Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

X Factor market got lively this morning

Ben now clear fav on the machine voting leak apparantley

ah yes the daily star, bastion of truth

http://t.co/3No6UBWuKh

The fact betfair backed up the story with real money is good enough for me

not got involved anyway

[Tal]

I am not sure if 8/1 is value for Jake tonight on the strictly elimination.  There is a big old gap between 10/1 and 8/1 and it was only recced at small stakes.  I really do think the value is Mark the more I think about it. 

I know we lost last week, but the Mark 2/5 made everybody else look big.  Mark seems to be 8/11 off the back of last week's survive.  He is right down there with Simon popularity wise.  Though I wouldn't put much on Simon to beat Pixie in a dance off that doesn't mean Mark can beat anyone. 

Swift 55 at 8/11 seems good to me. 

we got £55 on an SCD market

£55.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Strictly Come Dancing 2014
Strictly Come Dancing 2014 11th Elimination
   Mark Wright    8/11    
Total stake   £ 55.00
Estimated return   £ 95.00
Full stake   £ 55.00
Full estimated return   £ 95.00

I agree with doobs to an extent. £55? Is it that wrong?!

Never that enamoured punting on favourites in side markets with big overrounds, but he'll probably go this weekend anyway.

As for Susanna, the bigger problem was it came out that she was deeply unpopular with the other people in the show.

[swinebag22]

meanwhile, at Cheltenham the highlight is the december gold cup

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/cheltenham/14:00/winner

no ifs, no buts......recommendations welcome

No opinions on the big race but the International hurdle has a decent Possible EW angle. It is an 8 horse race but seems to have a load that we can put a line through that lack the  class.

The 2 market leaders will probably make the frame. If there are no late withdrawals then I would recommend an EW punt on Zamdy Man. He was second to The New one LTO and ran creditably.  He is 12/1 (1/4 odds 3 places) at £3.65 and Okcorals.

I have had £20ew,(I have to go out soon and am hoping it stays at though would prefer some other expert opinions before Fred dives in.

[Tonji]

I really like Dundee today down at Hamilton.  Dundee after a decent start and then a run of inconsistency have been playing well of late and scoring goals - even in defeat - they weren't too bad against Celtic and in their recent run of good form the only other team to have beat them is Inverness who have aguably been the best team in the SPL this season.  Certainly the most improved. 

Dundee shouldn't be as big as 5/2 today.  £20 with VC seems reasonable if they will allow it. 

The other team I really was going to rec this weekend was Motherwell, but we have missed that boat, they were as big as 19/10 earlier in the week but are now a best priced 13/10.  Meh. 

I also wouldn't put anyone betting BTTS in the New-Firm Derby at Tannadice the 8/11 available with Ladbrokes represents a bet unless of course you can get on with Unibet who's 3/4 looks massive to me.   I'd expect this to be up before half time and not even providing us with a sweat.   

 Hamilton v Dundee Dundee (Match Betting - 90 Mins) Odds: 5/2 Stake: 20.00 Possible Return:  70.00

go on the crocodiles!


Selection
8/11 - Yes

Event
Dundee United V Aberdeen Scottish

Market
Both Teams to Score

 
Your bets (1)
 
Single - Yes

1 line at £33.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £33.00
Potential Return: £57.00
Time: 13/12/14 12:05
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000797



quiz time. what is the connection between blondepoker and Hamilton Accies? (tikay is disqualified from answering)

Oh my, a story or two there. Think I could almost write a book on the events surrounding that matter.

PS - nice bracelet, Maria. And that's another story to add to the list.....

Does it have anything to to do with Brian Wilson, aka the Rookie Beach Boys Poker player!

Have vague memories on his involvement with Blonde back in the early days.

Nice tartan Maria!

[Marky147]

X Factor market got lively this morning

Ben now clear fav on the machine voting leak apparantley

http://forums.digitalspy.co.uk/showthread.php?t=2032343

She was ahead on every poll I saw, the video had been watched by a million and a half, and was number 1 on iTunes with Ben at 50 odd.   Just seems really odd that the same people who part with real cash to buy the tunes were busy using freebies to back Ben.  We'll find out soon, as they tend to release the figures after the event, this feels like those voting figures can't be right, and I have laid some more Ben.   Seems you could make fortunes if you got a story like that in print.  All just speculation though and wouldn't like to go crazy on my hunch. 

