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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13562581 times)
tikay
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« Reply #4950 on: April 30, 2012, 07:00:49 PM »

The Bet 365 offer.

I'm not sure, but I think Camel was first to suggest, a week or more ago, that Man City were extremely good value for this game, & that if we bet £50 pre @ 11/10, THEN took the free "In Play" bet at the same price as soon as the game started, (if the FIRST bet loses we get our money back on the 2nd) we'd be getting effectively £50 @ 11/5. Or something like that. I think. Sort of.

So there it is.

Man City, £50 @ 11/10. I will place te 2nd bet "In Play"once the game starts.

ON

Man City @ 11/10
£50.00 Single 30/04/2012 18:51:01 50.00 0.00


Will Post the details of the subsequent bet just after 8pm.

Not sure who gets the credit (or blame) for this one.

Anyone claiming it, or shall we lay it at Camel's door?
« Last Edit: April 30, 2012, 07:03:07 PM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #4951 on: April 30, 2012, 07:04:32 PM »


Thats about us done I think. Nothing jumped off the page I'm afraid.

Genuinely hope that whatever you have on, you get a good run & maybe a win.

GL all.
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« Reply #4952 on: April 30, 2012, 07:09:31 PM »

Proper bet this time.

2nd half to have the most goals 11/10 , Bwin, Corals  http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/manchester-city-v-manchester-united/highest-scoring-half


1st half records

http://footballstats.sportinglife.com/dom/ENG/PR/fsthalf.html

Man Utd   GF 1.05   GA 0.20

Man City  GF 0.80       GA 0.17

2nd half records

http://footballstats.sportinglife.com/dom/ENG/PR/sndhalf.html

Man Utd   GF 1.40   GA 0.71

Man City  GF 1.68       GA 0.60


12 of the last 15 City games have seen more goals in the 2nd half. Both sides have more goals for and against in the 2nd half over the season. It's a title changing game so should be tight early and yet 11/10 is available. Big price.

Sandy


I have been betting the second half highest scoring half in man city's home games this season. It's been brill and if you ever need a better example of the laziness of some firms to repricing things then the price was 11/10 in the first game of the season and has been that price every game even tho the stats for it are great.

They just come off a generic chart that takes nothing into account.

Guess you're not to happy with Dave Tindall letting the cat out of the bag now then Cheesy

Sandy

Found the quote now so given it a go.

Tindall has put it up today then I guess. It has shortened with most firms over the season, been about 10/11 with most firms. I can't see if the make up of this game changes anything to the detriment of the bet. There was one interesting stat in the RP today, Ref Andre Marriners games tend to be high scoring games,15 of his 19 Prem matches this season have finished over 2 1/2. the reason given is he is just about the best ref for letting games flow instead of stop start and every scenario in the game late on will lead to a team needing to score.

Looks good to me again Sandy.


 

Sandy
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tikay
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« Reply #4953 on: April 30, 2012, 07:13:12 PM »

my only bet in the game is the 12-5 with corals that it is 0-0 at half time

have not done the stats but on recent evidence in the big games this appears a little on the big side

Good luck horsey.
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« Reply #4954 on: April 30, 2012, 07:14:50 PM »

Proper bet this time.

2nd half to have the most goals 11/10 , Bwin, Corals  http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/manchester-city-v-manchester-united/highest-scoring-half


1st half records

http://footballstats.sportinglife.com/dom/ENG/PR/fsthalf.html

Man Utd   GF 1.05   GA 0.20

Man City  GF 0.80       GA 0.17

2nd half records

http://footballstats.sportinglife.com/dom/ENG/PR/sndhalf.html

Man Utd   GF 1.40   GA 0.71

Man City  GF 1.68       GA 0.60


12 of the last 15 City games have seen more goals in the 2nd half. Both sides have more goals for and against in the 2nd half over the season. It's a title changing game so should be tight early and yet 11/10 is available. Big price.

Sandy

Bugger - how the hell did I miss this?
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« Reply #4955 on: April 30, 2012, 07:23:57 PM »

£150 under 6.5 cards bet365
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tikay
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« Reply #4956 on: April 30, 2012, 07:31:32 PM »

Proper bet this time.

