)
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« Reply #92107 on: December 13, 2014, 12:40:27 PM »

I am not sure if 8/1 is value for Jake tonight on the strictly elimination.  There is a big old gap between 10/1 and 8/1 and it was only recced at small stakes.  I really do think the value is Mark the more I think about it.  

I know we lost last week, but the Mark 2/5 made everybody else look big.  Mark seems to be 8/11 off the back of last week's survive.  He is right down there with Simon popularity wise.  Though I wouldn't put much on Simon to beat Pixie in a dance off that doesn't mean Mark can beat anyone.  

Swift 55 at 8/11 seems good to me.  
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« Reply #92108 on: December 13, 2014, 12:42:12 PM »

X Factor market got lively this morning

Ben now clear fav on the machine voting leak apparantley

ah yes the daily star, bastion of truth

http://t.co/3No6UBWuKh
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« Reply #92109 on: December 13, 2014, 12:45:05 PM »

I am not sure if 8/1 is value for Jake tonight on the strictly elimination.  There is a big old gap between 10/1 and 8/1 and it was only recced at small stakes.  I really do think the value is Mark the more I think about it. 

I know we lost last week, but the Mark 2/5 made everybody else look big.  Mark seems to be 8/11 off the back of last week's survive.  He is right down there with Simon popularity wise.  Though I wouldn't put much on Simon to beat Pixie in a dance off that doesn't mean Mark can beat anyone. 

Swift 55 at 8/11 seems good to me. 

we got £55 on an SCD market

£55.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Strictly Come Dancing 2014
Strictly Come Dancing 2014 11th Elimination
   Mark Wright    8/11    
Total stake   £ 55.00
Estimated return   £ 95.00
Full stake   £ 55.00
Full estimated return   £ 95.00

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« Reply #92110 on: December 13, 2014, 12:47:31 PM »

Shocked and surprised to see a market for the race of champions this weekend!

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/race-of-champions/winner

Recommend min bets on Wehrlein (33/1) and Palmer (40/1). Both consistently quick drivers who could well spring a surprise, those prices are too high - take advantage!

Jolyon, Jonathan Palmers boy, is certainly better than his dad. Surely has the right connections to land a F1 drive in the future.

He shined in GP2 this season. Has got strong F1 connections, but not the biggest budget. I expect him to land a reserve driver role next year - potentially at Force India. It is possible that he could land a race driver role at Caterham if he finds a sponsor and they find a buyer ..

Shocked and surprised to see a market for the race of champions this weekend!

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/race-of-champions/winner

Recommend min bets on Wehrlein (33/1) and Palmer (40/1). Both consistently quick drivers who could well spring a surprise, those prices are too high - take advantage!

 Race of Champions 2014 Pascal Wehrlein (Winner - Race) Odds: 33/1 Stake: 5.00 Possible Return:  170.00

Palmer has been cut to 20-1, only BV making prices, i left it at the lower price

Hmmm, Palmer at 20/1 is about right to be fair. Maybe he should be a tad lower, but it would be thin value at best. Even so, it's not the worst shout for a £5 bet. I'll leave it up to your discretion :-)

Punta del Este ePrix tomorrow!

I have two bet suggestions:

Race Winner: Bruno Senna @ 25/1 with Bet Victor. He has been very quick in every Formula E session where he has not had a problem of some sort. If he has a trouble free weekend, he will be up there. 25/1 is way too high - should be more like 12/1. Not sure how much to suggest, I'll leave that up to you.

Race Winner: Jean Eric-Vergne @ 25/1 with Bet Victor. A bit of an unknown given that it's his first race in the series - but his years in F1 should stand him in good stead. Jean-Eric is a quick driver and 25/1 is too high. Suggest a min bet.




its a street circuit, monte carlo like?

whats the chances of anyone actually moving through the field?

i might have landed on this at the wrong time. qualfiying perhaps?

anyway jev does not appear to be quoted at https://www.betfair.com/sport/motor-sport


Punta Del Este Eprix

    25/1
    £5
    £130.00
    Bruno Senna
    Winner

    Bet Ref: O/0140260/0000109

 
perhaps if you see this you can advise further

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-e/punta-del-este-eprix/winner


All circuits in FE are street circuits, but this one is particularly narrow - if that's what you meant. It does make overtaking difficult, but in a same-make formula drivers usually manage to find a way through. It's only really F1 where drivers struggle to overtake due to the large distribution of turbulent air coming off the rear of the cars.