I still win if Ben wins, but less than I did half an hour ago.

Don't think we need to do much, I'd have taken a 6/4 chance for the final 10 weeks ago.  Just got to sit it out. 

Was weird earlier, when Unibet still had Ben showing @ 5/2, but no market once you got to the site.

10 minutes later, he was up on 888, and I managed to get the dough I had in there on him before they took it down.

Want Fleur obv, but it won't be as painful now, if she gets done on the line.

[icles test]

meanwhile, at Cheltenham the highlight is the december gold cup

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/cheltenham/14:00/winner

no ifs, no buts......recommendations welcome

No opinions on the big race but the International hurdle has a decent Possible EW angle. It is an 8 horse race but seems to have a load that we can put a line through that lack the  class.

The 2 market leaders will probably make the frame. If there are no late withdrawals then I would recommend an EW punt on Zamdy Man. He was second to The New one LTO and ran creditably.  He is 12/1 (1/4 odds 3 places) at £3.65 and Okcorals.

I have had £20ew,(I have to go out soon and am hoping it stays at though would prefer some other expert opinions before Fred dives in.

Mad moose is the concern,will they test his resolve before the start and WD if he doesnt show willing instead of allowing him to refuse. Agree with the angle though and think its entitled to get within a couple of lengths of TNO which is obv gonna be a place. TNO is due paying for his errors aswell.

[Doobs]

I am not sure if 8/1 is value for Jake tonight on the strictly elimination.  There is a big old gap between 10/1 and 8/1 and it was only recced at small stakes.  I really do think the value is Mark the more I think about it. 

I know we lost last week, but the Mark 2/5 made everybody else look big.  Mark seems to be 8/11 off the back of last week's survive.  He is right down there with Simon popularity wise.  Though I wouldn't put much on Simon to beat Pixie in a dance off that doesn't mean Mark can beat anyone. 

Swift 55 at 8/11 seems good to me. 

we got £55 on an SCD market

£55.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Strictly Come Dancing 2014
Strictly Come Dancing 2014 11th Elimination
   Mark Wright    8/11    
Total stake   £ 55.00
Estimated return   £ 95.00
Full stake   £ 55.00
Full estimated return   £ 95.00

I agree with doobs to an extent. £55? Is it that wrong?!

Never that enamoured punting on favourites in side markets with big overrounds, but he'll probably go this weekend anyway.

As for Susanna, the bigger problem was it came out that she was deeply unpopular with the other people in the show.

I'd have put on more if I thought we could have got on. Given it is 2 from 5 and the other 4 are all better than him and he has to do two dances, I don't see how he avoids last.  The public don't really like him and he needs them to put him 2nd, though possibly 3rd from those 5.  Well he can obviously beat Simon, but who else?  Think 1/4 him bottom 2 isn't skinny at all. 

Once he is there, who does he beat.  Maybe Jake?  I dunno, that feels 1/4 if he is there too.  1/4 x 1/4 is about 1/2, so we are getting 8/11 on a 1/2 chance.  Sure it's a lot of value even if the price is skinny. 

I think you are wrong on Susanna, I think she performed in line with her polling in the end, it was only those stories that she was smashing the public vote made her odds on, I don't think it was the polls or her dancing. 

I won't be laying any more on Ben, think £500 is more than enough on the story is likely wrong.   Somebody wants me to lay another £3.5k!  I am hoping it is Jonny Wilkinson man again and not Tony Bloom on the other side. 

[Kmac84]

Some sort of function at New Douglas Park? 

Looking at the pictures up above is that Cincinnati Club?  I haven't played there for years, does it still run?

[Mark_Porter]

Jake Hesketh makes his debut for Saints this afternoon. He will play at the tip of the diamond with Tadic being moved back to the wing.

He is a proper offensive midfielder.

Expect to see Pelle coming deep to hold up and him running in behind a lot.

Coral go 11/2 anytime which is too big. Recc £10.

[booder]

I really like Dundee today down at Hamilton.  Dundee after a decent start and then a run of inconsistency have been playing well of late and scoring goals - even in defeat - they weren't too bad against Celtic and in their recent run of good form the only other team to have beat them is Inverness who have aguably been the best team in the SPL this season.  Certainly the most improved. 

