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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 609190 times)
Snowball
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« Reply #1875 on: March 24, 2012, 10:16:14 AM »

Firstly, I am a rangers fan so need to say this is with caution as I don't think I can be 100% objective....but I think rangers at home to Celtic tomorrow is absolutely huge- we are 3/1. Now our home form has been pretty poor this season and Celtic have been winning games...but form really does go out the window in a high % of these games...we have quite a few players back and I just see us winning at home a lot more than 1 in 4
At 33/1 you may have had a point, will post more later as on my phone.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #1876 on: March 24, 2012, 10:27:45 AM »

Firstly, I am a rangers fan so need to say this is with caution as I don't think I can be 100% objective....but I think rangers at home to Celtic tomorrow is absolutely huge- we are 3/1. Now our home form has been pretty poor this season and Celtic have been winning games...but form really does go out the window in a high % of these games...we have quite a few players back and I just see us winning at home a lot more than 1 in 4

From a quick look, I think the Old Firm games play to form more often than this post implies. A team in the ascendant usually beats the other.
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« Reply #1877 on: March 24, 2012, 10:29:35 AM »

Or just lay the extra hundo on Sundo back on Betunfair. That's what it's there for innit. And to rip off longstanding customers obv.
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« Reply #1878 on: March 24, 2012, 10:44:07 AM »

Firstly, I am a rangers fan so need to say this is with caution as I don't think I can be 100% objective....but I think rangers at home to Celtic tomorrow is absolutely huge- we are 3/1. Now our home form has been pretty poor this season and Celtic have been winning games...but form really does go out the window in a high % of these games...we have quite a few players back and I just see us winning at home a lot more than 1 in 4

From a quick look, I think the Old Firm games play to form more often than this post implies. A team in the ascendant usually beats the other.

I would agree with that, the form book going out the window is a lazy cliche used by the mainstream media up here. Rangers would need a lot of things to go for them to win this game, Celtic losing last week will not have helped. I would steer clear of this game tbh but can understand Hairy wanting to back his own team at those odds.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #1879 on: March 24, 2012, 10:48:31 AM »

and me

for me it goes in the pile with "new manager" syndrome

often used by lazy reporters as if they always win there first few games in charge


they dont
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« Reply #1880 on: March 24, 2012, 10:51:50 AM »

ignore any posts i made while 3 sheets last night. regards.
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« Reply #1881 on: March 24, 2012, 12:16:30 PM »

Firstly, I am a rangers fan so need to say this is with caution as I don't think I can be 100% objective....but I think rangers at home to Celtic tomorrow is absolutely huge- we are 3/1. Now our home form has been pretty poor this season and Celtic have been winning games...but form really does go out the window in a high % of these games...we have quite a few players back and I just see us winning at home a lot more than 1 in 4

From a quick look, I think the Old Firm games play to form more often than this post implies. A team in the ascendant usually beats the other.

But surely this is an awful way of punting? Celtic are rightfully favourites but from an odds perspective I see us winning this game at home a lot more than 1 in 4- I would say 2 in 5 or even 1 in 2 even with current situation
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« Reply #1882 on: March 24, 2012, 12:19:23 PM »

Firstly, I am a rangers fan so need to say this is with caution as I don't think I can be 100% objective....but I think rangers at home to Celtic tomorrow is absolutely huge- we are 3/1. Now our home form has been pretty poor this season and Celtic have been winning games...but form really does go out the window in a high % of these games...we have quite a few players back and I just see us winning at home a lot more than 1 in 4

From a quick look, I think the Old Firm games play to form more often than this post implies. A team in the ascendant usually beats the other.

But surely this is an awful way of punting? Celtic are rightfully favourites but from an odds perspective I see us winning this game at home a lot more than 1 in 4- I would say 2 in 5 or even 1 in 2 even with current situation

I was just arguing the point that "form goes out of the window in these games" I don't think it necessarily does

In normal circumstances Rangers obviously huge at 3-1. These are about as far removed from normal circumstances as you are going to get, though!

 
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« Reply #1883 on: March 24, 2012, 12:30:48 PM »

have a good day all off to lingers for the real derby

shame its run there but should be a good race

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« Reply #1884 on: March 24, 2012, 12:37:39 PM »

No idea whether 3/1 Rangers is a big price or not but the idea that form goes out of the window in these games has been proven to be a myth.
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redarmi
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« Reply #1885 on: March 24, 2012, 02:47:40 PM »

Firstly, I am a rangers fan so need to say this is with caution as I don't think I can be 100% objective....but I think rangers at home to Celtic tomorrow is absolutely huge- we are 3/1. Now our home form has been pretty poor this season and Celtic have been winning games...but form really does go out the window in a high % of these games...we have quite a few players back and I just see us winning at home a lot more than 1 in 4

From a quick look, I think the Old Firm games play to form more often than this post implies. A team in the ascendant usually beats the other.

But surely this is an awful way of punting? Celtic are rightfully favourites but from an odds perspective I see us winning this game at home a lot more than 1 in 4- I would say 2 in 5 or even 1 in 2 even with current situation

Sorry but you are way out here.  There is absolutely no chance that Rangers have anything like a 40% chance of winning this game.  If they had a 28% chance of winning this game it would be a massive rick by most odds compilers standards.  To put it into perspective the 'correct price' for a home team in most cases when the teams are of an equal standard on a neutral pitch would be 6/5.  In a game like this home advantage may be worth slightly more than is usual (although there are compelling arguments to the contrary) but Rangers are 11 points behind in ability terms and have gone into administration so there is almost no chance of this and saying they could win 1 in 2 games is effectively saying that Rangers are a better team than Celtic which is simply unarguable.  To say they have a 40% chance of winning is like saying Celtic would only be a slight favourite if the game was played at Hampden Park.....again this isn't even close to being true.
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« Reply #1886 on: March 24, 2012, 02:53:01 PM »

Will you not be reloading if you busto ? If yes then what does it matter regards the Mackems bet ? I can't wish you gl with this one  Wink
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[2:48:20 PM] Nong Cos: if ur grind ethic was as good as your liver is bad, you'd be a SNE
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« Reply #1887 on: March 24, 2012, 03:31:39 PM »

0-1 to Wigan
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« Reply #1888 on: March 24, 2012, 04:29:21 PM »

2-0 Sunderland and QPR down to 10 men.
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gatso
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« Reply #1889 on: March 24, 2012, 04:39:36 PM »

" Attitude is A Little thing That makes a Big Difference "          Winston Churchill 1943 (during the 2nd world war)


Positive Thoughts To this Thread & Blonde Members .

just opened the thread and glanced at part of this post. thought it was the ultimate aftertiming and you were tipping churchill to win ww2
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