Tips for Tikay

[Kmac84]

What am I missing about San Diego, I know they have some injuries but to my mind 49ners have been pretty meh, coach seems to have lost the players and they have definitely struggled to get points on the board this season and their defence has been pretty miserable. 

I know all this info is freely available so there is nothing new here but it just seems like San Diego should be favs to me.

Chargers are favourites in the sense that home field advantage normally counts for 3 points IIRC.

Local derby etc, too.

If the niners can protect Kaep a bit, I think they'll win. However, that's a massive If.

Ah ok. 

Check this pretty sick piece of aftertiming but I thought I had Gore for FTD scorer.  Sigh. 

[Tal]

It's worse than that: Charlotte Hornets has been demoted to punt return duty.

And yes, that's ridiculously aftertimey.

[Marky147]

Blatant 'I can get on with Paddy' brag

[Kmac84]

Blatant 'I can get on with Paddy' brag

Just changed address new so got myself new Bet365/Padraig Accounts :-)

[Kmac84]

Betfair shortie backers arent happy 250k done on 49ners from 1.02 - 1.1 after they led by 21 at the half. 

[Chompy]

Apparently yesterday's move for Frankie was as a result of another Daily Mail 'Frankie has topped the vote for the past few weeks' leak.

They got that one wrong then.

BBC won't be releasing the results of the final vote.

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £284.91

Outstanding Bets £4053.95

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=33

A loss of £42 yesterday

first the winners

- £40 net on the Ladbroke hurdle with Pine Creek 2nd (at 10-1, backed at 18-1) and Shelford 4th offset by Hello George

Here they are going over the last in the middle and right of picture behind the winner



- £30 Bournemouth beating Blackpool 6-1, a job well done



- £28 net on Scottish football bets with wins for Motherwell and Stranraer offset by queens park

Click to see full-size image.

- £30 Redskins/Eagles overs made up 51, backed at 50.5. Shouldn't have been as close as it was!

Click to see full-size image.

then the losers

-£50 Peterborough 0, Preston 1, so both teams to score did not come in

-£40 Everton to win at Southampton

-£60 three horses backed in the first at Ascot

- £10 John Campbell did not score for Oxford United

-£10 Chris Polk did not score the first TD for the Eagles

ongoing positions

football

Premier League

West Ham are in the top 4 at Christmas for the first time in the Premier League, we have over 5/2 on them to finish top 10. I am drinking to forget how much I have on Leicester (another defensive mistake), no wins in 12 games, being top 10



Relegation bet WBA lost a 2-0 lead at QPR. they are 2 polints above the relegation zone



Crystal Palace, who we have various bets on, lost 3-0 at Man C. Warnock said that "keeping crystal Palace in the premier league would be the greatest achievement of my career". That's encouraging then

Click to see full-size image.

Southampton won for the first time in six games. Forget the football, look at the sky...

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Lamela scored a great goal for Spurs. this of course represents the start of his climb to challenge ageuro and diego costa at the top of the premier league goalscoring charts

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championship

Down to 10 men, Watford won 1-0 at Reading and remain well in touch in sixth only three points off second

Fulham thrashed Sheffield Wednesday and are one place off the top half and climbing the table steadily

league one

with Peterborough losing and Doncaster winning, the gap between the two is down to 4 points on the £220 match bet. Doncaster, for the relegation bet, are six points above the drop zone

league two

Newport's nascent run came juddering to a halt, beaten 3-0 at Luton. they remain sixth

non league

Dover drew 2-2 at Altrincham and are 10 points above the relegation places

Guernsey won 2-0 at Sittingbourne. the league table shows you the task ahead if Guernsey are going to give us a sweat

http://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/league/isthonesouth


Scotland

Hearts beat Alloa 2-0 and are nine points clear of Rangers at the top of the Scottish Championship with a game in hand

Click to see full-size image.

Darts

Gary Anderson beat Kirchner 3-1 and remains favourite to win the second quarter

NFL

The Philadelphia Eagles have done a good old swoon in December, losing three in a row (Only 24% of spread bets took Wash +7. Just 28% of ML bets took Wash) and are now in danger of becoming only the third team since 1980 to start a season 9-3 and not make the play-offs. To do so now they need the Cowboys to lose both their remaining games (a possibility, starting tonight against the Colts) and they need to beat the Giants in their final game

One of the other implications of last night's result was that the Packers, who are at Tampa Bay tonight, are in the play-offs with one more win

Lesean McCoy had a good night, with 116 combined receiving/rushing yards scoring the first touchdown

Click to see full-size image.