Dundee shouldn't be as big as 5/2 today.  £20 with VC seems reasonable if they will allow it. 

The other team I really was going to rec this weekend was Motherwell, but we have missed that boat, they were as big as 19/10 earlier in the week but are now a best priced 13/10.  Meh. 

I also wouldn't put anyone betting BTTS in the New-Firm Derby at Tannadice the 8/11 available with Ladbrokes represents a bet unless of course you can get on with Unibet who's 3/4 looks massive to me.   I'd expect this to be up before half time and not even providing us with a sweat.   

 Hamilton v Dundee Dundee (Match Betting - 90 Mins) Odds: 5/2 Stake: 20.00 Possible Return:  70.00

go on the crocodiles!


Selection
8/11 - Yes

Event
Dundee United V Aberdeen Scottish

Market
Both Teams to Score

 
Your bets (1)
 
Single - Yes

1 line at £33.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £33.00
Potential Return: £57.00
Time: 13/12/14 12:05
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000797



quiz time. what is the connection between blondepoker and Hamilton Accies? (tikay is disqualified from answering)

Oh my, a story or two there. Think I could almost write a book on the events surrounding that matter.

PS - nice bracelet, Maria. And that's another story to add to the list.....

Nothing to say , just wanted to see Maria in that skirt again.

[BigAdz]

Either a midget or a pervert taking such a low angle shot.

Congrats either way!!

[Newportlad]

I really like Dundee today down at Hamilton.  Dundee after a decent start and then a run of inconsistency have been playing well of late and scoring goals - even in defeat - they weren't too bad against Celtic and in their recent run of good form the only other team to have beat them is Inverness who have aguably been the best team in the SPL this season.  Certainly the most improved. 

Dundee shouldn't be as big as 5/2 today.  £20 with VC seems reasonable if they will allow it. 

The other team I really was going to rec this weekend was Motherwell, but we have missed that boat, they were as big as 19/10 earlier in the week but are now a best priced 13/10.  Meh. 

I also wouldn't put anyone betting BTTS in the New-Firm Derby at Tannadice the 8/11 available with Ladbrokes represents a bet unless of course you can get on with Unibet who's 3/4 looks massive to me.   I'd expect this to be up before half time and not even providing us with a sweat.   

 Hamilton v Dundee Dundee (Match Betting - 90 Mins) Odds: 5/2 Stake: 20.00 Possible Return:  70.00

go on the crocodiles!


Selection
8/11 - Yes

Event
Dundee United V Aberdeen Scottish

Market
Both Teams to Score

 
Your bets (1)
 
Single - Yes

1 line at £33.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £33.00
Potential Return: £57.00
Time: 13/12/14 12:05
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000797



quiz time. what is the connection between blondepoker and Hamilton Accies? (tikay is disqualified from answering)

Oh my, a story or two there. Think I could almost write a book on the events surrounding that matter.

PS - nice bracelet, Maria. And that's another story to add to the list.....

Does it have anything to to do with Brian Wilson, aka the Rookie Beach Boys Poker player!

Have vague memories on his involvement with Blonde back in the early days.

Nice tartan Maria!

I'm pretty sure that the Sunday of the Blonde Bash,. there was a quiz that took place at Hamilton Academicals clubhouse.  No idea why though..

[KingPush]

Punta del Este ePrix tomorrow!

I have two bet suggestions:

Race Winner: Bruno Senna @ 25/1 with Bet Victor. He has been very quick in every Formula E session where he has not had a problem of some sort. If he has a trouble free weekend, he will be up there. 25/1 is way too high - should be more like 12/1. Not sure how much to suggest, I'll leave that up to you.

Race Winner: Jean Eric-Vergne @ 25/1 with Bet Victor. A bit of an unknown given that it's his first race in the series - but his years in F1 should stand him in good stead. Jean-Eric is a quick driver and 25/1 is too high. Suggest a min bet.

http://m.autosport.com/news/report.php/id/117137

[Tal]

6/8/8/8 = 30 for Jake's cha cha. Fair score for a dance that wasn't up to scratch.

A sub-37 dance in his ballroom could be trouble.

[tikay]

6/8/8/8 = 30 for Jake's cha cha. Fair score for a dance that wasn't up to scratch.

A sub-37 dance in his ballroom could be trouble.

Do we want him to do well, or badly?