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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16379110 times)
tikay
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« Reply #3030 on: April 08, 2012, 10:47:26 AM »

Yes I can understand that you might think you are going to offend someone by not going with their tip. I have no interest in gambling but noticed someone wanting to back Southhampton V Pompey. Manager Adkins and star striker Billy Sharp were both at Scunthorpe and I had to put how passionate both men are about winning local derbies and despite Sharp bagging 2 the match ended in a draw. Feel a bit guilty Sad

I don't know if you know the Billy Sharp story but he is an amazing guy (despite going to Doncaster via Sheffield utd)

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2056771/Billy-Sharp-scores-goal-hours-death-son-Luey-Jacob-Sharp.html

Well yes, though the bet was "over x goals". It came in, but I missed it, as I had been offline, or whatever.

And yes, I knew the Billy Sharp story. I wish you'd Posted that on my Diary, as I have a view on it, though not one I expect would find favour with too many. Probably best not to discuss it here, really, & hijack the thread. Wink

Hope this doesn't count as a 'hijack' after you restrained yourself from commenting there Tikay, but thank God for 'There was praise too for the match referee, Darren Deadman, who refrained from booking Sharp for his T-shirt celebration, as he should have done under the rules of the game.'




No, not at all. I just did not want to get deep into a moral (or cynical) debate about it on this thread, thats all.
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« Reply #3031 on: April 08, 2012, 12:19:42 PM »

Masters bet.

This counteracts my Justin Rose top englishman bet which still has a chance, so you might want to leave it alone.

Westwood for a top 5 finish is priced at 19/10 on betfair.

The wind is going to get up today which will sort them out again, its a big advantage for westwood round Augusta with the tight drives. There will be a lot of par and over par scores from the top 20 today, if westwood can drive anything like he has already this week, i rate he'll get more chances to pick shots up than anybody else.

I expect a 70 or 71 will be good enough to get him top 5, a good chance that par will do it for him.
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« Reply #3032 on: April 08, 2012, 12:27:11 PM »

Hi Ace, do you have the link to that Masters weather forecast re the wind?

Cheers
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tikay
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« Reply #3033 on: April 08, 2012, 12:32:25 PM »

Masters bet.

This counteracts my Justin Rose top englishman bet which still has a chance, so you might want to leave it alone.

Westwood for a top 5 finish is priced at 19/10 on betfair.

The wind is going to get up today which will sort them out again, its a big advantage for westwood round Augusta with the tight drives. There will be a lot of par and over par scores from the top 20 today, if westwood can drive anything like he has already this week, i rate he'll get more chances to pick shots up than anybody else.

I expect a 70 or 71 will be good enough to get him top 5, a good chance that par will do it for him.

I quite like that, Tom, I'll go take a look now.

Any counter arguments? Seems a reasonable price, not that I know much about these things.
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tikay
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« Reply #3034 on: April 08, 2012, 12:35:16 PM »

Masters bet.

This counteracts my Justin Rose top englishman bet which still has a chance, so you might want to leave it alone.

Westwood for a top 5 finish is priced at 19/10 on betfair.

The wind is going to get up today which will sort them out again, its a big advantage for westwood round Augusta with the tight drives. There will be a lot of par and over par scores from the top 20 today, if westwood can drive anything like he has already this week, i rate he'll get more chances to pick shots up than anybody else.

I expect a 70 or 71 will be good enough to get him top 5, a good chance that par will do it for him.

ON

Missed a little bit of price, but not too bad.

£25, Westwood to finish top five, @ 2.82 on Betfair. Wins (we hope....) £45.50.
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« Reply #3035 on: April 08, 2012, 12:38:24 PM »

I have Westwood top 5 from the start, just a novice query, What happens if he is tied 5th with others. Does the bet still stand and you get the full returns?
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« Reply #3036 on: April 08, 2012, 12:41:35 PM »

As a self confessed nit I have been reticent to recommend a bet before now, even with someone else's money, however it is time to grow a pair and face the potential scorn of the masses.

In the Masters golf 2 balls today I would like to recommend backing Vijay Singh to beat Tiger Woods at a generally available 15/8.

He out scored him in the first 2 rounds and hopefully yesterday was his one bad round. Tiger is 12 shots off the lead with no realistic chance of winning. I can see Tiger taking too many risks in an attempt to make something spectacular happen and getting into some horrible spots. It could mean that all Vijay will have to do to win this is shoot level par, which he did in his first 2 rounds. If Tiger was vying for the lead then I wouldn't be recommending this but he isn't and that is one of the key reasons why I believe this is a good price.

As far as an amount to bet is concerned I would not enjoy watching the rest of the golf if you bet what i consider to be an amount that the bankroll doesn't justify so no more than £50.
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« Reply #3037 on: April 08, 2012, 12:45:56 PM »

I have Westwood top 5 from the start, just a novice query, What happens if he is tied 5th with others. Does the bet still stand and you get the full returns?

The stake gets split unless specified otherwise.
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« Reply #3038 on: April 08, 2012, 12:48:48 PM »

I have Westwood top 5 from the start, just a novice query, What happens if he is tied 5th with others. Does the bet still stand and you get the full returns?

You'll have to ask one of the experts, I have no idea!