Meanwhile, college football's bowl season has started. Just as well no one will ever read this far to see this

Click to see full-size image.

NBA

Portland Traliblazers won again, beating the Pelicans 114-88

Dallas Mavericks won their first game with Rondo, beating the knackered San Antonio Spurs 99-93

LA Clippers won, beating the Mlwaulkee Bucks 106-102

another good basketball night

Today

don't forget the bet365 In-Play Bet Offer for Liverpool v Arsenal AND Stoke v Chelsea > http://bit.ly/SoccerXtra  

Click to see full-size image.

as well as liverpool, Newcastle in action in the North east derby

a big NFL night, for the Packers, Cardinals bets and various player bets

darts, Chisnall plays his first round match tonight

and finally this is the day that Band Aid 30 triumphantly storms to the christmas number one, upsetting the odds. Possibly

[tikay]

Meanwhile, college football's bowl season has started. Just as well no one will ever read this far to see this

I read that far, & saw the photo, but you'll need to explain the significance, please.

[TightEnd]

Meanwhile, college football's bowl season has started. Just as well no one will ever read this far to see this

I read that far, & saw the photo, but you'll need to explain the significance, please.

don't google Golden showers on a company laptop

[maccol]

Meanwhile, college football's bowl season has started. Just as well no one will ever read this far to see this

I read that far, & saw the photo, but you'll need to explain the significance, please.

Must be taking the piss surely. 

[Doobs]

Apparently yesterday's move for Frankie was as a result of another Daily Mail 'Frankie has topped the vote for the past few weeks' leak.

They got that one wrong then.

BBC won't be releasing the results of the final vote.

It was the Daily Star both times AFAIK.  Shoved it straight back in their eye this time.   Daily Hate got it in their eye too. 

[Stopsleyhatter]

Looking at Gio Bernard total rush+receiving yards think the line is a bit low at 45.5.Would like to recommend £22 on overs with laddies.Thinking behind this is about a 3rd of Bengals run carries and a handful of screens,check downs shovel passes etc.

[TightEnd]

Looking at Gio Bernard total rush+receiving yards think the line is a bit low at 45.5.Would like to recommend £22 on overs with laddies.Thinking behind this is about a 3rd of Bengals run carries and a handful of screens,check downs shovel passes etc.

the game is tomorrow, and should be a corker, so remind me then please

I did think it looked like a really solid opportunity to be on unders

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/denver-broncos-at-cincinnati-bengals/total-points

- Denver's offense is much more run-centric than it was a month ago, and Manning is carrying an injury

- Bengals most reliable form of offense is the run via Jeremy Hill.

- Bengal game betting can be tricky. Good Dalton or bad Dalton?!

- Denver have a very strong defense, both up front and in the secondary

- The Bengals are sixth in total rushing yards but the Broncos’ only allow just over 70 rushing yards per game, second in the NFL.

- Since their bye 12 game weeks ago, only one team has rushed for 100 yards against Denver.

47.5 for total points looked too high to me

[Stopsleyhatter]

Looking at Gio Bernard total rush+receiving yards think the line is a bit low at 45.5.Would like to recommend £22 on overs with laddies.Thinking behind this is about a 3rd of Bengals run carries and a handful of screens,check downs shovel passes etc.

the game is tomorrow, and should be a corker, so remind me then please

I did think it looked like a really solid opportunity to be on unders

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/denver-broncos-at-cincinnati-bengals/total-points

- Denver's offense is much more run-centric than it was a month ago, and Manning is carrying an injury

- Bengals most reliable form of offense is the run via Jeremy Hill.

- Bengal game betting can be tricky. Good Dalton or bad Dalton?!

- Denver have a very strong defense, both up front and in the secondary

- The Bengals are sixth in total rushing yards but the Broncos’ only allow just over 70 rushing yards per game, second in the NFL.

- Since their bye 12 game weeks ago, only one team has rushed for 100 yards against Denver.

47.5 for total points looked too high to me

Have backed the total points unders myself thinking a lot of clock time will get killed off during a run heavy game.

[Newportlad]

Cleveland Browns at Carolina Panthers tonight.

The line for Johnny Manziel passing yards is 185 tonight with redshoutyman   Think we should be on unders here.  He had a shocker of a game last week in his first start.
Cleveland should be run heavy tonight, and I expect them to have more success running the ball against Carolina than they did last week against a good Bengals defence.  This might free up some space for passing with playaction, but he should be playing it safe and take the shorter passes.

For that reason, I also like the over for rushing with Isaiah Crowell.  Line is 48.5 with our Irish friends.