2nd half to have the most goals 11/10 , Bwin, Corals  http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/manchester-city-v-manchester-united/highest-scoring-half


1st half records

http://footballstats.sportinglife.com/dom/ENG/PR/fsthalf.html

Man Utd   GF 1.05   GA 0.20

Man City  GF 0.80       GA 0.17

2nd half records

http://footballstats.sportinglife.com/dom/ENG/PR/sndhalf.html

Man Utd   GF 1.40   GA 0.71

Man City  GF 1.68       GA 0.60


12 of the last 15 City games have seen more goals in the 2nd half. Both sides have more goals for and against in the 2nd half over the season. It's a title changing game so should be tight early and yet 11/10 is available. Big price.

Sandy

On, £50, BWin, @ 23/20.

ON

 Single bet
   Manchester City - Manchester United
Will more goals be scored in the 1st or 2nd half?   
Pick: 2nd half 23/20
 
 
 
 
50.00 GBP Total stake 
107.50 GBP
 

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« Reply #4957 on: April 30, 2012, 07:35:50 PM »

£150 under 6.5 cards bet365

Bugger, I had just closed the book, but thanks.

We have £50 already, so I'll have another £50 - the Max Bet is currently £100. Wink

£50, Bet365, UNDER 6.5 cards. (Edited, I typed it in wrong originally).

ON

Under 6.5 @ 5/6
£50.00 Single 30/04/2012 19:34:44 50.00
« Last Edit: April 30, 2012, 07:49:10 PM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #4958 on: April 30, 2012, 07:36:25 PM »


Thats it - the shop is SHUT for tonight on this game!
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« Reply #4959 on: April 30, 2012, 07:44:26 PM »

good luck all

the inclusion of park starting gives me hope for a stalemate early at least
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« Reply #4960 on: April 30, 2012, 07:45:44 PM »

Proper bet this time.

2nd half to have the most goals 11/10 , Bwin, Corals  http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/manchester-city-v-manchester-united/highest-scoring-half


1st half records

http://footballstats.sportinglife.com/dom/ENG/PR/fsthalf.html

Man Utd   GF 1.05   GA 0.20

Man City  GF 0.80       GA 0.17

2nd half records

http://footballstats.sportinglife.com/dom/ENG/PR/sndhalf.html

Man Utd   GF 1.40   GA 0.71

Man City  GF 1.68       GA 0.60


12 of the last 15 City games have seen more goals in the 2nd half. Both sides have more goals for and against in the 2nd half over the season. It's a title changing game so should be tight early and yet 11/10 is available. Big price.

Sandy

On, £50, BWin, @ 23/20.

ON

 Single bet
   Manchester City - Manchester United
Will more goals be scored in the 1st or 2nd half?   
Pick: 2nd half 23/20
 
 
 
 
50.00 GBP Total stake 
107.50 GBP
 



Sorry haven't read thread as on my phone
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« Reply #4961 on: April 30, 2012, 07:46:58 PM »

SAF has said that they'll treat it like a European away game, I think

Tight early, see if it opens out

the Utd Teams election 4-5-1 with Park on one side would appear to back that up


Think there are some decent shouts on this thread. Decent shouts are no guarantee of decent returns: disclaimer!
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« Reply #4962 on: April 30, 2012, 07:50:43 PM »

SAF has said that they'll treat it like a European away game, I think

Tight early, see if it opens out

the Utd Teams election 4-5-1 with Park on one side would appear to back that up


Think there are some decent shouts on this thread. Decent shouts are no guarantee of decent returns: disclaimer!

Thanks Tighty, I also missed your Bet 365 "free bet suggestion of £50 the draw twice, but I went with City in the end.
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« Reply #4963 on: April 30, 2012, 07:52:43 PM »

SAF has said that they'll treat it like a European away game, I think

Tight early, see if it opens out

the Utd Teams election 4-5-1 with Park on one side would appear to back that up


Think there are some decent shouts on this thread. Decent shouts are no guarantee of decent returns: disclaimer!

Thanks Tighty, I also missed your Bet 365 "free bet suggestion of £50 the draw twice, but I went with City in the end.


no problem, the important thing was you did the Bet365 thing, and Camel was the first to flag it up
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« Reply #4964 on: April 30, 2012, 08:05:02 PM »

Where's the free bet listed in B365?  I can't find mine anywhere and it's not prompting me for it
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