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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16375411 times)
Dubai
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« Reply #2085 on: March 27, 2012, 03:04:26 PM »

You have staked £50 equity. The fact they dont return this initial equity means its always better to bet bigger prices as the % of total equity released from the bet is higher

Cant see how its subjective?
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henrik777
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« Reply #2086 on: March 27, 2012, 03:05:10 PM »

He is going to place a £50 bet regardless of what funds it.

Potential results of a £50 bet are -£50 or +£40.

Potential results of a £50 free bet are loss of the freebie or +£40.

Upside is same. Downside is either -£50 or -£50 freebie.

It's better to use the freebie as you'd rather have £50 cash in your pocket than a voucher surely ?

Sandy

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JaffaCake
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« Reply #2087 on: March 27, 2012, 03:07:57 PM »

After what looks another good tip from Tighty and a couple of losers from me, may I suggest u use a staking method which takes into acocunt the 'form' of your 'experts' (and just how good these 'experts' are). Glad to see u only put £25 on mine....maybe I should be confined to £25ers until I prove otherwise, whereas if Tighty's Sri Lanka bet comes off added to his others, maybe u should press his staking up to £150 etc etc. Think Dubai and Tighty are your form men, u should press their next selections!
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FUN4FRASER
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« Reply #2088 on: March 27, 2012, 03:10:54 PM »

You have staked £50 equity. The fact they dont return this initial equity means its always better to bet bigger prices as the % of total equity released from the bet is higher

Cant see how its subjective ?

It really depends how you view it ....
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Dubai
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« Reply #2089 on: March 27, 2012, 03:10:59 PM »

If you back a true 9-1 shot, 10% of the time you will be +£450 and 90% 0
If you back a true 4-5 shot 55.56% of the time you will be +£40 and 44.64% 0

Im assuming thats clear enough as the 4-5 shot wins roughly 5.5x more but pays 11x less!
« Last Edit: March 27, 2012, 03:12:44 PM by Dubai » Logged
FUN4FRASER
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« Reply #2090 on: March 27, 2012, 03:12:45 PM »

If you back a true 9-1 shot, 10% of the time you will be +£450 and 90% 0
If you back a true 4-5 shot 55.56% of the time you will be +£40 and 44.64% 0

Im assuming thats clear enough as the 4-5 shot wins roughly 4.5x more but pays 11x less!

I understand the anyalysis   ty
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tikay
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« Reply #2091 on: March 27, 2012, 03:14:31 PM »

Lol, I hesitated before using, or even mentioning itt, that I had used my "Free Bet", as I was almost certain it would cause controversy.

I have "Free Bets" awaiting use on almost every Account I have opened for this thread, this is only the 1st or 2nd one I have used. 

That's what the thread is for, I guess, & hopefully, it is not only me that has learned something new today, & at least I was the only one to get a "sigh".   
« Last Edit: March 27, 2012, 03:19:07 PM by tikay » Logged

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The Camel
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« Reply #2092 on: March 27, 2012, 03:14:42 PM »

If you back a true 9-1 shot, 10% of the time you will be +£450 and 90% 0
If you back a true 4-5 shot 55.56% of the time you will be +£40 and 44.64% 0

Im assuming thats clear enough as the 4-5 shot wins roughly 5.5x more but pays 11x less!

Yes, I'm dumb.

Understood now.
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tikay
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« Reply #2093 on: March 27, 2012, 03:17:54 PM »

Been speaking to a couple of my fellow Sheffield contacts and they agree with me that Sheff Utd will destroy Chesterfield at home( especially after the Wembley comedown ). Im told Sheff Utd will be near full strength (no Chesterfield team news )

If you can get on the 8-15 at Hills its great value although a very short price (I actually think 1 -2 is still good)

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-one/sheffield-utd-v-chesterfield/winner

Hi Fraser.

I missed the price on this - it is now generally 4/9 or worse - so I'll have to swerve it.

If you are on, good luck.
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The Camel
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« Reply #2094 on: March 27, 2012, 03:18:29 PM »

With all my new S*ybet accounts, the free bets will all be at long odds from now on Smiley
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

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FUN4FRASER
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« Reply #2095 on: March 27, 2012, 03:19:36 PM »

Been speaking to a couple of my fellow Sheffield contacts and they agree with me that Sheff Utd will destroy Chesterfield at home( especially after the Wembley comedown ). Im told Sheff Utd will be near full strength (no Chesterfield team news )

If you can get on the 8-15 at Hills its great value although a very short price (I actually think 1 -2 is still good)

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-one/sheffield-utd-v-chesterfield/winner

Hi Fraser.

I missed the price on this - it is now generally 4/9 or worse - so I'll have to swerve it.

If you are on, good luck.

I am...Its still 8-15 at Hills
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Dubai
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« Reply #2096 on: March 27, 2012, 03:20:10 PM »

Been speaking to a couple of my fellow Sheffield contacts and they agree with me that Sheff Utd will destroy Chesterfield at home( especially after the Wembley comedown ). Im told Sheff Utd will be near full strength (no Chesterfield team news )

If you can get on the 8-15 at Hills its great value although a very short price (I actually think 1 -2 is still good)

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-one/sheffield-utd-v-chesterfield/winner

Hi Fraser.

I missed the price on this - it is now generally 4/9 or worse - so I'll have to swerve it.

If you are on, good luck.

Still 8-15 with Hills, im on too
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horseplayer
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« Reply #2097 on: March 27, 2012, 03:20:20 PM »

looking forward to the t20 mere should be another cracker between these two very evenly matched sides

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tikay
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« Reply #2098 on: March 27, 2012, 03:23:20 PM »

Been speaking to a couple of my fellow Sheffield contacts and they agree with me that Sheff Utd will destroy Chesterfield at home( especially after the Wembley comedown ). Im told Sheff Utd will be near full strength (no Chesterfield team news )

If you can get on the 8-15 at Hills its great value although a very short price (I actually think 1 -2 is still good)

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-one/sheffield-utd-v-chesterfield/winner

Hi Fraser.

I missed the price on this - it is now generally 4/9 or worse - so I'll have to swerve it.

If you are on, good luck.

I am...Its still 8-15 at Hills

Whoops, so it is.

Am now......

ON

£50 @ 8-/15, Wm Hill.

Thanks Fraser.

Gotta go do some work now, have a good day everyone.
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MereNovice
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« Reply #2099 on: March 27, 2012, 03:26:48 PM »

looking forward to the t20 mere should be another cracker between these two very evenly matched sides



Yes indeed, the market has Australia as clear favourites but I can't see it myself - too close to call.
I'd say that this 20/20 is 50/50.
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