Jean-Eric is 20/1 with Bet365 - still worth it. Put it on as soon as you can, I don't expect prices to fluctuate much as practice progresses due to the lack of interest in the series (don't forget it's still a new and relatively obscure championship).
« Last Edit: December 13, 2014, 12:51:02 PM by Peter-27 » Logged

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« Reply #92111 on: December 13, 2014, 12:50:39 PM »

bet365 would lay me £0.10 on jev at 20-1. can't be too careful


practice 1 results were as follows


    Nicolas Prost, e.dams-Renault, 1:16.696s
    Jerome d’Ambrosio, Dragon Racing, 1:16.828s
    Daniel Abt, Audi Sport ABT, 1:16.959s
    Sebastien Buemi, e.dams-Renault, 1:17.192s
    Stephane Sarrazin, Venturi, 1:17.222s
    Jean-Eric Vergne, Andretti, 1:17.395s
    Jarno Trulli, Trulli, 1:17.581s
    Bruno Senna, Mahindra Racing, 1:17.628s
    Matthew Brabham, Andretti, 1:17.675s
    Karun Chandhok, Mahindra Racing, 1:17.999s
    Oriol Servia, Dragon Racing, 1:18.013s
    Antonio Felix da Costa, Amlin Aguri, 1:18.275s
    Nick Heidfeld, Venturi, 1:18.319s
    Antonio Garcia, China Racing, 1:18.504s
    Nelson Piquet, China Racing, 1:18.713s
    Lucas di Grassi, Audi Sport ABT, 1:19.058s
    Sam Bird, Virgin Racing, 1:19.611s
    Jaime Alguersuari, Virgin Racing, 1:19.791s
    Michela Cerruti, Trulli, 1:20.358s
    Salvador Duran, Amlin Aguri, 1:22.751s



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« Reply #92112 on: December 13, 2014, 12:53:03 PM »

good start to the day

Patrick Bamford opens the scoring at the Riverside

catching up with eladbitter

may-2015   football   top middlesborough scorer   bamford   6/1   25
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« Reply #92113 on: December 13, 2014, 12:54:10 PM »

bet365 would lay me £0.10 on jev at 20-1. can't be too careful


practice 1 results were as follows


    Nicolas Prost, e.dams-Renault, 1:16.696s
    Jerome d’Ambrosio, Dragon Racing, 1:16.828s
    Daniel Abt, Audi Sport ABT, 1:16.959s
    Sebastien Buemi, e.dams-Renault, 1:17.192s
    Stephane Sarrazin, Venturi, 1:17.222s
    Jean-Eric Vergne, Andretti, 1:17.395s
    Jarno Trulli, Trulli, 1:17.581s
    Bruno Senna, Mahindra Racing, 1:17.628s
    Matthew Brabham, Andretti, 1:17.675s
    Karun Chandhok, Mahindra Racing, 1:17.999s
    Oriol Servia, Dragon Racing, 1:18.013s
    Antonio Felix da Costa, Amlin Aguri, 1:18.275s
    Nick Heidfeld, Venturi, 1:18.319s
    Antonio Garcia, China Racing, 1:18.504s
    Nelson Piquet, China Racing, 1:18.713s
    Lucas di Grassi, Audi Sport ABT, 1:19.058s
    Sam Bird, Virgin Racing, 1:19.611s
    Jaime Alguersuari, Virgin Racing, 1:19.791s
    Michela Cerruti, Trulli, 1:20.358s
    Salvador Duran, Amlin Aguri, 1:22.751s





Take these results with a pinch of salt. This is a new championship and we're seeing very different approaches in practice from the drivers. The first two race weekends have seen numerous drivers do either considerably better or far worse than they managed in practice and you can clearly see it in that session with the lap times that the two Virgin drivers managed for instance.
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« Reply #92114 on: December 13, 2014, 12:55:26 PM »

I really like Dundee today down at Hamilton.  Dundee after a decent start and then a run of inconsistency have been playing well of late and scoring goals - even in defeat - they weren't too bad against Celtic and in their recent run of good form the only other team to have beat them is Inverness who have aguably been the best team in the SPL this season.  Certainly the most improved. 

Dundee shouldn't be as big as 5/2 today.  £20 with VC seems reasonable if they will allow it. 

The other team I really was going to rec this weekend was Motherwell, but we have missed that boat, they were as big as 19/10 earlier in the week but are now a best priced 13/10.  Meh. 

I also wouldn't put anyone betting BTTS in the New-Firm Derby at Tannadice the 8/11 available with Ladbrokes represents a bet unless of course you can get on with Unibet who's 3/4 looks massive to me.   I'd expect this to be up before half time and not even providing us with a sweat.   

 Hamilton v Dundee Dundee (Match Betting - 90 Mins) Odds: 5/2 Stake: 20.00 Possible Return:  70.00

go on the crocodiles!


Selection
8/11 - Yes

Event
Dundee United V Aberdeen Scottish

Market
Both Teams to Score

 
Your bets (1)
 
Single - Yes

1 line at £33.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £33.00
Potential Return: £57.00
Time: 13/12/14 12:05
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000797



quiz time. what is the connection between blondepoker and Hamilton Accies? (tikay is disqualified from answering)

Oh my, a story or two there. Think I could almost write a book on the events surrounding that matter.

PS - nice bracelet, Maria. And that's another story to add to the list.....




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