I actually placed that Westwood Bet (the ACE2M one) a bit quick, I never awaited feedback. Too late now......

EDIT - An expert arrived even before I could reply!
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« Reply #3039 on: April 08, 2012, 12:50:38 PM »

Masters bet.

This counteracts my Justin Rose top englishman bet which still has a chance, so you might want to leave it alone.

Westwood for a top 5 finish is priced at 19/10 on betfair.

The wind is going to get up today which will sort them out again, its a big advantage for westwood round Augusta with the tight drives. There will be a lot of par and over par scores from the top 20 today, if westwood can drive anything like he has already this week, i rate he'll get more chances to pick shots up than anybody else.

I expect a 70 or 71 will be good enough to get him top 5, a good chance that par will do it for him.

I quite like that, Tom, I'll go take a look now.

Any counter arguments? Seems a reasonable price, not that I know much about these things.

Aren't you already on Westwood to finish in the top five at 5/1 from your pre tourney ew bet at 20/1?
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« Reply #3040 on: April 08, 2012, 12:51:19 PM »

Thank you experts!
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« Reply #3041 on: April 08, 2012, 12:55:44 PM »

Masters bet.

This counteracts my Justin Rose top englishman bet which still has a chance, so you might want to leave it alone.

Westwood for a top 5 finish is priced at 19/10 on betfair.

The wind is going to get up today which will sort them out again, its a big advantage for westwood round Augusta with the tight drives. There will be a lot of par and over par scores from the top 20 today, if westwood can drive anything like he has already this week, i rate he'll get more chances to pick shots up than anybody else.

I expect a 70 or 71 will be good enough to get him top 5, a good chance that par will do it for him.

I quite like that, Tom, I'll go take a look now.

Any counter arguments? Seems a reasonable price, not that I know much about these things.

Aren't you already on Westwood to finish in the top five at 5/1 from your pre tourney ew bet at 20/1?

Oh yeah, so I am.....

That'll teach me to be too quick off the mark!

I'll either win more, or lose more now, then.....

In (weak) defence, 5/1 to place BEFORE the Tourney is very different to (almost) 2/1 on Day Four, yes? Please say "yes" Phil, you would if you loved me.
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« Reply #3042 on: April 08, 2012, 12:58:28 PM »

As a self confessed nit I have been reticent to recommend a bet before now, even with someone else's money, however it is time to grow a pair and face the potential scorn of the masses.

In the Masters golf 2 balls today I would like to recommend backing Vijay Singh to beat Tiger Woods at a generally available 15/8.

He out scored him in the first 2 rounds and hopefully yesterday was his one bad round. Tiger is 12 shots off the lead with no realistic chance of winning. I can see Tiger taking too many risks in an attempt to make something spectacular happen and getting into some horrible spots. It could mean that all Vijay will have to do to win this is shoot level par, which he did in his first 2 rounds. If Tiger was vying for the lead then I wouldn't be recommending this but he isn't and that is one of the key reasons why I believe this is a good price.

As far as an amount to bet is concerned I would not enjoy watching the rest of the golf if you bet what i consider to be an amount that the bankroll doesn't justify so no more than £50.

I really admire your humility & bravery if that is your first tip itt!

Not sure I'd wager £50 on it, £25 maybe. Opposing Woods, that IS brave stuff. He has been either fish or fowl this Tourney, it just depends which Tiger turns up today I guess.

What is Vijay's "history" on final days when he is out of contention? Does he give his best, or just go through the motions?
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« Reply #3043 on: April 08, 2012, 01:12:34 PM »

Hi Ace, do you have the link to that Masters weather forecast re the wind?

Cheers

it's been spot on the last 2 days.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/GA/Augusta.html
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« Reply #3044 on: April 08, 2012, 01:21:42 PM »

As a self confessed nit I have been reticent to recommend a bet before now, even with someone else's money, however it is time to grow a pair and face the potential scorn of the masses.

In the Masters golf 2 balls today I would like to recommend backing Vijay Singh to beat Tiger Woods at a generally available 15/8.

He out scored him in the first 2 rounds and hopefully yesterday was his one bad round. Tiger is 12 shots off the lead with no realistic chance of winning. I can see Tiger taking too many risks in an attempt to make something spectacular happen and getting into some horrible spots. It could mean that all Vijay will have to do to win this is shoot level par, which he did in his first 2 rounds. If Tiger was vying for the lead then I wouldn't be recommending this but he isn't and that is one of the key reasons why I believe this is a good price.

As far as an amount to bet is concerned I would not enjoy watching the rest of the golf if you bet what i consider to be an amount that the bankroll doesn't justify so no more than £50.

I really admire your humility & bravery if that is your first tip itt!

Not sure I'd wager £50 on it, £25 maybe. Opposing Woods, that IS brave stuff. He has been either fish or fowl this Tourney, it just depends which Tiger turns up today I guess.

What is Vijay's "history" on final days when he is out of contention? Does he give his best, or just go through the motions?

Woods never ever gives up on a tournament, i fancy vijay might get a bit tired, he's a big lump to haul around the course 4 days in a row at his age - and augusta is a brute of a walk. I've backed Hanson to beat michelson at 5/2 in a 2 ball, that seems far more appealing to me (not recommending it for the tips btw tikay)
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